Mcb777 APPRomania vs. Netherlands Odds, Picks & Predictions

Cody Gakpo of Netherlands shoots as we offer our best Romania vs. Netherlands prediction and expert picks for Tuesday's Euro 2024 matchup. — Cody Gakpo of Netherlands shoots during the UEFA Euro 2024 match against Austria in Berlin, Germany on June 25, 2024. Photo by Raffaele Conti / IPA Sport via Imagn.

It’s been 24 years since Romania reached the knockout rounds of a major tournament, as we offer our best Romania vs. Netherlands predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.

The Romanians surprised everyone by finishing first in Group E ahead of Belgium. Not since USA ’94 have they won a knockout game at Euros or the World Cup, when they defeated Argentina, 3-2, at the Rose Bowl.

The Tricolorii have won just one of their 14 matches against Netherlands in all competitions (D3 L10), losing their last four in a row. The Dutch have outscored Romania by a combined tally of 29-3 in the series.

Romania vs. Netherlands predictions for Tuesday

Final score: Netherlands 2 – Romania 1 ()
Cody Gakpo anytime goal scorer ()
Best bet: Netherlands wins + Over 2.5 goals ()

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Romania vs. Netherlands score prediction

Netherlands 2 vs. Romania 1

Romania needs to be better with the ball because their passing has been terrible. They had the worst passing accuracy of any team at the tournament during the group stage (74.7%), which works out that one in four of their passes have been wayward. At this level, that simply isn't good enough.

Netherlands’ 3-2 defeat to Austria in the final Group D match was their first group stage loss in 11 games. The Dutch have been a top-10 side for passing and scoring at this tournament. Compare that to Romania, which have won just one of their last six matches in all competitions, scoring five goals and conceding six in that run.

Netherlands have won three of their last six but failed to secure victory in the final two group games. They scored 13 goals and shipped six in that span of fixtures. If Romania continues to give the ball away, they could be picked apart and facing elimination.

At +900, bet365's odds imply a probability of 10%, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $90 if it hits according to our odds converter.

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Romania vs. Netherlands anytime goal scorer prediction

Cody Gakpo, Netherlands

The Liverpool forward has scored half of Netherlands’ goals at this tournament. He already has two goals at Euro 2024 and could become the sixth Dutchman to score three or more in a single edition of the competition.

Gakpo had more touches inside the box than any other Dutch player in the group stage, which increases his chances of getting into scoring positions. He has operated effectively from the left wing and links up well with the team's forwards, and he could punish the Romanian defense if he intercepts one of their poor passes and counters them with his pace and guile.

At +175, bet365's odds represent an implied probability of 36.4%, and a $10 wager pays out $17.50.

Best odds:

Romania vs. Netherlands best bet

Netherlands wins + Over 2.5 goals

This matchup may pit first-place Romania against third-place Netherlands, but both sides finished the group stage with four points. In that opening round, only Georgia (71) faced more shots among sides to qualify for the knockout stages than Romania (46). However, the average xG per shot faced by Romania was just 0.07, above only England (0.04) and Belgium (0.06) in the group stage.

Put another way, the average quality of the shots they faced was the third-lowest of any side. Netherlands were ahead for just 12 minutes and 27 seconds of matches in Group D. The Dutch team has the firepower to punish the Tricolorii, while the Romanians can expose the Oranje’s vulnerable defense.

This could be one of the most exciting games from the Round of 16. Netherlands have the superior quality and should come out on top. At +135, DraftKings’ odds represent a 42.6% win probability, and a $10 wager will pay a profit of $13.50 if it hits.

Best odds:

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Romania vs. Netherlands game info

When: Tuesday, July 2 at noon ET
Where: Minuch Football Arena (Munich, Germany)
How to watch: FS1, Fubo
Favorite: Netherlands (-225 via Caesars)

Romania-Netherlands predictions made Sunday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Anthony Wootton

Anthony Wootton has worked in the sports industry for more than 20 years. He’s reported on Premier League games for BBC radio and continues to cover the league, as well as other high-profile soccer competitions such as the UEFA Champions League. He is a founding member of the NFL Writers Network with NFL Europe, having covered every NFL London game since 2014 and multiple Super Bowls. Anthony has also reported on the Germany games in Munich and Frankfurt. His book, "The Greatest American Football Story That Has Never Been Told", has been an Amazon bestseller for American Football and Sports History publications. He is a member of the Professional Football Researchers Association. Anthony started writing for betting companies in 2018, working with some of the world’s largest gambling sites. He is an avid bettor on soccer and football, using multiple apps as he targets the best value on props and plays. Anthony is the host of the "TransAtlantic Sports Show" podcast and runs a weekly parlay feature on his YouTube channel throughout the NFL season. He has appeared on leading international podcasts such as the BBC World Service’s Sportshour, the Nat Coombs Show, and the Irish NFL Show. Anthony holds a bachelor’s degree in media from Sheffield Hallam University.