Vikings vs. Rams TNF Parlay: Thursday Night Football SGP Odds

Could the Vikings fall victim to the post-Lions hangover on Thursday Night Football? Line movement throughout today suggests it’s a possibility in this potential public trap tonight.

Our Vikings vs. Rams TNF parlay based on our best Thursday Night Football odds likes the Rams to show up in a key home spot in Cooper Kupp’s return.

Meanwhile, a key trend against the Los Angeles defense could spell out the script for how Minnesota could filter its aerial attack as part of our NFL Week 8 predictions.

Vikings vs. Rams parlay: Thursday Night Football

Editor's note: T.J. Hockenson was Thursday afternoon.

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

• Rams +3 (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jordan Addison Under 43.5 receiving yards (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• T.J. Hockenson Over 26.5 receiving yards (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: | Implied probability: 16.67%

SGP predictions for Vikings vs. Rams

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Rams +3 (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

As of a few hours before kickoff, 78% of spread bets had been placed on Minnesota. That comes even as we've seen the line move to Vikings -2.5 across our best sportsbooks today after it sat at the opening line of -3 for several days.

Could the post-Lions hangover trend be behind the movement?

• The first four teams to face the Lions this season followed up their matchup with Detroit by losing in lopsided fashion the next week
• The Rams, Bucs, Cardinals, and Seahawks lost those games by a combined 87 points despite all four closing as favorites
• Los Angeles is 2-1 outright at home, including a win over the 49ers

As of this writing, BetMGM and Caesars still list the Rams at +3 with DraftKings and FanDuel dropping the line to Rams +2.5.

Jordan Addison Under 43.5 receiving yards (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Although the Rams have the 18th-ranked pass defense (211.8 YPG), it’s been a rarity to see multiple wide receivers feast against the Los Angeles secondary in the same week.

We always assume Justin Jefferson will eat, so it could mean less volume for Addison this week.

• The Rams have allowed multiple wide receivers to eclipse 40 receiving yards against them in the same game only once all season
• The likely return of T.J. Hockenson to the lineup should further shrink the opportunity for Addison, who has been limited to three receptions in each of his four games played even without Hockenson in the lineup
• Addison has cleared this line in two of four contests this year

Addison’s receiving total sits between 42.5 and 43.5 yards across our best sports betting apps, which has moved in our favor up from 39.5 yards earlier in the week.

T.J. Hockenson Over 26.5 receiving yards (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Vikings are expected to get Hockenson back from injury for his season debut tonight. Although there could be limitations on his involvement in his first game back, this matchup is a smash spot for opposing tight ends.

• The Rams have allowed 407 receiving yards to tight ends, which ranks fifth-most despite L.A. already enjoying its bye week
• Hockenson cleared this prop total in 14 of 15 games played last season
• Averaging 10.4 yards per reception for his career, Hockenson is efficient enough to potentially clear this line even on a limited snap share

Due to uncertainty surrounding his status, several NFL prop betting sites don’t offer Hockenson receiving totals. We found a 26.5-yard receiving line offered by both Caesars and BetMGM.

Plugging our SGP into both sportsbooks, Caesars emerges with the most value at +500 odds compared to +450 at BetMGM. A winning $10 wager on this parlay at Caesars would profit $50 tonight.

Vikings vs. Rams odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Thursday Night Football game info

• Matchup: Vikings vs. Rams
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
• How to watch: Prime Video
• Weather: Indoors
• Favorite: Vikings -2.5 (-115 via FanDuel)

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