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Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: November 20, 2024 10:00 AM EST • 2 min 55 sec read.

Toronto Maple Leafs forward Bobby McMann scores a goal against Edmonton Oilers goalie Stuart Skinner as we offer our Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs prediction.
Toronto Maple Leafs forward Bobby McMann scores a goal against Edmonton Oilers goalie Stuart Skinner. Photo by Dan Hamilton via Imagn Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won five of their last six home games entering Wednesday's contest at Scotiabank Arena (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN+) against the Vegas Golden Knights. 

Toronto will look to improve upon its 8-3-0 record and seventh-best points percentage on home ice (.727). The Golden Knights have played better on the road recently, winning three of the last four after losing their first four to start the campaign. 

The Maple Leafs are slight favorites, but both teams are among the 10 Stanley Cup odds favorites, adding further intrigue to Wednesday's tilt.

Our Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs prediction believes the best value in tonight's game lies in backing Bobby McMann to continue his recent ascent. 

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best bet: Bobby McMann Over 2.5 shots 

Best odds: | Implied probability: 54.55%

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McMann has benefitted from Auston Matthews' time on the treatment table, allowing him to earn more ice time while playing on the top line with John Tavares and Mitch Marner.

He has grown into the role and become increasingly influential, helping the trio dominate proceedings. 

The uptick in his ice time has been most noticeable in the last three games, when he's averaged 17:44. That's almost four minutes more than his season average of 13:58. One of Craig Berube's hallmarks as a coach is finding role players who bleed for the shirt while consistently putting in the hard yards and rewarding them accordingly. 

McMann offers Berube that in spades.

McMann is excellent on the boards in the offensive zone and can put the defense on their heels with his powerful, purposeful, and direct north-south skating.

The 28-year-old had at least three shots in the last three games and fired six on Ottawa in a losing effort and eight on Washington the following night. He was most impressive against Washington, in which he was buzzing from start to finish.  

I also like McMann to score at least one point, which comes with +115 odds.

He has three points in the last two games, including two goals against the Oilers on Saturday, and has been a constant threat. Against Edmonton, he had an expected goals rate of 67.08%, the team's fourth highest. His linemates finished first and second. The previous night in Washington, McMann led the team with 0.79 expected goals, over 18% of the team's total tally. 

A $10 wager will profit $8.33 if he gets three shots on goal. And if McMann notches at least one point, you'll earn $11.50 on a $10 bet. 

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs player prop bet

NHL picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change.

Mitch Marner prop bet: Over 1.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +150 via Betway | Implied probability: 40%

Before pulling the trigger on this Mitch Marner prop, I was drawn to Matthew Knies to notch at least one point. However, I found the -120 price too rich for my blood.

Cue the Marner train. Marner has been sensational since Matthews was sidelined. He scored two points in five of the last six games, with the only exception against the Senators when his team was shut out. Marner has 10 points in the last six games.

Marner to get a power-play point offers excellent value (+190), but the Golden Knights are one of the most disciplined road teams, which should reduce the chances he gets.

A winning $10 bet will profit $15. 

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs live odds & info

  • When: Wednesday, Nov. 20
  • Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
  • How to watch: ESPN+
  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-125 via Betway)

Golden Knights-Maple Leafs predictions made Wednesday at 9 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.