Browns vs. Broncos MNF Prop Bets, Odds: Monday Night Football
Last Updated: December 1, 2024 10:40 AM EST • 3 min 64 sec read.
The Denver Broncos will look to pick up their third consecutive win, as they take on the 3-8 Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football as our NFL Week 13 predictions wrap up.
The latest Monday Night Football odds have the Broncos favored by six in Monday’s 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) game in Denver. Will Bo Nix and his offense continue to play well, or should we expect them to struggle when picking the best Browns vs. Broncos MNF prop bets?
Our Mike Spector expects Cleveland to keep it close with his Browns vs. Broncos prediction.
The Browns are coming off a huge divisional win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Nick Chubb scored twice in that game. Will he build off that success, or is he in for a long night against a great run defense?
Browns vs. Broncos player prop predictions: Monday Night Football
Odds as of Sunday and subject to change.
- Bo Nix anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐
- Nick Chubb Under 56.5 rushing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Courtland Sutton Over 64.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Sunday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Browns vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer prediction
Bo Nix anytime touchdown scorer ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +325 via Caesars | Implied probability: 23.53%
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Nix hasn’t run for a touchdown in four weeks, but he still has four rushing touchdowns this season. That production has helped him soar up the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, and he’s about to get one of the best matchups in the league.
The Browns are allowing 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game, which is tied for the fifth-most in the NFL.
The Broncos have only eight rushing touchdowns all season, and Nix has the same amount as all of the Broncos’ running backs combined. Therefore, it’s not worth taking a price closer to +100 for any of the running backs, even when the matchup is as good as this one.
There is also a lot of value to be had in taking this prop at Caesars. The price of +325 implies a 23.53% chance of Nix scoring, according to our odds converter. BetMGM has the price set at +200 for a difference of $12.50 in profits on a winning $10 bet.
This implies that BetMGM believes that Nix has a 10% greater chance of scoring a touchdown than Caesars.
Browns vs. Broncos player prop bets
Nick Chubb Under 56.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Chubb has played five games this season after returning from a knee injury, and it’s become clear that unless he gets a lot of carries, he’s going to struggle to put up big yardage. Last week, he set a season-high with 59 rushing yards, but it took him 20 carries to hit that number.
For the season, Chubb is averaging just 3.0 yards per carry, and that number is unlikely to improve against Denver. The Broncos’ defense is allowing 3.8 yards per rush attempt this season, which ranks fourth-best in the NFL. They also have the sixth-best run defense in the league, allowing just 96.2 yards per game.
DraftKings and Caesars both have this Under listed with a price of -130 or worse. With bet365 offering a significantly better price, it’s the clear place to wager.
Courtland Sutton Over 64.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Sutton has gone for at least 70 yards in five consecutive games, and last week, he caught eight passes for 97 yards. Despite his recent success, our NFL prop betting sites don’t seem to have much faith in him this week. When a strange line like this is offered, I generally side with the sportsbooks, but I refuse to bet against Sutton right now.
He’s been targeted 48 times in the last five games, and he’s caught 36 of those passes. Running back Javonte Williams ranks second behind Sutton in both categories. Williams has 37 catches and 48 targets for the entire season.
Nix and Sutton are clicking right now, and the Browns’ pass defense ranks right in the middle of the league, so this isn’t a bad matchup. Therefore, I’m backing Sutton to go over 64.5 receiving yards for -110.
How good is this price? Caesars has the total set at 65.5, and the sportsbook is asking -133 for the Over.
Browns vs. Broncos live odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Browns vs. Broncos
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colo.
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 31 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph SSW
- Favorite: Broncos -6 (-110 via BetMGM)
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Philip Wood