Golden Globe Awards Odds, Picks and Predictions: Anora Favored in Oscars Preview

The 82nd will take place at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025, at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, Calif. The event will be broadcast live on CBS and it will be live streamed and available on demand on Paramount+.

Emilia Perez leads all films with 10 nominations, just one shy of tying Nashville (1975) for the most Golden Globe nominations by a Musical or Comedy. The Brutalist received seven nominations while Conclave received six. There are also plenty of box office successes nominated at this year’s Golden Globes, including Dune: Part Two and Wicked, as well as cult films such as Anora, Challengers, and The Substance.

While the Golden Globe Awards celebrate both film and TV, we are only covering the film awards below (for which has posted odds). Read on for our predictions for 10 of the 15 film categories, including Best Motion Picture - Drama, Best Director, and Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy.

2025 Golden Globe Awards Odds

Best Motion Picture - Drama

While the Golden Globes are known for doing the unthinkable (Bohemian Rhapsody winning this category in 2018 comes to mind), there doesn’t seem to be a lot of drama in this category for the second year in a row. Last year, Oppenheimer cruised to victory, and while it’s not as heavy of a favorite, The Brutalist looks like it will follow in those footsteps on Jan. 5.

Opening odds list The Brutalist with odds of -250, making it one of the biggest favorites of the night. Only two other films have odds better than +1000. While one of those films, Conclave, seems to have a legitimate shot to win, the other, A Complete Unknown, would be pretty shocking. Perhaps Dune: Part Two could pull off the upset, especially since the Box Office Achievement Award looks destined to go to Wicked, but I believe that voters have moved past the film, which came out over nine months ago.

September 5 and Nickel Boys have no chance, so you can fade them. Instead, play this category safe, and if you really don’t want to take the favorite, don’t look any further than Conclave.

My Pick: The Brutalist (-250)

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

With Emilia Perez getting 10 nominations, you might be inclined to take it to win this category. However, it actually has the third-best odds behind both Anora and Wicked. If Emilia Perez is going to take home any awards, then it’s going to be in acting categories, as I do believe this is a two-horse race, even if some bettors may try to ride the audience reactions to The Substance and Challengers to secure a longshot victory.

Since winning the Palme d’Or at the Cannes Film Festival, Anora has been considered one of the favorites to win plenty this awards season. But can the film that grossed less than $30 million really take down the box office powerhouse Wicked? While I wouldn’t be surprised if Wicked ultimately wins this category, I believe that Anora will ultimately take home the crown. After all, the Golden Globes have gone with more serious comedies in this category over the last two years with Poor Things and The Banshees of Inisherin defeating box office darlings Barbie and Everything, Everywhere, All at Once, respectively.

My Pick: Anora (-140)

Best Motion Picture - Animated

This is a two-film race, as either The Wild Robot or Inside Out 2 will take home this award on Jan. 5. While the Wild Robot is favored, there’s no reason to count out Inside Out 2. Critics and audiences alike praised Pixar’s latest film, and it’s the highest-grossing film of 2024. The Wild Robot may be better, but it’s too much of a favorite in this category right now. With how much Inside Out 2 has going for it, taking a chance on it at +470 isn’t really a risk at all.

My Pick: Inside Out 2 (+470)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

In 2002, Adrien Brody gave one of the greatest performances of all time in Roman Polanski’s The Pianist. Yet, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association didn’t honor him with a Golden Globe, instead electing to award Jack Nicholson for About Schmidt. Once again, Brody is up for this award, and he is pretty heavily favored, but I think that the HFPA is going to pick a more seasoned actor with a longer list of critically acclaimed roles. This is the seventh time Fiennes has been nominated for a Golden Globe. He has never won. I think that changes this year.

My Pick: Ralph Fiennes - Conclave (+300)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

This is far and away the most wide-open category of any of the film categories. None of the six movies represented are nominated for Best Motion Picture - Drama, so no performance will get extra credit for being part of a critically acclaimed film. While Angelina Jolie is favored for her performance in Maria, this is one category where there is no reason to take the favorite. Fernanda Torres has a legitimate shot to win for I’m Still Here, though she may struggle to receive enough support in a category loaded with so many big names. Therefore, I’ll take Nicole Kidman for her performance in Babygirl. She has won six Golden Globe Awards and is beloved by the HFPA, having won Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama for Being the Ricardos in 2021.

