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UFC 311 Odds & Betting Lines: Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan 2 Card and Info

Andrew Reid

Last Updated: January 13, 2025 2:36 PM EST • 4 min 35 sec read.

Islam Makhachev fights Dustin Poirier during UFC 302, and we look at the best UFC 311 betting odds & lines.
Islam Makhachev fights Dustin Poirier during UFC 302. Photo by Joe Camporeale via Imagn Images.

It looks like the much-anticipated UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan 2 card is set to go ahead on Saturday, Jan. 18, despite the wildfires raging in California.

In the main event, Islam Makhachev (-400) puts the lightweight strap on the line against Arman Tsarukyan at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif. Merab Dvalishvili looks to hold off Umar Nurmagomedov for the bantamweight title in the co-main event.

The action starts with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET, while the main card begins at 10 p.m. ET. 

Dana White told Adin Ross that if the event needs to move due to the wildfires, it would relocate to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. 

UFC 311 odds - Main Card

Here’s our breakdown of the UFC 311 odds and betting lines for Saturday's full card to help with your UFC picks (odds via our best UFC betting sites).

Islam Makhachev (26-1) vs. Arman Tsarukyan (22-3)

  • Makhachev has held the lightweight title since topping Charles Oliveira in 2022, defending it three times
  • Makhachev's last loss was October 2015 to Adriano Martins
  • Tsarukyan, the top-ranked lightweight contender, enters on a four-bout win streak
  • Makhachev beat Tsarukyan by unanimous decision in 2019

Merab Dvalishvili (18-4) vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (18-0)

  • Dvalishvili won the bantamweight strap at UFC 306 with a unanimous-decision victory over Sean O'Malley in September
  • The Georgian champ hasn't suffered a loss since being submitted by Ricky Simon in 2018
  • Nurmagomedov is the second-ranked bantamweight challenger and is 6-0 since joining the UFC

Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) vs. Jamahal Hill (12-2)

  • Prochazka is 1-2 over his last three bouts, but both losses were title fights against Alex Pereira (most recently a second-round KO/TKO loss in June)
  • Hill also lost to Pereira his last time out, falling via a KO/TKO in the first round last April

Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) vs. Renato Moicano (20-5-1)

  • Dariush enters on a two-bout skid, losing to Charles Oliveira (June 2023) and Tsarukyan (December 2023)
  • Dariush missed all of 2024 as news came out in mid-July that he had a torn meniscus
  • Moicano has rattled off four straight wins and is the 10th-ranked contender in the lightweight division

Kevin Holland (26-12) vs. Reinier de Ridder (18-2)

  • Holland is on a brutal run, losing three of his last four, five of his last eight, and seven of his last 13 (with one no contest)
  • de Ridder won his UFC debut in November, submitting Gerald Meerschaert

UFC 311 odds - Prelims

Bogdan Guskov (16-3) vs. Billy Elekana (7-1)

  • Guskov was expected to fight Johnny Walker, who was forced to pull out due to injury
  • Guskov enters on a two-bout win streak with back-to-back KO/TKO victories
  • Elekana is expected to make his UFC debut on one-week notice to replace Walker

Payton Talbott (9-0) vs. Raoni Barcelos (18-5)

  • Talbott is 2-0 via KO/TKO and 1-0 via submission since joining the promotion
  • Talbott has just one judges' decision on his resume, a unanimous-decision victory over Reyes Cortez Jr. at DWCS in August 2023
  • Barcelos is 7-4 in the UFC since 2018, but all four losses have come over his last six bouts
Payton Talbott is interviewed as we look at the best UFC 311 Odds & Betting Lines.
Payton Talbott is interviewed by Joe Rogan during UFC 303. Photo by Mark J. Rebilas via Imagn Images.

