Skip to main content

Tyreek Hill MNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds

Mike Spector

Last Updated: November 11, 2024 10:49 AM EST • 3 min 47 sec read.

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill walks off the field dejected as we make our best Tyreek Hill MNF player prop bets.
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill walks off the field dejected. Photo by: BILL INGRAM/THE PALM BEACH POST / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.

Tyreek Hill and the Miami Dolphins look to end a three-game losing streak when they take on the Los Angeles Rams as road underdogs on Monday Night Football in Week 10.

  • Miami is amid its second three-game losing streak of the season, and all three losses have come by one possession
  • The Dolphins are coming off their 13th loss in the last 14 meetings with the Buffalo Bills, including the playoffs
  • Hill is looking to snap a seven-game streak without a touchdown
  • Hill is a game-time call for Monday Night Football, carrying a questionable designation with a wrist injury

As we break down in my Dolphins vs. Rams prediction, the Monday Night Football odds have the Dolphins as 1.5-point road underdogs.

As we continue our Week 10 NFL predictions, we factor that into our Tyreek Hill MNF player prop bets that this is one of four games on the Week 10 slate with an O/U of 49 points or more.

Tyreek Hill prop predictions for Monday Night Football

  • Tyreek Hill touchdown pick: Hill anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐
  • Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 receptions () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyreek Hill longest reception Over 25.5 yards (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL odds as of Monday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Tyreek Hill touchdown pick vs. Rams

Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown scorer (+135) ⭐⭐

I cannot give this play more than two stars, given that Hill’s only touchdown this season came on an 80-yard catch-and-run in Week 1. However, the Rams have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers, so if Hill is going to break a seven-game drought without a touchdown, it figures to be in this game.

Hill’s anytime touchdown implied probability is as high as 45.87% based on Caesars’ +118 odds. Thus, I am getting the best value making this wager at DraftKings, where a $10 wager would net $13.50 in profits if Hill finds the endzone.

There's a player on the other side that our Dolphins vs. Rams MNF prop bets think could find paydirt twice.

Best odds: +135 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 42.55%

Bet $5, Get $150 + $1K Deposit Bonus

Terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Tyreek Hill player props

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 receptions (+105) ⭐⭐⭐

Hill has caught six-plus passes in just three of eight games this season, but two of those came in the three games that Tua Tagovailoa started and finished.

In the three games since Miami’s bye week, Hill has seen a 19% target share. It may shock some to learn that tight end Jonnu Smith (22% of the team’s targets) and running back De’Von Achane (21% target share) have been more involved in the passing game since then.

However, this is a three-star play, as Los Angeles has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers, which suggests that the Dolphins will force-feed Hill more than usual.

Find out our thoughts on the man tossing him the ball in our Tua Tagovailoa MNF player prop bets and his opponent in our Matthew Stafford MNF player prop bets.

BetMGM is one of our only top sports betting sites offering plus-money odds for this wager. The +105 price is a great value compared to the -106 odds at FanDuel.

Best odds: +105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 48.78%

Up To $1,500 Back In Bonus Bets

Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Tyreek Hill longest reception Over 25.5 yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is our most confident four-star play of our trio of Hill player prop bets, as “the cheetah” has hauled in at least one pass of 28-plus yards in all three games Tua Tagovailoa started and finished.

The Rams rank in the bottom seven of the league in completion percentage allowed on passes of 10 or more air yards to wide receivers per Sharp Football Analysis. They also allow the fourth-most yards per attempt (13.6) on such passes.

And if Hill were to get loose for a throw of 20 or more yards downfield, Los Angeles allows such passes to be completed at the third-highest rate in the league (48.3%).

FanDuel’s O/U for this prop remains at 26.5, while our other best sports betting apps have come down slightly to 25.5.

Best odds: -120 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 54.55%

Dolphins vs. Rams odds

Monday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Dolphins vs. Rams
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Rams -1.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Related pages

Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”