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Golden Knights vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: November 23, 2024 1:17 PM EST • 2 min 50 sec read.

Vegas Golden Knights center Tomas Hertl celebrates scoring a goal against the Utah Hockey Club as we offer our Golden Knights vs. Canadiens prediction.
Vegas Golden Knights center Tomas Hertl celebrates scoring a goal against the Utah Hockey Club. Photo by Rob Gray via Imagn Images

It's a colossal day for the Las Vegas sports scene as the Vegas Golden Knights face the Montreal Canadiens before Sin City hosts arguably the most anticipated F1 race, which we cover in our Las Vegas Grand Prix picks. 

The Golden Knights race into Montreal as one of the Stanley Cup odds front-runners. After losing four straight in enemy rinks to start the season, Bruce Cassidy's squad has won three of four, including a 3-2 win in Ottawa on Thursday. 

Montreal has also gotten its act together recently, winning three of the last four after losing six straight. Our Golden Knights vs. Canadiens prediction expects the visitors to live up to their status as favorites and win in regulation.  

The game starts at the Bell Centre in Montreal at 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network, Hockey Night in Canada). 

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best bet: Golden Knights 3-way ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: | Implied probability: 51.22%

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The Golden Knights have won six straight against the Canadiens, and I expect the game script to follow that narrative, even without Mark Stones' participation. The Vegas captain hasn't played since Nov. 6, and there is no definitive timeline for his return. 

While he represents a significant loss, the Golden Knights have turned things around on the road. With a 5-3-1 record, they have the 10th-best points percentage (.611) in enemy environments since Nov. 1. Vegas doesn't create many chances but is one of the most ruthless when an opportunity presents itself. 

They have the fifth-best five-on-five shooting percentage (10.12), the third-best goals for above expected (8.19), and are buoyed by a share of the league's second-best power play (30.8%). 

Canadiens' recent improvements won't be enough

Montreal has notably improved its performance in the last two weeks.

However, the Canadiens still have the league's second-worst defense, allowing 3.68 goals per game. They allow the second-most goals per 60 minutes at five-on-five (3.36).  

The Canadiens haven't played since Monday, which could be perceived positively or negatively. I'm leaning toward the latter in this scenario, as four days between games can often be an effective momentum killer. 

If the Golden Knights win in regulation, a $10 bet will yield a $9.52 profit. 

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens prop bets

NHL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change.

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens: Under 6.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -125 via Betway | Implied probability: 55.56%

It's obvious that Martin St. Louis has been working tirelessly to improve the Habs' porous defense. The improvement in recent weeks is palpable, with Montreal allowing just three goals in the last three contests.

Four of the last five Montreal and Vegas games had six goals or fewer.

The lone exception for the Golden Knights came in Washington, where the Capitals scored an empty-net goal, pushing it into Over territory. 

A winning $10 bet will profit $8. 

Tomas Hertl prop: Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +110 via Betway | Implied probability: 47.62%

Tomas Hertl has increased his shot production significantly recently and is more willing to shoot on sight without his captain's presence. He had at least three shots in four of the last five games and is averaging 3.8 shots per game in that stretch. Plus, the Canadiens allow the third-most shots per game (32.5) on home ice.

The plus-money odds make it an even more appealing play, and a winning $10 bet will profit $11. 

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens live odds & info

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 23
  • Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bell Centre (Montreal)
  • How to watch: NHL Network
  • Favorite: Golden Knights (-165 via Betway)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.