Machibet CasinoTua Tagovailoa TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds vs. Packers on Thanksgiving

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa throws the football against the Las Vegas Raiders. We're fading Tagovailoa in our Tua Tagovailoa TNF player prop bets. — Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa throws the football against the Las Vegas Raiders. Photo by Sam Navarro via Imagn Images.

The Miami Dolphins have started to turn their season around with two straight wins but will have to beat a surging Green Bay Packers team to stay hot.

The final game of the Thanksgiving slate features the Miami Dolphins (5-6) braving the freezing weather at Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (8-3) at 8:30 p.m. ET (NBC).

As part of our Week 13 NFL predictions, my Tua Tagovailoa TNF player prop bets for this Thanksgiving matchup expect a quiet game due to the 26-degree weather, but mainly because of a formidable Green Bay pass defense.

The Packers have allowed the ninth-fewest passing yards this season. On top of that, they are the 12th-best defense in passing touchdowns and completions allowed, which is why our Dolphins vs. Packers prediction is backing Green Bay.

Don't forget to dive into our Dolphins vs. Packers player props.

Tua Tagovailoa prop predictions for Thursday Night Football

NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Tua Tagovailoa Under 247.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tua Tagovailoa Under 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tua Tagovailoa Under 22.5 pass completions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Tua Tagovailoa player props

NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Tua Tagovailoa Under 247.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Tagovailoa has averaged 251.4 passing yards through seven games this season and he's crossed that mark in his last two games.

However, he has done so against a bottom-third pass defense in the New England Patriots and a Las Vegas Raider defense that has allowed the sixth-most passing yards (258.7) over their last three matchups.

This week, he's facing a Green Bay defense that is allowing the fifth-fewest passing yards per game at home (175.8) this year. Only one quarterback has surpassed this total against the Packers in their last six outings.

Miami is in the bottom seven in the league in terms of passing play percentage on the road (51.3%). I expect the entire Dolphins offense to struggle against the 11th-best defense in total yards allowed per game (319.3) this season.

Elsewhere, Brenden Schaeffer expects Tagovailoa's struggles to contribute to a low-scoring affair in his Dolphins vs. Packers parlay picks.

Tua Tagovailoa Under 0.5 interceptions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50%

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Tagovailoa has thrown just one interception over his last five outings. He does have four overall this season, but three of those were tossed during his Week 2 matchup against the Buffalo Bills.

The Packers have managed to pick off opposing quarterbacks 11 times this season. However, they have only forced an interception in two of their last six games.

Green Bay will be without veteran cornerback Jaire Alexander who is missing another week due to a knee injury. Alexander was responsible for two of the Packers’ interceptions this season.

Tua Tagovailoa Under 22.5 pass completions (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +130 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 43.48%

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Tagovailoa has completed at least 23 passes in five of his seven games this year. Normally, that would point you to take the Over here.

His path to this number will be tough, though, as he is facing a Packers defense that's allowing an average of 20.8 completions per game this season. Only three opposing quarterbacks have gone Over this total against Green Bay in its 11 games.

This line has moved overnight as BetMGM was the only book offering plus money on this prop. Currently, all of our most trusted sportsbooks are in agreement, giving you more favorable odds on the Under.

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez

Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.