Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for MNF: Browns vs. Broncos
Last Updated: December 2, 2024 11:08 AM EST • 3 min 40 sec read.
Can the Denver Broncos keep their playoff hopes alive in Week 13, or will Nick Chubb and the Cleveland Browns play spoilers for the second week in a row after taking down the Pittsburgh Steelers in an epic snow game?
It was the Chubb show in Week 12 against the Steelers, and he remains among the contenders by the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds. The running back carried the ball 20 times in the snow, scoring two touchdowns. Will he continue to find the endzone on Monday night at Empower Field at Mile High when this game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)?
Meanwhile, Bo Nix has appeared to find his footing in the NFL following a rough first third of the season. However, with improved play in the pocket has come a steep decrease in rushing attempts. That could change when he sees NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds contender Myles Garrett blasting through the line.
We've made sure to provide bettors with all the information they need for this Monday Night Football affair, delivering our Browns vs. Broncos prediction and Jameis Winston MNF prop bets as part of our NFL Week 13 predictions.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football: Browns vs. Broncos
Our NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the latest touchdown scorer odds among the legal sportsbooks in your region on each of these picks.
Browns anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Nick Chubb, RB ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: | Implied probability: 36.36%
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Fantasy managers and bettors were definitely a bit worried when Chubb managed just 11 carries against an exploitable New Orleans Saints defense. However, Kevin Stefanski said the team was managing his workload ahead of Thursday Night Football against the Steelers on a short week.
He wasn't lying, as Chubb racked up a season-high 21 touches. Now he's had an extended break between games and will likely be relied upon heavily once again with quarterback Jameis Winston facing one of the toughest secondaries in the NFL.
Chubb's touchdown projection is just below the 0.50 threshold I usually prefer to target, but these generous +175 odds at FanDuel make up for it. They carry an implied probability of just 36.36%. Based on Chubb's projection, bet365's +125 price is much closer to what you'd deem "fair" or equal value.
The risk with Chubb is, of course, Winston could end up throwing the ball 45 times in any given contest and the running back doesn't really get targeted in the pass game. However, I'll trust the projections, which expect Chubb to rack up roughly 18 touches.
Broncos anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Bo Nix, QB ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: | Implied probability: 26.32%
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As previously mentioned, Nix is running the ball far less in recent games.
The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds contender has totaled just 17 carries for 45 yards in his last five games after racking up 136 rushing yards on 16 carries in Weeks 6 and 7 alone. The offensive line is doing a much better job of protecting him and he's showing more composure in the pocket. However, Nix still very much has the ability to impact the game with his legs.
He has the fifth-highest rushing TD projection among quarterbacks this week, ahead of the likes of Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray.
As a result of Nix being a threat to score but not running much lately, we're seeing a ton of variance in his anytime TD odds at our best sports betting sites.
Phil Wood actually got him at a much better +325 price at Caesars with his Browns vs. Broncos MNF prop bets that he put together on Sunday. That shows just how much money is coming in on this prop.
Caesars still has the best price at +280, while BetMGM is at +200 and bet365 is extremely short at +162. Based on the projection, DraftKings' +245 is the price that's the closest to equal value, so we're getting a solid 35 cents on the dollar by betting this at Caesars (FanDuel also has +280).
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Andrew Brennan