Norris Trophy Odds 2024-25: Makar the Favorite, Hughes Surging
Last Updated: December 12, 2024 4:32 PM EST • 5 min 40 sec read.
Quinn Hughes will not go down without a fight, as the reigning Norris Trophy winner closed the gap on Cale Makar, who remains the 2024-25 Norris Trophy odds favorite.
Hughes shot up from +550 to +215 over the last seven days and is closer in this race than the odds reflect.
Makar's odds decreased ever so slightly at our best NHL betting sites, moving from -215 to -180. Hughes and Makar are the only players with an implied win probability of over 5%. Both will feature heavily for Canada and the USA, the 4 Nations Face-Off odds front-runners.
Zachary Werenski, Josh Morrissey, and Roman Josi round out the five favorites, with the latter leapfrogging Adam Fox. Like his Stanley Cup odds favorite Edmonton Oilers, Evan Bouchard is starting to heat up and is receiving the sixth-shortest odds, tied with Fox.
Norris Trophy odds 2024-25
Some recent Norris Trophy odds takeaways:
- Of the favorites, Werenski boasts the best plus-minus (plus-9), an impressive stat considering the Columbus Blue Jackets have posted a goal differential of minus-6
- Werenski and Makar have logged nine goals each, the most among defensemen
- Hughes leads the Canucks with 32 points
Norris Trophy odds favorites 2024-25
Cale Makar (-180)
DraftKings offers the best odds for Makar at -180. He was getting odds of -350 at BetMGM last week. His price at that book has since lengthened to -210.
While still the prohibitive favorite, his implied probability at BetMGM has shifted from 77.78% to 67.74. That just shows what can happen in seven days.
However, he's still clearly ahead of the field, although Hughes is currently making an emphatic statement.
It's a testament to how well Makar has acquitted himself. He's logged 36 points in 30 games, leading all defensemen in scoring. His 1.20 points per game are the most, but Hughes is closing quickly with 1.19.
Makar leads with 27 assists and has registered the second-most power-play points (15) behind the Carolina Hurricanes' Shayne Gostisbehere (17).
He also leads in primary assists (16), is tied for third in assists per 60 minutes (2.14), and has snatched the seventh-most takeaways (21).
The former Norris Trophy winner fell just short of his ultimate goal in 2024, letting the award for best defenseman slip through his fingers. While he's on pace not to let that happen again, Hughes is surging and will have every reason to believe in his Norris Trophy stock.
Best odds: -180 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 64.29%
Quinn Hughes (+250)
Hughes is rising fast, and the stats suggest this race is closer than the odds reflect. The Canucks' ace is near the top of most statistical categories, including goals (tied for fourth), assists (third), points (second), and points per game (second).
And he's performing much better than Makar in most advanced analytics.
- Hughes has the fourth-best Corsi rating (Makar is 30th)
- Hughes has the 10th-best on-ice goals percentage (Makar is 54th)
- Hughes has the third-best on-ice expected goals percentage (Makar is 29th)
- Hughes has the fifth-best shot attempts against per 60 minutes (Makar is 51st)
While advanced stats rarely translate to votes, Quinn's widespread superiority should eventually turn some heads. His +250 odds offer excellent value, and a winning $10 bet will yield a $25 profit.
Best odds: +250 BetRivers | Implied probability: 28.57%
My Norris Trophy player to watch
Zach Werenski (+2000)
Outside of the big two, Werenski is getting the best chance of capturing his first Norris Trophy. The Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman is plus-9 on a non-playoff team, which speaks volumes considering how often he plays against the opposition's best players.
He's third in points (29), has tallied nine goals (tied for the most among defensemen with Makar), and Werenski has the fourth-most even-strength points (18).
The Blue Jackets rely on Werenski as much, if not more, than the Canucks and Avalanche do with Hughes and Makar. He's worth a flier At +2000, and a winning $10 bet would profit $200.
Best odds: +2000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 4.76%
How to read Norris Trophy futures odds
Reading Norris Trophy odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a team winning the championship. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability.
Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, trades, and betting patterns.
How to bet on Norris Trophy futures odds
The Norris Trophy has become an award designated for the NHL's best offensive defenceman. Those who produce offensively are the most likely finalists and winners.
So keep that in mind when choosing your Norris Trophy picks.
Does he play on an offensive team? Along with backing someone who tallies a ton of points, make sure he plays for a team that can frequently light the lamp.
For example, Evan Bouchard, Miro Heiskanen, and Makar fit this bill. Each player suits up for offensively potent teams, increasing their chances of winning the individual accolade.
Is the player injury-prone? Ensure you're selecting a durable blue liner who spends way more time on the ice than on the treatment table.
Is the player a power-play specialist? This corresponds to the previous category, but it's imperative you back those who are power-play specialists, quarterbacks if you will.
