UFC 310 Odds & Betting Lines: Pantoja vs. Asakura Card and Info

Alexandre Pantoja looks to defend his flyweight title at UFC 310 when he faces challenger Kai Asakura, a UFC newcomer. 

It's an usual case that we'll break down in our UFC 310 odds & betting lines, which list Pantoja as a -263 favorite (72.45% implied win probability). 

The action returns to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, with the early prelims starting at 6 p.m. ET (ESPN+) and taking us through the night to the main card at 10 p.m. ET (pay-per-view).

UFC 310 odds - Main card

Here’s our breakdown of the UFC 310 odds and betting lines for Saturday's full card to help with your UFC picks (odds via our best UFC betting sites).

Alexandre Pantoja (28-5) vs. Kai Asakura (21-4)

This battle was set to be the co-headliner before a welterweight championship tilt between Belal Muhammad and Shavkat Rakhmonov had to be called off. 

It's not every day we see a promotional newcomer fighting for a title shot, but Asakura isn't exactly new to the game. The Japanese fighter is a former two-time Rizin Bantamweight Champion with a list of first-round KO/TKO victories lining his resume. 

Pantoja has been the flyweight champion since topping Brandon Moreno at UFC 290 last July. He's defended his title twice, topping Brandon Royval (UFC 296, last December) and Steve Erceg (UFC 301, May) by unanimous decision.

Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0) vs. Ian Machado Garry (15-0)

An undefeated record falls on Saturday night. 

Rakhmonov was set to fight in the headliner for the welterweight strap before Muhammad was forced to pull out of the bout with injury. 

"Nomad" has been on a submission roll, winning five of his six UFC bouts via stoppages. The sixth came way of KO/TKO, so power isn't necessarily an issue, either. 

Machado Garry has gone to the judges in three straight fights, and five of eight in the promotion. That includes a unanimous-decision victory over Michael Page in June at UFC 303.

Ciryl Gane (12-2) vs. Alexander Volkov (38-10)

The lone heavyweight battle on the main card features two familiar names to UFC fans. Gane is the No. 2 ranked heavyweight, while Volkov checks in at No. 3.

Gane is a former UFC champ, briefly holding the strap back in 2021, although he was unable to defend it. He's 2-2 over his last four bouts, dating back to 2022, and hasn't entered the Octagon since a second-round victory over Serghei Spivac last September. 

Volkov hasn't seen a sniff of a title fight since making the leap to the UFC in 2016. He's 12-4 since joining the promotion, and enters on a four-fight win streak inclulding a unanimous-decision victory over Sergei Pavlovich in June. 

The two headlined a fight back in 2021, with Gane emerging as the unanimous-decision victor.

Bryce Mitchell (16-3) vs. Kron Gracie (5-2)

Mitchell started his UFC career like a house on fire, rattling off six straight victories. Things have gone differently of late, as he is the loser of two of three, suffering a KO/TKO loss last time out to Josh Emmett last December and being submitted by Ilia Topuria in Dec. 2022. 

Gracie comes with a lot of name power, but his record is far from impressive. With just three UFC bouts to his name, he carries a 1-2 record, and has been heavily criticized for his two losses by his powerhouse family and by Dana White. He was 1-1 in 2019, before taking a four-year hiatus and returning to lose to Charles Jourdain in May 2023.

Hard to imagine he continues in the promotion without a strong showing on Saturday, Gracie or not. 

Nate Landwehr (18-5) vs. Dooho Choi (15-4-1)

A bit of an underwhelming bout to kick off the main card, as the unranked Landwehr and Choi battle in a featherweight tilt. 

But it should be a rather evenly split tilt. Landwehr has won four of his last five, most recently topping Jamall Emmers in the first round of a Fight Night in March. 

The Korean Superboy Choi picked up a KO/TKO victory over Bill Algeo in July. That marked his first win in the UFC since 2016, although he didn't record any fights between 2020 and Feb. 2023.

UFC 310 odds - Prelims

Dominick Reyes (13-4) vs. Anthony Smith (38-20)

Reyes got back in the win column in June when he picked up a first round KO/TKO, snapping a four-loss skid that stretched back to 2020. 

Smith has also spent more time on the loss side of the ledger in recent years, going just 2-4 since 2022. Last time out, in June, he dropped a unanimous-decision to Roman Dolidze. 

Vicente Luque (22-10-1) vs. Themba Gorimbo (14-4)

It's a tale of two fighters headed in different directions , with Gorimbo getting a crack at a ranked opponent for the first time. 

Luque is sure to fall out of the top 15 in the welterweight division with another loss, as he's already dropped three of his last four. That includes suffering a KO/TKO loss to Joaquin Buckley in March when he last took the walk. 

Gorimbo is the same age (33) as his opponent, but has only five UFC bouts compared to Luque's 21. He's rattled off four straight wins since losing his promotional debut last February.

Movsar Evloev (18-0) vs. Aljamain Sterling (24-4)

The judges don't usually get through an Evloev bout without earning a bit of their pay. He's 8-0 since joining the UFC in 2019, with seven unanimous decision victories and one split-decision win. We're getting near the point where the fifth-ranked featherweight will be hard to deny getting a crack at the top dogs in the division.

