Mcb777 APPFrance vs. Spain Odds, Picks & Predictions

Jean-Philippe Mateta celebrates a goal during the Olympic Games Paris 2024 near Lyon, France. Photo by Sipa USA

Spain and France have shared perennial superpower status in world football since the turn of the millennium, and we're in store for another heavyweight scrap between the familiar foes in Friday's Olympic gold medal match.

The senior sides met in the semifinals of Euro 2024, which Spain won 2-1. Now, their Under-23 sides battle in Paris at the storied Parc des Princes (noon ET) for a chance to win their second gold medal since the men's Olympic soccer tournament debuted in 1900.

France won their gold medal at the 1984 Los Angeles Games, while Spain matched that feat at home in Barcelona in 1992. Speaking of home, Les Bleus will revel in the opportunity of playing in front of almost 50,000 frenzied French supporters.

Our France vs. Spain odds, picks, and predictions highlight the most likely goal scorer while honing in on which team will etch their names in Olympic history.

France are the favorites entering the showcase final across our best sports betting sites.

France vs. Spain predictions for Friday

France vs. Spain odds via our best soccer betting sites; soccer picks confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Final score: France 1 - Spain 1 (+500) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jean-Philippe Mateta anytime goal scorer (+240) ⭐⭐⭐
Best bet: France to win gold medal (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

France vs. Spain score prediction

France 1 vs. Spain 1

Spain and France have netted 11 times through five games, so I find it hard to wrap my head around either team being kept off the scoresheet. France are clean-sheet masters, shutting the opponent out in four of five games. However, none of their previous opponents had the offensive weapons Spain possess, namely Fermín López.

I like France to take home the gold, but that accomplishment might require an additional 30 minutes, possibly penalties.

Place a $10 wager, and you'll earn a profit of $50 if the match goes to extra time tied at one.

Odds: +500 | Implied probability: 16.67%

France vs. Spain anytime goal scorer prediction

Jean-Philippe Mateta, France

"Hakuna Mateta" is France's problem-free philosophy. is scorching every inch of grass he touches, scoring in three straight matches, including a decisive brace against Egypt in the semifinal. Mateta bagged his first against Egypt with only seven minutes remaining, leveling the match and offering his nation a lifeline.

He scored the winner about 20 minutes later in extra time, becoming an instant hero to over 70 million French citizens. Mateta, who leads the team with four goals in five matches, netted 16 times in 35 Premier League encounters for Crystal Palace last season.

The 27-year-old, one of France's permitted overage players, consistently showcases his superior experience and physicality.

At +240, you'll earn a profit of $24 on a winning $10 bet.

Odds: +240 | Implied probability: 29.41%

France vs. Spain best bet

France to win gold medal

With eight of 11 starters plying their domestic trade in La Liga, Spain have a superb side, replete with the skill, talent, and creativity to win an Olympic gold. However, they're up against a French side that has allowed one goal in five games, keeping four clean sheets before conceding against Egypt in the semifinal.

Not only do the French have a rearguard tighter than a duck's derriere, but they also have a frightening attack led by Mateta, Michael Olise, and Alexandre Lacazette.

In addition, for all their attacking prowess, Spain are more susceptible defensively. They've allowed at least one goal in four of five matches, including two against Egypt, one against Uzbekistan, and the Dominican Republic in the group stage.

The -130 odds will yield a $7.69 profit if France takes home the gold.

Odds: -130 | Implied probability: 56.52%

France vs. Spain odds & game info

	France	Spain
Moneyline	+150	+215
Over/Under	Over 2.5 (+135)	Under 2.5 (-175)
Spread	-0.5 (+135)	+0.5 (-190)

When: Friday, Aug. 9
Time: 12 p.m. ET
Where: Parc des Princes (Paris)
How to watch: Peacock
Favorite: France (+150)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.