Also, do they quarterback a proficient or middling power play? Bouchard quarterbacks arguably the NHL's best power play, further lifting his Norris stock. Last year's winner, Hughes, scored 38 of 82 points on the power play.
2025 Norris Trophy odds over time
We'll be tracking the Norris Trophy odds throughout the 2024-25 NHL season. Odds via DraftKings.
| Player | Opening odds (June 28) | Dec. 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cale Makar | +225 | -180 |
| Adam Fox | +600 | +5000 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | +800 | +5000 |
| Quinn Hughes | +1000 | +190 |
| Miro Heiskanen | +1100 | +5000 |
| Charlie McAvoy | +1400 | +10000 |
| Dougie Hamilton | +1600 | +10000 |
| Erik Karlsson | +1600 | +15000 |
| Roman Josi | +1800 | +3000 |
| Josh Morrissey | +2000 | +2500 |
| Victor Hedman | +2200 | +5000 |
| John Carlson | +3500 | +15000 |
| Moritz Seider | +3500 | +20000 |
| Evan Bouchard | +4000 | +4000 |
| Jakob Chychrun | +4000 | +15000 |
Norris Trophy past winners
There hasn't been a repeat Norris Trophy winner in the last nine seasons. Erik Karlsson, who won in 2014-15 and 2022-23, is the last back-to-back winner.
| Season | Player | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Quinn Hughes | Vancouver Canucks | +1000 |
| 2022-23 | Erik Karlsson | San Jose Sharks | +8000 |
| 2021-22 | Cale Makar | Colorado Avalanche | +400 |
| 2020-21 | Adam Fox | New York Rangers | +3500 |
| 2019-20 | Roman Josi | Nashville Predators | +1600 |
| 2018-19 | Mark Giordano | Calgary Flames | N/A |
| 2017-18 | Victor Hedman | Tampa Bay Lightning | +650 |
| 2016-17 | Brent Burns | San Jose Sharks | +700 |
| 2015-16 | Drew Doughty | Los Angeles Kings | +500 |
| 2014-15 | Erik Karlsson | San Jose Sharks | +400 |
| 2013-14 | Duncan Keith | Chicago Blackhawks | +1200 |
Norris Trophy winners by team
Only five NHL franchises have seen their defensemen win five or more Norris Trophies, including the Rangers, Blackhawks, Red Wings, Canadiens, and Bruins.
| Team | Norris Trophies |
|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 14 |
| Montreal Canadiens | 12 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 9 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 8 |
| New York Rangers | 5 |
| New York Islanders | 3 |
| Edmonton Oilers | 2 |
| Washington Capitals | 2 |
| Ottawa Senators | 2 |
| Los Angeles Kings | 2 |
| San Jose Sharks | 2 |
| St. Louis Blues | 2 |
| Colorado Avalanche | 1 |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 |
| Vancouver Canucks | 1 |
| New Jersey Devils | 1 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 0 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 0 |
| Buffalo Sabres | 0 |
| Anaheim Ducks | 0 |
Most Norris Trophies
While records are meant to be broken, I'm not sure the same applies to Bobby Orr's haul of eight Norris Trophies, all of which were won in consecutive seasons.
| Player | Norris Trophies |
|---|---|
| Bobby Orr | 8 |
| Nicklas Lidstrom | 7 |
| Doug Harvey | 7 |
| Ray Bourque | 5 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 |
| Chris Chelios | 3 |
| Paul Coffey | 3 |
| Denis Potvin | 3 |
| Pierre Pilote | 3 |
Norris Trophy FAQs
Who is the Norris Trophy favorite?
Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar is the favorite, trading at -180. Those odds carry an implied probability of 64.29% via our odds calculator.
Who won the Norris Trophy last season?
Quinn Hughes won the Norris Trophy during the 2023-24 season, finishing ahead of Cale Makar of the Colorado Avalanche and Roman Josi of the Nashville Predators.
When will the Norris Trophy be decided?
Votes from the Professional Hockey Writers' Association must be filed before the Stanley Cup playoffs begin. The end of the 2023-24 regular season is Thursday, April 18.
Which team has the most consecutive Norris Trophy winners?
The Boston Bruins saw Bobby Orr win eight consecutive Norris Trophies.
Who won the most consecutive Norris Trophies?
Orr won eight consecutive Norris Trophies with the Boston Bruins from 1968 to 1975.
Who won the most Norris Trophies?
Orr's eight Norris Trophies are the most, while Nicklas Lidstrom and Doug Harvey won seven.
Which active player has the most Norris Trophies?
Erik Karlsson has won three Norris Trophies, the most of any active player.
Who was the last back-to-back Norris Trophy winner?
Nicklas Lidstrom won three in a row from 2006 to 2008.
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