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Titans vs. Dolphins Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for MNF Week 4

Connor Cooper

Last Updated: September 24, 2024 10:48 AM EDT • 3 min 7 sec read.

Miami Dolphins quarterback Skylar Thompson passes as we look at our Titans vs. Dolphins early leans & predictions for Monday Night Football
Miami Dolphins quarterback Skylar Thompson passes at Lumen Field. Photo by: Joe Nicholson/Imagn Images.

It’s still September, but the wheels have already come off for the Tennessee Titans and Miami Dolphins. Tennessee enters Week 4 seeking its first victory of the season, while Miami has dropped two straight and is without star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa for at least three more games.

As part of our Week 4 NFL predictions, we ask: will Tennessee finally break through into the win column, or can Miami right the ship at home? We look at who the Monday Night Football odds favorite is as we provide our Titans vs. Dolphins early picks.

Check out the rest of our Titans vs. Dolphins coverage, including the Titans vs. Dolphins prediction, and Titans vs. Dolphins player props. 

My early Titans vs. Dolphins prediction: Dolphins moneyline

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Dolphins moneyline

Best odds: | Implied probability: 50.5%

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The Dolphins were 6.5-point favorites over the Titans on the lookahead line during the summer, and now we can get the Fish at essentially even money to win a critical game at home.

Maybe Tagovailoa is worth a touchdown to the point spread, but this still feels like an overadjustment, considering how much worse the 0-3 Titans have been compared to preseason expectations.

Miami’s quarterback issues have been exacerbated the past two weeks by early double-digit deficits the Dolphins faced against the Buffalo Bills and Seattle Seahawks. We shouldn’t see Miami in a similar hole this week against the low-scoring Titans, allowing the Dolphins to lean on the run game against a Tennessee defense that gave up 188 ground yards to the Green Bay Packers in Week 3.

And as badly as things have gone so far this season for the Dolphins, at least they’re not beating themselves. The same can’t be said about the Titans, whose minus-7 turnover ratio is the worst in the NFL — including a pair of pick-sixes thrown by Will Levis.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on NFL or this week's best sportsbook promos.

Titans vs. Dolphins live odds

See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week 4 game.

Moneyline

  • Titans best odds: | Implied probability: 52.40%
  • Dolphins best odds: | Implied probability: 50.50%

Most of our best sports betting sites are dealing the moneyline at -110 on both sides, but Dolphins backers could find a nice discount betting Miami at FanDuel’s -102 price.

That line might get a bit pricier later this week if Dolphins backup quarterback Skylar Thompson, who injured his ribs in Week 3 at Seattle, is cleared to play.

Spread

  • Titans best odds: -1 (-105) via
  • Dolphins best odds: -1 (-102) via

If you’re looking to save a few cents of juice, you might be able to lay a point backing either team on the point spread.

BetMGM is listing the Titans -1 -105, while DraftKings offered the Dolphins -1 at -102. Just a reminder if you’re considering this option: Tennessee won last year’s meeting in Miami by exactly one point.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 36.5 (-115) via
  • Under best odds: 37 (-108) via

Whenever you see an NFL game with a total this low, it’s almost always due to severe wind or rain in the forecast. Unless we see a huge storm coming to Miami Monday night, it’s hard to imagine the Over/Under going down much more before kickoff, regardless of how bad the quarterbacks are.

How to watch Titans vs. Dolphins

  • When: Monday, Sept. 30
  • Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla.
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 84 degrees, 40% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph SW
  • Favorite: Titans ()

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

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Written By:
Connor Cooper
Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions on NFL and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.