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NFL Thanksgiving Prop Picks, Predictions: Stars to Put on a Show

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: January 1, 0001 12:00 AM EST • 2 min 30 sec read.

Let us be thankful for a three-game slate of NFL action this Thursday. We say thanks to you with these NFL Thanksgiving Day prop picks.

It’s a day full of family and food, but also, it’s a day full of football. We wake up to the Buffalo Bills taking on the Detroit Lions. Then, during our second helping of turkey, the New York Giants square off against the Dallas Cowboys. Finally, as you fight through your evening food coma, the Minnesota Vikings battle the New England Patriots.

On top of their normal prop menu, DraftKings Sportsbook stuffs us full of specials for the Thanksgiving slate. These props will give you plenty to keep you engaged in every snap of every game. 

Here are our top NFL Thanksgiving Day prop picks (odds via DraftKings; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out all of our NFL Thanksgiving picks and our top Week 12 picks!

NFL Thanksgiving Prop Picks

Nfl Thanks Props

Check out our NFL Thanksgiving parlay!

NFL Thanksgiving Prop Predictions

Rhamondre Stevenson & Tony Pollard to have 150+ rushing yards combined (+170) ★★★★

The Cowboys running game still flows through Ezekiel Elliott. However, fourth-year back Tony Pollard has racked up 701 yards halfway through the season while Elliot has gained just 485 this year. Pollard has three games over 100 yards while working primarily as Elliot’s backup. He’s averaged 70.1 yards per game over his first 10 contests and that number has increased to 108.7 yards per game across his last three outings. The Giants are allowing an average of 135.9 rushing yards per game.

Stevenson comes into this week averaging 64.4 yards per game on the ground. He has eclipsed 100 yards only once this season but has six games with at least 60 yards rushing. Stevenson leads Patriots running backs in attempts (144) and averages 4.5 yards per carry. The Vikings defense is surrendering 121.6 rushing yards per game. Last week, Dallas ball carriers accumulated 151 total rushing yards against the Vikings.

Check out our Giants vs. Cowboys picks.

Josh Allen to have the most passing yards on Thanksgiving (+240) ★★★★

Allen has thrown for the second-most yards this season behind only Patrick Mahomes. His 293.0 yards per game average is also second to Mahomes. The Bills quarterback has five games in his 2022 campaign with more than 300 yards passing including two with at least 400 yards. Detroit's 262.2 passing yards allowed per game ranks fifth-worst in the NFL.

Allen's competition has some uphill battles on Thursday, too. Giants QB Daniel Jones is going up against a Cowboys defense that is allowing a league-low 174.5 passing yards per game. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is facing the fourth-best team in the league against his position (188.3 YPG), and Dallas QB Dak Prescott has yet to throw for 300 yards in any of his five outings this season.

Check out our Bills vs. Lions picks and same-game parlay.

Stefon Diggs and Justin Jefferson to each have 100+ receiving yards (+400) ★★★★★

Despite his 48-yard performance last week against the Cleveland Browns, Bills receiver Stefon Diggs is still one of the most prolific wide receivers in the league. Diggs already has 1,033 receiving yards this season which is the third most in the league. He has averaged 103.3 yards per game and eclipsed 100 yards six times this season. He also has two career games against Detroit in which he crossed the century mark. Six wideouts have exceeded this total against the Lions this season, including Giants rookie receiver Wan'Dale Robinson last week.

Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson sits one spot above Diggs on the leaderboard with 1,093 receiving yards. He has averaged 109.3 yards per game on 72 receptions in his 10 outings this year. The Vikings’ star wideout has six 100-yard performances in that span.

Check out our Patriots vs. Vikings picks.

Where to bet on NFL Thanksgiving Prop Picks

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Thanksgiving prop picks made 11/23/2022 at 7:53 p.m. ET.

Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.