NFL Week 8 Player Prop Picks & Odds: Fade These 2 NFC South Passers on Sunday

We suffered heartbreak to open our NFL Week 8 player prop picks, barely missing out on both of our NFL player props to kick off the week.

We've still managed a profitable run in five of the first seven weeks of the season, and we have our eyes on three more NFL player prop bets in a jam-packed Sunday.

We're fading a veteran quarterback in the early window and betting on a miscue from an embattled young passer in a matchup of Super Bowl odds long shots.

We wrap up the slate with a bet on the Sunday Night Football odds for a promising young back who should feast against one of the worst run defenses in football.

Here's a look at my favorite player props this week as part of our NFL Week 8 predictions.

NFL player prop picks for Week 8

NFL odds as of Friday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Baker Mayfield Under 230.5 passing yards (-113 via BetRivers) vs. Falcons ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Bryce Young Over 0.5 interceptions () at Broncos ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jordan Mason Over 78.5 rushing yards () vs. Cowboys ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Cooper Kupp Over 6.5 receptions (-110 via bet365) vs. Vikings ⭐⭐⭐⭐❌
• Aaron Jones Over 96.5 rush + rec yards (-113 via BetRivers) at Rams ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐❌

NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Best player prop bets for Sunday

Baker Mayfield Under 230.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Mayfield padded his stats (370 yards, 3 TDs) last week against the Baltimore Ravens in a 41-31 blowout loss that was much more lopsided before a barrage of garbage-time touchdowns by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

It was a similar story the week before, when the Bucs laid it on the New Orleans Saints in a 51-27 win that saw Mayfield throw for 325 yards and four touchdowns.

He had failed to clear 200 yards passing in three of his previous four starts, and now he'll be without top targets Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) on Sunday.

The Atlanta Falcons' defense hasn't been a stellar unit this year, though it's especially vulnerable against the run, which feels like the smarter way for Todd Bowles and Co. to approach this critical NFC South duel.

Philip Wood has some other plays for this game in his Falcons vs. Buccaneers player prop bets.

Best odds: -113 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 53.05%

Bryce Young Over 0.5 interceptions (-139) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

This might be the last chance we get this year (or ever) to fade the Carolina Panthers' struggling young passer, and I'm sure not going to waste the opportunity.

Young will be thrown back into the fire on Sunday in place of veteran Andy Dalton (thumb), who threw at least one interception in each of the last four weeks.

He'll be without his top best receivers in Adam Thielen (hamstring) and Diontae Johnson (ribs) while facing a Denver Broncos defense that returns All-Pro cornerback Pat Surtain II for this Sunday's matchup.

Young threw a pick in each of his first two starts this season, and another this week would turn a $10 bet at Caesars into a $7.19 profit.

Best odds: -139 via Caesars | Implied probability: 58.16%

Jordan Mason Over 78.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

It appears the market has soured on Mason, who had rushed for at least 73 yards in each of his first six games until a 58-yard effort last week - the most by any running back against the Kansas City Chiefs this season.

Even with that "paltry" total, Mason logged a season-high 86% of the snaps to stave off concerns that teammate Isaac Guerendo (who had one carry) would steal a leading role in the San Francisco 49ers offense.

Mason only needed nine carries to hit 73 yards in Week 6 before leaving with injury, and he was averaging 107.2 yards per game coming into that Thursday contest.

He'll get another shot to impress in prime time against the Dallas Cowboys, who rank dead last in EPA/rush (0.13) and fifth-worst in opponent rushing yards per game (143.2). It could be his last chance, too, with Christian McCaffrey expected to return after the team's Week 9 bye.

That's why I love the Over on his rushing yards total and especially this number at FanDuel, which is trading one yard lower than the market consensus.

As a special SNF affair, we dive deeper on with our Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction and our Cowboys vs. 49ers player prop bets.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

Best player prop bets for Thursday Night Football

Cooper Kupp Over 6.5 receptions (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐❌

This feels like the public play of the century with Kupp coming back tonight, but there's too much logic here not to buy low at these -110 odds.

Yes, the Vikings feature the best defense in the NFL, but Kupp looked like the best receiver in football for the first six quarters of the season. He hauled in 14 of 21 targets in Week 1 and had four catches on six targets by halftime in Week 2 before leaving with injury.

He'll be back in tow tonight amid swirling trade rumors ahead of next month's NFL trade deadline, which we dove into further in our look at the Cooper Kupp next team odds.

If the Rams really want a second-round pick for a 31-year-old receiver, they'll surely want to prove that he's healthy and worth a haul before Nov. 5.

Los Angeles has also struggled to find success without Kupp, who has been Matthew Stafford's security blanket for years. The veteran passer has struggled with the rush this year behind the Rams' shaky offensive line but historically fares better against extra pressure with Kupp on the field.

With the Vikings featuring the NFL's highest blitz rate (42.5%), I'm expecting a steady dose of quick passes to the former All-Pro wideout.

So do our best NFL prop betting sites, which have this prop priced as high as -130 to the Over. That's why I love this value from bet365 ahead of tonight's matchup.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Aaron Jones Over 96.5 rush + rec yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐❌

It wasn't that long ago that this prop was dealing in the low 70s on a weekly basis, but our best NFL betting sites have caught onto what I've been preaching all year.

Jones remains a legitimate weapon in his eighth season, averaging 105.5 scrimmage yards through six games despite playing just 16 snaps in Week 5 before leaving with an injury.

He bounced back in a big way last week with a combined 116 yards and a touchdown against the Lions' stout run defense.

Jones has now cleared the century mark in four of his six games, and he played a combined 49 snaps - only six more than his Week 7 total - in the two misses.

Vikings QB Sam Darnold has been prolific from a clean pocket this year, but he's struggled under duress and faces a Rams unit that ranks in the top five in pressure rate (28.6%) and leads the NFL in hurry rate (14.3%).

That's why I'm expecting Jones to be involved once again as a rusher and a receiver out of the backfield. And if he gets his chances, expect him to make them count.

To top it all off, BetRivers is offering a prop total three yards below market consensus. I'd still be willing to bet Over 99.5 at BetMGM, but take advantage of this outlier number if you can.

Best odds: -113 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 53.05%

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