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Maple Leafs vs. Flyers Prediction, Prop Picks & Odds for Jan. 7

Connor Cooper

Last Updated: January 7, 2025 2:16 PM EST • 2 min 44 sec read.

Toronto Maple Leafs left wing Matthew Knies looks on at the faceoff circle against the Pittsburgh Penguins during the first period as we look at our Maple Leafs vs. Flyers prediction.
Toronto Maple Leafs left wing Matthew Knies looks on at the faceoff circle against the Pittsburgh Penguins during the first period. Photo by Charles LeClaire/Imagn Images.

The surging Toronto Maple Leafs look to beat the Philadelphia Flyers for the second time in three days when the teams meet tonight at Wells Fargo Center (7:30 p.m. ET, Sportsnet).

The Leafs needed to work overtime to beat the Flyers 3-2 Sunday in Toronto, but our Maple Leafs vs. Flyers prediction anticipates a more comfortable Toronto victory during the rematch. We also like forward Matthew Knies to continue his strong play on the Leafs’ top line alongside Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner.

The Maple Leafs enter the matchup sitting eighth in the Stanley Cup odds.

Today's Maple Leafs vs. Flyers prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: | Implied probability: 37.7%

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The Maple Leafs might be playing their best hockey of the season right now while riding a four-game winning streak into tonight’s matchup. They’ve also won four straight on the road while outscoring their opposition 18-9 during that stretch.

Meanwhile, the Flyers are in an awkward situational spot while playing their first home game in nearly three weeks. Philadelphia went 2-3-1 during a six-game road trip that included four games out west before ending with Sunday’s overtime loss in Toronto.

Leafs show they can defend without McCabe

We're getting a discounted price on the Maple Leafs tonight because of Sunday’s injury to shutdown defenseman Jake McCabe, who hit his head during a fight with Garnet Hathaway. However, Toronto showed Sunday that it can still tighten the clamps without McCabe, allowing just one goal and 18 shots to the Flyers after he left the game in the first period.

If anything, the McCabe injury could provide some added motivation for the Leafs to beat the Flyers for the 10th time in their last 11 meetings.

Toronto also enjoys a huge edge in net. Top Leafs netminder Joseph Woll will return to the crease to face the unproven Ivan Fedotov.

Flyers have already suffered 15 multi-goal losses

Betway is also offering a +110 return on the Leafs to win in regulation, but I’d rather take a chance at a better price on Toronto notching a multi-goal win.

Currently, 18 of the Leafs’ 26 victories this season have been of the multi-goal variety, while Philly has suffered 15 of its 18 regulation-time defeats in the same way.

Maple Leafs vs. Flyers player prop pick

NHL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.

Matthew Knies Goals: Over 0.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +250 via Betway | Implied probability: 28.6%

No one has benefitted more from Auston Matthews’ recent return to the lineup than Knies.

Skating on Toronto’s top line with Matthews and Mitch Marner, Knies snapped a 10-game scoring drought Saturday with his first career hat trick, and then he added another goal Sunday.

Knies has also been shooting the puck more lately, firing 15 shots on target in his last four games after managing just 16 in the forward's first 14 outings during December. He should enjoy several good looks once again tonight alongside Matthews and Marner, especially against a Flyers squad allowing 3.55 goals per game on the season.

Elsewhere, our Gary Pearson is also eyeing Matthews to score in his NHL player props and anytime goal scorer picks for tonight.

Maple Leafs vs. Flyers live odds & info

  • When: Tuesday, Jan. 7
  • Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
  • How to watch: Sportsnet Ontario
  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-140 via Betway)

Maple Leafs vs. Flyers injuries

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Written By:
Connor Cooper
Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions on NFL and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.