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NFL Touchdown Scorer Prop Picks for Week 16: Kelce to Break Scoring Drought

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: December 24, 2022 1:40 AM EST • 2 min 36 sec read.

We've highlighted three players for our top NFL Week 16 touchdown scorer prop bets based on the best NFL odds. 

Touchdowns are always eclectic in football, as are the players who score them. As most bettors know, predicting who will tally six points for their team can be frustrating. The old saying in fantasy, “touchdowns are fluky,” is also true in betting.

However, the following are three players who are in favorable positions to cash in on their odds to score points this week. If you are new to betting on six-point plays, there are several options to choose from, including first, last, or anytime. Some books like Barstool offer the chance to bet on the first player to score for their team. 

Here are our best NFL touchdown prop picks for Week 16 (odds via , , and ; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL Best Bets and all of our top NFL Picks for Week 16.          

Week 16 Touchdown Scorer Picks

  • Travis Kelce anytime TD (-119 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Christian McCaffrey 1st TD (+330 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo anytime TD (+390 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Travis Kelce anytime TD (-119) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Travis Kelce enters Week 16 in a five-way tie for fourth in total touchdowns in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs’ tight end leads his team in every receiving category and it’s not even close to second place. He has crossed the goal line at least once in six games this season. He is currently on a three-game touchdown drought. Kelce has not gone four straight games without a six-point reception this year. 

Seattle has allowed eight touchdowns to six different tight ends this season. Last week, they surrendered two scores to San Francisco 49ers’ tight end George Kittle. The Seahawks have kept Kelce out of the end zone in both of his career matchups against them. However, without Tyreek Hill, Kelce has become Kansas City’s main scoring threat. 

WynnBet has more confidence in a Kelce touchdown offering -179 with DraftKings clocking in at -160. Caesars gives you far more bang for your buck.   

Check out our Seahawks vs. Chiefs Picks!

Christian McCaffrey First TD (+330) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Since coming back to the Bay Area two months ago, Christian McCaffrey has scored four of his six rushing touchdowns and three of his four receiving touchdowns. He has crossed the goal line in three straight games. 

McCaffrey is currently juiced up to -185 on Caesars, -182 at Barstool, and -164 on WynnBet for an anytime score. The value for CMC can be found by betting on him to strike first.

Washington faced Saquon Barkley in back-to-back weeks and allowed him to cross the goal line in both.

Check out our Commanders vs. 49ers Picks!

Chigoziem Okonkwo anytime TD (+390) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Chigoziem Okonkwo has emerged over the last few weeks as one of the Tennessee Titans' main receiving threats. He’s garnered 31 targets over the last four weeks and has snared 17 of them. One of those receptions has found its way into the end zone. His price is set with the overall lack of explosion in the Tennessee passing game and a general lack of scoring overall. 

He draws a favorable matchup this week against a Houston defense that is allowing 3.3 touchdowns per game over their last three contests, the fifth most in that span. 

You can find the same price at WynnBet and Barstool for this prop. This price dips to +305 on Caesars.

Check out our Texans vs. Titans Picks!

NFL touchdown prop picks made 12/22/2022 at 9 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.