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Senators vs. Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: December 19, 2024 4:22 PM EST • 2 min 20 sec read.

Ottawa Senators center Josh Norris shoots on Nashville Predators goalie Juuse Saros as we offer our Senators vs. Flames prediction.
Ottawa Senators center Josh Norris shoots on Nashville Predators goalie Juuse Saros. Photo by Marc DesRosiers via Imagn Images

Not too long ago in late November the Ottawa Senators owned the third-worst record in the Eastern Conference. Spirits reached such a low that there were rumors of captain Brady Tkachuk getting traded.

Now that feels like a distant memory, as the Senators have won eight of their last 11 matchups and four straight, putting them into a wild-card position again.

Ottawa's next challenge is a road clash with the Calgary Flames, which takes place at Scotiabank Saddledome (9 p.m. ET, ESPN+). The Flames are fresh off squandering a two-goal lead during the third period against the Boston Bruins. Calgary has also dropped two of its last three outings at home after taking six of seven.

My Senators vs. Flames prediction focuses partly on Josh Norris.

Today's Senators vs. Flames prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best pick: Josh Norris Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: | Implied probability: 43.48%

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Josh Norris has hit a groove regarding his shot production. The 25-year-old hit the Over on this prop in the last four games and six of seven. He’s playing on the first line with Brady Tkachuk and Drake Batherson and getting the second-most ice time of the forwards. 

Norris attempted 13 shots in the last two games against Seattle and Pittsburgh and fired at least three on goal in four of the previous five contests against the Flames. 

He had three shots against Calgary the last time these two teams met in Ottawa on Nov. 25 and faces a favorable matchup at the Saddledome, where the Flames concede the fifth-most shots (30.2).

The Senators, meanwhile, are tied with the Dallas Stars and New York Rangers for the eighth-most shots per game in enemy rinks (29.1). The plus-money odds add extra appeal, as a $10 winning bet will profit $13.

Senators vs. Flames prop pick

NHL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change.

Prop pick: Under 5.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via Betway | Implied probability: 52.38%

I backed the Under 5.5 goals in Calgary’s last game, too. However, that backfired when the Flames allowed two third-period goals. 

I don’t love the 5.5 benchmark, but the odds for 6.5 (-180) are too steep. Ottawa’s recent hot run is due to its sound defensive play, largely thanks to Linus Ullmark playing at the level the Sens expected when they traded for him.

Ullmark has won his last six starts, allowing just five goals while securing two shutouts. Five of the previous seven Senators’ contests had five or fewer goals.

Senators vs. Flames odds movement

There's been mild movement on the moneyline, with the Senators still favored but going from about -133 to -128.

Senators vs. Flames live odds & info

  • When: Thursday, Dec. 19
  • Puck drop: 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, Alberta)
  • How to watch: ESPN+
  • Favorite: Senators (-130 via Betway)

Senators vs. Flames injuries

Here are our best NHL betting sites:

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.