France vs. Belgium Odds, Picks & Predictions: Mbappe and Lukaku Duel in Dusseldorf on Day 18 of Euro 2024

Kylian Mbappe scored in his return to action at Euro 2024, and next up is a Belgian side that has shipped just one goal all tournament. Check out our France vs. Belgium picks and predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.

The French forwards have struggled at Euro 2024. Les Bleus managed two goals in Group D, one was an own goal, and the other was a penalty. That spot kick was scored by Mbappe, who made his first appearance since breaking his nose in the first match against Austria. Yet, France remains among the consensus favorites by the Euro 2024 odds entering knockout play.

Belgium were booed by their own fans after qualifying for the Round of 16 on Wednesday. The Red Devils reached the knockout stages courtesy of a 0-0 draw with Ukraine, much to their fans’ frustration. None of their forwards have found the net in this competition.

France vs. Belgium predictions for Monday

• Final score: France 1 – Belgium 1 ()
• Kylian Mbappe anytime goal scorer ()
• Best bet: Both teams to score - yes ()

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France vs. Belgium score prediction

France 1 vs. Belgium 1

Both teams rank in the top five for shots per game at Euro 2024 (16). The problem they have is that they are not putting them away. Only Serbia (3.8%) had a poorer shot conversion rate in the group stage than Belgium and France (both 4.2%).

Belgium have scored just three goals in six major tournament games across this competition and the Qatar World Cup. France have scored two goals in their last four games in all competitions. They have also only conceded one goal in that run, which was a penalty against Poland in their final Group D game.

Arsenal defender William Saliba has been exceptional for Les Bleus alongside Dayot Upamencano. They will be a test for the misfiring Belgian offense, led by Romelu Lukaku. Lukaku has failed to score in each of his last five group stage matches at major international tournaments (15 shots). France have drawn five of their last six European Championship matches. 

At +550, BetMGM’s odds imply a 15.4% probability, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $55 if it hits. 

Best odds:

France vs. Belgium anytime goal scorer prediction

Kylian Mbappe, France

Only Michel Platini (14) has scored more goals for France at World Cups and European Championships than Mbappe (13). The Real Madrid forward was as elusive as a Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle with his mask against Poland on Tuesday. Mbappe had 14 touches inside the box and completed five shots on target, which was more than the Polish offense.

The Parisian’s xG was 1.31 in that match. He is two goals away from 50 for Les Bleus and is their main target in attack. We’ll back his pace against the 37-year-old Jan Vertonghen at the heart of the Belgian defense. 

bet365's +160 odds imply a 38.5% probability and a $10 wager pays a profit of $16 if Mbappe scores.  

Best odds:

France vs. Belgium best bet

Both teams to score - yes

Belgium has averaged 1.5 goals per game over their last six matches in all competitions. Le Bleus have been scoring an average of 1.3 per game during that span. As maligned as Lukaku has been this tournament, he could be the joint-leading scorer if decisions had gone his way.

He’s had 10 shots inside the box at Euro 2024, heading a Belgian attack that has winger Jeremy Doku leading the competition for most dribbles (26) in the group stage. Doku’s Manchester City teammate Kevin De Bruyne continues to pull the strings from midfield, making their offense a threat no matter their form. De Bruyne has been involved in 31 goals in his last 33 appearances for the Red Devils.

The French offense had 55 touches inside the Poland box on Tuesday. They’re yet to score from open play at this tournament, but with Mbappe’s pace and clinical finishing they remain a threat to any defense.

The odds imply a 46.7% probability, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $11.40 if both teams find the net.  

Best odds:

France vs. Belgium game info

• When: Monday, July 1, noon ET
• Where: Dusseldorf Arena, Dusseldorf, Germany
• How to watch: FS1, Fubo
• Favorite: France ()

France-Belgium predictions made Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

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