Jailton Almeida (21-3) vs. Serghei Spivac (17-4)

  • Almeida has a full toolkit, with five submission victories, two KO/TKO wins, and a judges decision across nine bouts at UFC level (including DWCS)
  • Spivac is 4-1 across his last five bouts, with two submission and two KO/TKO victories
  • Almeida is No. 6 and Spivac in No. 7 in the heavyweight division

Zachary Reese (8-1) vs. Sedriques Dumas (10-2)

  • Reese went to the judges with a unanimous-decision victory in August, the first fight that went beyond the first round in his career
  • Dumas frequents the judges; he is 3-2 at the UFC level since joining from DWCS, 3-0 by unanimous decision and losses by submission and KO/TKO

UFC 311 odds - Early prelims

Grant Dawson (22-2-1) vs. Diego Ferreira (19-5)

  • Dawson has just one loss and one draw across 13 fights at the UFC level (including DWCS) but remains unranked in the lightweight division
  • Ferreira is the oldest fighter on the card at 39 years but has recorded back-to-back KO/TKO victories

Karol Rosa (18-6) vs. Ailin Perez (11-2)

  • Rosa is No. 9 in the women's bantamweight division and has alternated wins and losses over her last seven bouts, most recently beating Pannie Kianzad in August
  • Perez is No. 13 in the division and has rattled off four straight wins since dropping her UFC debut in 2022

Rinya Nakamura (9-0) vs. Muin Gafurov (19-6)

  • Nakamura won the Road to the UFC Season 1 bantamweight tournament in 2022 with a first round KO/TKO and has two decision victories since
  • Gafurov finally got his first UFC victory in June 2024 after opening his UFC career 0-2 but was an LFA champion before making the leap

Ricky Turcois (13-4) vs. Bernardo Sopaj (11-3)

  • Turcois lost his only fight in 2024 - his first bout since 2022 - via submission to Raul Rosas Jr.
  • Sopaj dropped his UFC debut in March 2024, falling via KO/TKO to Vinicius Oliveira in the third round

Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2) vs. Clayton Carpenter (8-0)

  • Ulanbekov has submitted his last two opponents, most recently Cody Durden in December 2023; he missed weight in his only scheduled bout of 2024
  • Carpenter is also a submission star, also making his last two opponents tap out

UFC 311 info

  • When: Saturday, Jan. 18
  • Where: Intuit Dome (Inglewood, Calif.)
  • How to watch: Early prelims - 6 p.m. ET (Disney+/ESPN+); Prelims - 8 p.m. ET (ESPNEWS/FX/Disney+/ESPN+); Main Card - 10 p.m. ET (Pay-per-view)

How to read UFC betting odds

Understanding UFC betting odds is essential for making informed wagers. Let's break it down with examples:

  • Positive odds (+): Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager. For instance, if a fighter has odds of +250, it means that a $100 bet on that fighter would yield a profit of $250 if they win the fight. So, your total payout would be $350 ($250 profit + $100 original stake).
  • Negative odds (-): Negative odds represent the amount you need to wager to win $100 in profit. For example, if a fighter has odds of -150, it means that you would need to bet $150 to win $100 in profit if that fighter wins. Your total payout would be $250 ($100 profit + $150 original stake).

Now, let's consider an actual UFC betting scenario:

  • Fighter A: +200
  • Fighter B: -180

For Fighter A (+200), a $100 bet would result in a $200 profit, making the total payout $300. For Fighter B (-180), you would need to wager $180 to win $100 in profit, resulting in a total payout of $280.

Understanding these odds helps you evaluate the potential payout and implied probability of each fighter winning a UFC fight. Positive odds indicate an underdog, while negative odds signify a favorite.

Here are our best UFC betting sites:

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Written By:
Andrew Reid
Andrew is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He graduated from Acadia University with a degree in Kinesiology, working as a personal trainer and in injury rehab, and then attended the College of Sports Media in Toronto to attain a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting. Andrew has been involved in the sports betting and fantasy sports space since joining the FNTSY Sports Network in 2014, where he worked as a producer, director, and occasional on-air talent on various shows focusing on sports betting and DFS content. Prior to joining SBR, he spent multiple years with the USA Today Network as an editor and writer. Living in Newfoundland, Andrew frequents grey market sportsbooks, but in the past, when he's lived in regulated areas, he's become well-versed with all of our best sportsbooks. As strictly a casual bettor, he enjoys making touchdown parlays with friends (bro-lays), sweating out golf cut parlays during majors, playing same-game parlays for fun, and chasing long-shot bets. He also enjoys using sportsbooks that have solid iGaming and casino platforms. As the old guy on staff, he has an affinity for industry news, which confuses some, but shh ... quiet ... the news is on.