Sterling is a former bantamweight champion, defending his strap numerous times over a two-year span. He moved to featherweight at UFC 300, nearing a unanimous-decision victory over Calvin Kattar. 

These two were originally slated to square off at UFC 307 in October, but an injury forced Sterling to pull out. 

Randy Brown (19-5) vs. Bryan Battle (12-2)

Brown is taking his third walk to the Octagon in 2024 and looking to build on a three-bout win streak. The UFC veteran can get it done any way imaginable, recording numerous victories by knockout, submission, and decision over his career. 

Battle is far less fond of heading to the judges. Since his TUF bout in 2021 he's gone 8-1 with one no contest, and has gone to the judges only twice. One of those visits is where he suffered his only loss.

UFC 310 odds - Early prelims

Chris Weidman (16-7) vs. Eryk Anders (16-8)

Weidman was once a champion, he was once one of the biggest names in the sport. Unfortunately, it's no longer 2015, and it's been a rough time since the calendar turned to 2016. He recorded just three wins in his last nine fights, although one of those came in March against Bruno Silva. 

Truthfully, things haven't been much better for Anders. Ya Boi has only three wins in his last eight bouts, although he also enters off a victory with a unanimous-decision win over Jamie Pickett in March.

These two were meant to battle at UFC 309 just two weeks ago, but Anders had to withdraw due to food poisoning.

Cody Durden (17-6-1) vs. Joshua Van (11-2)

"Custom Made" Cody Durden snapped a two-fight skid with a submission victory over Matt Schnell in September. While he doesn't mind mixing it up on the mat, he's just 6-4 in submissions throughout his career. 

"The Fearless" Joshua Van has just five UFC fights to his name, and he's been far less interested in the submission game. But in his time in Fury from 2021-2022, he went 2-1 via submissions (including winning a title fight via rear naked choke), so he's no stranger to the mat.

Michael Chiesa (19-7) vs. Max Griffin (20-10)

Chiesa snapped a three-bout losing streak in August with a submission victory over Tony Ferguson, earning his first victory since 2021. While his fights often end nearly, they're almost always due to submission. His record in KO/TKO bouts is just 0-1, with that loss coming back in 2014.

Griffin also won his only walk to the Octagon, picking up a split-decision victory over Jeremiah Wells back in February. The 39-year-old vet has gone to the judges in five straight bouts, and prefers the stand-up game.

Clay Guida (38-21) vs. Chase Hooper (14-3-1)

Changing of the guard? The 42-year-old Guida is on track to record his 60th professional fight, while his opponent has fewer than 20 under his belt and checks in at just 25 years of age.

Guida's first pro fight was in March 2004 - Hooper wasn't even 5-years-old. But over the years, wins have become fewer and farther between. He was 0-2 last year, hasn't fought this year, and is just 4-6 over his last 10 bouts. 

Hooper is the biggest favorite on the card, and has submitted his last two opponents to improve to 7-0 in the submission game. All three of The Dream's losses were recorded since he joined the UFC in 2019.

Kennedy Nzechukwu (13-5) vs. Lukasz Brzeski (9-5-1)

Brzeski was scheduled to fight with Tallison Teixeira, but due to injury he finds himself facing Nzechukwu. 

Feels like only only yesterday that Nzechukwu was fighting, and that's because it was indeed on Oct. 26 that he took his last walk at UFC 308, recording a first round victory over Chris Barnett. That fight was very one-sided, with Barnett suffering an injury early on (perhaps even when he was warming up in the Octagon before the fight). 

Brzeski lost four of his last five fights, twice via KO/TKO. This looks like it might be another difficult night for the Polish heavyweight.

UFC 310 info

• When: Saturday, Dec. 7
• Where: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
• How to watch: Early Prelims - 6 p.m. ET (ESPN+); Prelims - 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+); Main Card - 10 p.m. ET (Pay-per-view)

How to read UFC betting odds

Understanding UFC betting odds is essential for making informed wagers. Let's break it down with examples:

• Positive odds (+): Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager. For instance, if a fighter has odds of +250, it means that a $100 bet on that fighter would yield a profit of $250 if they win the fight. So, your total payout would be $350 ($250 profit + $100 original stake).
• Negative odds (-): Negative odds represent the amount you need to wager to win $100 in profit. For example, if a fighter has odds of -150, it means that you would need to bet $150 to win $100 in profit if that fighter wins. Your total payout would be $250 ($100 profit + $150 original stake).

Now, let's consider an actual UFC betting scenario:

• Fighter A: +200
• Fighter B: -180

For Fighter A (+200), a $100 bet would result in a $200 profit, making the total payout $300. For Fighter B (-180), you would need to wager $180 to win $100 in profit, resulting in a total payout of $280.

Understanding these odds helps you evaluate the potential payout and implied probability of each fighter winning a UFC fight. Positive odds indicate an underdog, while negative odds signify a favorite.

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