My Pick: Nicole Kidman - Babygirl (+230)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Can Cynthia Erivo or Karla Sofia Gascon pull the upset? Mikey Madison seems destined to win an Oscar this year for her performance in Anora, but the Golden Globes have been known to give us surprises in the Best Actress categories, including Nicole Kidman’s victory over Jessica Chastain in 2021 and Andra Day’s win over Frances McDormand in 2020. Both Chastain and McDormand would go on to win the Oscar. Of all the women nominated, Madison is the most unknown, as Demi Moore, Zendaya, and Amy Adams round out this category. While that could hurt her, I think the momentum for Anora is real. Plus, the Globes did select Lily Gladstone over some major names last season.

My Pick: Mikey Madison - Anora (-140)

Best Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture - Supporting Actor

Kieran Culkin is likely going to win this award, but the -430 price tag is way too steep. This makes him the second-biggest favorite of the night, and while the Golden Globes just awarded him last season for his role in Succession, this is a category where there could be a big upset. Guy Pearce should not be counted out, and at +700, it’s worth taking a chance on him. There is also a legitimate case for Yura Borisov, but I ultimately think Anora will be viewed as Madison’s movie. Therefore, I’m going out on a limb and taking Denzel Washington for his performance in Gladiator II. It’s far from the best performance in this category, but that hasn’t stopped the HFPA before. Plus, Washington is already a Cecil B. DeMille Award winner, and he hasn’t won a competitive category since 2000, despite being nominated six times.

My Pick: Denzel Washington - Gladiator II (+1100)

Best Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture - Supporting Actress

This is the only category that Emilia Perez is favored in, and yet, I don’t think the film is going to come away victorious here. While Zoe Saldana has the star power and performance to snag this award, I think it’s going to be Ariana Grande who comes away with the win. Grande is phenomenal in Wicked, and she’s helped by the fact that Saldana may lose some votes to Selena Gomez for Emilia Perez. This isn’t much of an upset, but to get the best part of the most-talked-about movie in the world as an underdog is too good to pass up.

My Pick: Ariana Grande - Wicked (+140)

Best Director

This is truly a wide-open category, as every single one of the nominees is up for the award for the first time. Brady Corbet is favored for The Brutalist, but if the film is going to lose one of the major awards, this is where the upset is most likely to happen. Personally, I think everyone in this category has a chance except for Coralie Fargeat and Payal Kapadia. Edward Berger is currently sitting at +1100 for Conclave which is very enticing considering the film has a legitimate shot to win Best Motion Picture - Drama. While Berger may be worth a bet, I think that the smart money is on either Sean Baker for Anora or Jacque Audiard for Emilia Perez. Ultimately, Anora is going to win Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy, so I give Baker the edge.

My Pick: Sean Baker - Anora (+300)

Best Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

Three things have all but locked up this award for Wicked. First, Dune: Part Two wasn’t nominated. Second, recency bias is working heavily in its favor. And third, the biggest competition in this category is an animated film. Animated films don’t do well at the Golden Globes outside of the Best Animated Film category. With Inside Out 2 out of the picture, there’s nothing here that can touch Wicked. It’s the only film nominated in this category that is also up for Best Motion Picture. This is a done deal.

My Pick: Wicked (-700)

Golden Globe Awards FAQs

When will the 2024 Golden Globe Awards take place?

The Golden Globe Awards will take place on Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025, at 8 p.m. ET.

Where are the Golden Globe Awards held?

The Golden Glove Awards will be held at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, Calif.

Who will host the Golden Globe Awards?

Nikki Glaser will host the Golden Globe Awards.

How can I watch the Golden Globe Awards?

The Golden Globe Awards will air live on CBS, and they will stream on Paramount+. They can also be found on demand on Paramount+.