NFL Week 12 Player Prop Bets: Best Odds & Picks This Week

We bounced back last week with a 2-1 record on our NFL player props, and we love the value on this truncated slate with our NFL Week 12 player prop bets and odds.

Even with six teams on a bye week, Sunday's schedule features multiple Super Bowl odds hopefuls in action - including two NFC East contenders who should have little trouble scoring touchdowns on the ground.

Here are my favorite player props this week as part of our NFL Week 12 predictions.

NFL player prop bets for Week 12

NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Anthony Richardson to throw an interception (-159 via BetRivers) vs. Lions ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Brian Robinson Jr. to score a touchdown () vs. Cowboys ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Cade Otton Under 5.5 receptions () at Giants ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown () at Rams ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Best NFL player prop bets this week

Anthony Richardson to throw an interception (-159) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Last week, we took advantage of Richardson facing a juicy matchup against the struggling New York Jets defense, which surrendered 272 passing yards and a score to the sophomore passer in his first game since getting benched.

This week, the Indianapolis Colts QB faces a much stiffer test against the Detroit Lions, who are allowing the NFL's lowest EPA/pass (-0.2) while ranking second in interceptions (14) and interception rate (3.4%) entering Week 12.

Incredibly, the Lions have picked off at least one pass in every single game this season after baiting Mac Jones into an ill-advised throw last week in a 52-6 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars.

I don't expect quite that lopsided of a result this week, but I do expect Detroit to take care of business after beating each of its last sub-.500 opponents by at least 38 points.

If that trend continues, don't be surprised if Richardson - who already has seven interceptions in seven starts - tries to use his cannon arm to hero-ball his team back into contention. That sounds like a perfect recipe for another interception.

These -159 odds might scare off some folks, but they imply just over a 60% chance that the Lions extend their interception streak to 11 games and would return a $6.29 profit on a $10 bet if they do.

Best odds: -159 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 61.39%

Brian Robinson to score a touchdown (-145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Everything about Robinson screams "pedestrian rusher." The former third-round pick ranks just above league average in yards per attempt (4.5) and yards per game (65.5), and he's carried the ball between 12 and 17 times in six of eight games this season.

Yet he's been a touchdown machine for the Washington Commanders, who rank third in total rushing attempts (343) and have scored on a ridiculous 55.1% of their possessions this season - the best mark in the NFL entering Week 12.

Robinson has reached the end zone in six of his eight games so far, including last week's 26-18 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in his return from a hamstring injury.

Incredibly, even with 2-3 games fewer than most of his peers, Robinson is tied for ninth in carries inside the 10-yard line (16) - accounting for all seven of his touchdowns - and ranks 11th in carries inside the five (eight).

I'm fully expecting him to feast this week against this horrid Dallas Cowboys run defense, which still ranks dead last in opponent EPA/rush (0.12) and rushing touchdowns allowed (18).

If Robinson reaches pay dirt on Sunday, a $10 wager at BetMGM would return a $6.90 profit.

Mike Spector is also backing Robinson in the touchdown market with his NFL Week 12 best bets.

Best odds: -145 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 59.18%

Cade Otton Under 5.5 receptions (-146) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Otton enjoyed a sudden bump in production a few weeks ago after the Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost their top two receivers in Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle). I don't expect that to continue this Sunday.

The former fourth-round pick combined for 19 catches for 163 yards - averaging 3.2 receptions and 27.2 yards - over his first six games this season. Then he exploded for 25 catches and 258 yards over three weeks with those receivers out.

He fell back down to earth last week with five catches for 35 yards, and I'm expecting another dip in production with Evans set to return this weekend.

This is also a brutal matchup against the New York Giants, who are allowing the NFL's fewest yards (332) and targets (42) and second-fewest receptions (37) to opposing tight ends across their first 10 games.

Even with all that, our best sportsbooks still have this total at a consensus of 5.5, though the Under is dealing between -155 and -161 at nearly every shop.

The lone exception is FanDuel, which is offering a relative value at -146 odds with a winning $10 bet returning a $6.85 profit if Otton misses this mark.

Best odds: -146 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 59.35%

Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

For the life of me, I cannot understand why any of our best sports betting sites would offer such generous odds on Hurts to score a touchdown.

The Eagles' dual-threat QB has already scored 11 times this year, which ranks second among all players (not just quarterbacks), and his 1-yard touchdown last week was his ninth score in the last five weeks alone.

It also marked Hurts' eighth touchdown run inside the five-yard line, which leads all players, while his 12 rushes near the goal line rank second leaguewide.

By now, I would think it's common knowledge that Hurts is the most dangerous weapon in football in the red zone, and the latest Sunday Night Football odds have Hurts priced as short as -145 to score against the Los Angeles Rams.

It seems like DraftKings didn't get the memo, as these -125 odds would turn a $10 bet into an $8 profit if Hurts plunges into the end zone for the sixth straight week.

Best odds: -125 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 55.56%

NFL betting odds pages

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• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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