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Tyreek Hill NFL Player Props, Odds Week 18: Predictions for Bills vs. Dolphins for SNF

Phil Naessens

Last Updated: January 7, 2024 3:50 PM EST • 2 min 57 sec read.

The Miami Dolphins are set to do battle with the AFC East title on the line, and we're assessing their Week 18 matchup against the Buffalo Bills with our Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

The AFC East title is up for grabs Sunday night when the Bills and Dolphins meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. 

The Dolphins are missing multiple skill-position players, as wideout Jaylen Waddle and running back Raheem Mostert aren't expected to play in this ever-important matchup. That leaves alpha wide receiver Tyreek Hill firmly in the spotlight.

Can Miami head coach Mike McDaniel find creative ways to deploy the NFL's leading receiver against a stout Buffalo pass defense?

In addition to our NFL Week 18 predictions and NFL Week 18 player props, here are our best Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions for the Bills vs. Dolphins Week 18 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions for Week 18

  • Tyreek Hill Under 95.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyreek Hill Under 6.5 receptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Tyreek Hill player props

Tyreek Hill Under 95.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hill leads the NFL with 1,717 receiving yards, but he didn't fare well in his last meeting with the Bills, hauling in three of his five targets for 58 yards in the Dolphins' Week 4 blowout loss at Buffalo.

That was Hill's second-lowest output in a game this season, and we should expect more of the same from a Bills pass defense allowing only six receiving yards per play.

As fantasy football managers can testify, the Bills' defense allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position.

gives us the best number by three yards over most of our other best sports betting apps. We'll pay the extra two points in juice for the added three yards of insurance on Hill's receiving yards prop.  

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Tyreek Hill Under 6.5 receptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hill is a big part of the Dolphins' offense. However, he's cleared his receptions prop nine times in 15 games this season, which is likely why is offering +106 odds for this prop.  

Buffalo has allowed a paltry 11.5 receptions per game to wideouts. As previously mentioned, Hill managed to snag only three balls in the Dolphins' 48-20 Week 4 loss at Buffalo.

The Bills sacked Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa four times in that contest, and he was forced to look elsewhere to wideout Braxton Barrios and tight end Durham Smythe.

Expect Sunday to play out similarly, and for Hill to end with Under 6.5 receptions as a result.

Tyreek Hill anytime TD () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Expecting Hill to fail to clear his receiving props is one thing, but the Dolphins wide receiver can underperform his betting numbers and still score a touchdown.

Hill has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of 15 games this season, though he's failed to score a touchdown in each of his last three.

Miami has used Hill as a rusher just six times this season, but that could change on Sunday night. The Dolphins must get the ball into Hill's hands any way they can, and it isn't a reach to think Hill could scamper for a rushing TD against a stout Buffalo passing defense.

Tyreek Hill player prop picks made Saturday at 1:57 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Phil Naessens
Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a high-performance international tennis coach and has been handicapping sports since childhood. He published his first tennis article in 2005 and has been writing ever since at places like Covers, Game Day, SB Nation, Winners & Whiners, Stat Salt, Sharp App as well as many others. Phil has published four sports betting books and hosts podcasts This Week in Tennis and The Phil Naessens Show.