Jameis Winston MNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds vs. Broncos

Jameis Winston will look to lead his Cleveland Browns to an upset victory over the Denver Broncos when the AFC foes square off on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 13.

The latest Monday Night Football odds have the Broncos favored by six points at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN).

Does this mean that the best Jameis Winston MNF player prop bets are Overs, or will Winston struggle against the ninth-ranked pass defense in the NFL? It's what we'll dig into as we continue our Week 13 NFL predictions.

Winston threw for just 219 yards last week, the lowest total he’s had as a starter this year. However, it was also snowing during the game, and he still led his team to a comeback over a division rival. Our Browns vs. Broncos prediction thinks the visitors can keep it close.

Jameis Winston prop predictions for Monday Night Football

NFL odds as of Monday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Jameis Winston Over 230.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jameis Winston Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
• Jameis Winston Over 35.5 passing attempts () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jameis Winston player props

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!  

Jameis Winston Over 230.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Winston has thrown for at least 235 yards in three of his four starts this season. Though he threw for just 219 last week, that performance actually gives me even more confidence in him moving forward.

For him to still put up so many yards despite the snowy conditions against one of the best pass defenses in football, just proves that Winston is capable of putting up yards in any scenario.

While the Broncos rank ninth in passing yards allowed per game, they just gave up 328 air yards to the Las Vegas Raiders last week. Gardner Minshew was injured during the game but still managed 230 yards, his second-most yards since Week 2. 

Since the Browns are likely to be playing from behind, Winston will throw plenty, and based on his recent performances, he will find enough success to clear this number.

While our best sports betting apps have the same total listed, bet365 is offering the best price.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Jameis Winston Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+165) ⭐⭐⭐

Winston has thrown more than one touchdown pass in two of his four starts this season. Last week, he threw zero for the first time since taking over for Deshaun Watson. He goes against a defense allowing just 1.1 passing touchdowns per game tonight. Yet, the Over provides the most value.

The Browns don’t score rushing touchdowns.

Through 11 games, they have just six rushing scores, three of which were scored in last week’s game. Maybe the offense is changing because Nick Chubb is back, but I’m more inclined to think the weather was the reason for last week’s success. My Browns vs. Broncos MNF prop bets dig into the running back even more, but needless to say, I don't think he'll have a busy night.

With Winston throwing for at least two touchdowns in two of his four starts this year, taking Under 1.5 passing touchdowns for -210 or worse seems irresponsible. Instead, take the phenomenal price of +165 being offered for the Over by bet365 and DraftKings.

Best odds: +165 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 37.74%

Jameis Winston Over 35.5 passing attempts (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Winston threw just 27 passes last week, which is why this number is as low as it is.

However, weather was a factor in that game, and it’s not expected to be tonight. Winston has thrown the ball at least 41 times in his other three starts, and with his team underdogs of nearly a touchdown, I expect him to throw plenty again tonight.

For as good as the Broncos’ defense has been against the pass, they’re allowing an average of 34.4 attempts per game. That’s the sixth-most in the league. They’re allowing an average of 42 per game over their last three, and they just gave up 53 last Sunday.

BetMGM is offering this total at 34.5 for a price of -120. While that’s worth taking, I’ll take the slightly better price for one extra attempt, as Winston is likely to go over 40 attempts in this game.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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