2025 Super Bowl Odds: Bills the Favorite in Neck-And-Neck Battle; Vikings Ascend After MNF Win
Last Updated: December 17, 2024 1:42 AM EST • 13 min 46 sec read.
After leapfrogging Detroit, the Buffalo Bills enter Week 16 as the new Super Bowl odds favorites in Las Vegas and across our best Super Bowl betting sites, trading just ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles, Lions, and Kansas City Chiefs.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Vikings gained ground on the front-runners after comfortably swatting aside the Chicago Bears on MNF. Tied with the Lions at 12-2 atop the NFC North, the Vikings are receiving the sixth-shortest Super Bowl odds, just behind the Baltimore Ravens and the aforementioned fantastic four.
Detroit currently holds the tiebreaker thanks to its win over Minnesota in Week 7, but the rivals face each other again in Week 18 to close out the season.
The Green Bay Packers sit just behind the Vikings after their comprehensive 30-13 SNF win over the Seattle Seahawks. Here's our latest Super Bowl odds analysis as we look ahead to the NFL Week 16 odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Live updated Super Bowl odds from our best live betting sites entering Week 16.
- The Bills own the shortest odds at most of our best sportsbooks after vanquishing the previous favorite Lions in Sunday's 48-42 shootout at Ford Field. MVP odds runaway favorite Josh Allen deserves a ton of credit for their current status
- Detroit has been the most dominant team all year long, but injuries are mounting for one of the NFC's top contenders
- The Eagles made easy work of the in-state rival Pittsburgh Steelers to move into a tie with the Lions atop the NFC standings
- The Chiefs finally won a game by more than one score to preserve the best record in the NFL through 15 weeks. However, they lost Patrick Mahomes to a high-ankle sprain, with the quarterback said to be week-to-week
- The Ravens bounced back after their bye week with a blowout win over the New York Giants ahead of next week's clash with the rival Steelers
- The Vikings and Packers are knocking on the door of the top five as they compete in the loaded NFC North, with the former seeing their odds increase from +1600 to +1300
2025 Super Bowl odds favorites
Super Bowl odds courtesy of our best sports betting apps.
Bills (+425)
As I wrote about in my Bills Super Bowl odds feature last month, the Bills entered the year as dark-horse candidates with little momentum. Now, after a scintillating run over the last few weeks, they sit atop the latest Super Bowl odds after beating the previous favorite on the road.
Buffalo's offense was unstoppable Sunday, as it has been for the last two months since adding Amari Cooper to the arsenal of weapons at Allen's disposal. The defense has struggled over the last two weeks, though, which remains a concern ahead of the postseason.
The market is buying the Bills' hot run, anyway, and a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $42.50 profit heading into Week 16.
Best odds: +425 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 19.05%
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Eagles (+480)
Even after a week of controversy surrounding their offensive chemistry, the Eagles silenced the doubters with a convincing win over the Steelers to secure their 10th straight victory and move into a tie for the best record in the NFC.
That came even with a ho-hum effort from Saquon Barkley, the overwhelming favorite by the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, with Jalen Hurts carrying the load on offense and this top-ranked defense flustering Pittsburgh all day long.
Now, with Detroit's injury situation threatening to doom last year's NFC runner-up, the door is wide open for Philly to make a run back to the Super Bowl. This might be the most complete team in the NFC, if not the entire league, and you can still profit $48 on a $10 bet at FanDuel if it wins it all.
Best odds: +480 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 17.24%
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Lions (+500)
The Lions are no longer the consensus favorites after Sunday's thrilling loss to the Bills, which produced a combined 90 points and 1,080 total yards of offense.
They suffered even more losses on Monday, when the team announced that David Montgomer (MCL) and Alim McNeill (MCL) are both out for the season. That adds to a lengthy list of key injuries for Detroit, especially on defense, which casts a shadow of doubt on this team's longevity into January and February.
Still, this is arguably the most dangerous team in the NFL when everything is clicking, and it'll have a chance to prove itself over a tricky three-game stretch against the Bears, 49ers, and Vikings to close out the regular season.
And it just became even more tricky after the Vikings' MNF victory.
If Detroit can survive the gauntlet in the NFC and hoist the Lombardi Trophy for the first time in franchise history, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $50 profit.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%
Chiefs (+600)
For once, Kansas City didn't need a blocked field goal or last-second touchdown to escape with a victory, as it held off the Cleveland Browns for a 21-7 road win.
Yet that win came at a cost with QB Patrick Mahomes leaving the game with an ankle injury. That could derail our Super Bowl predictions if he's forced to miss time or if he suffers ill effects from the injury in the postseason.
We've seen Mahomes fight through injury and lead his team to a Super Bowl victory before, and if he can lead the Chiefs to a third straight title win, FanDuel would turn a $10 bet into a $60 profit.
Best odds: +600 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 14.29%
Ravens (+850)
It wasn't long ago that the Ravens owned the second-shortest odds to win it all. Now they remain a clear fifth even after bouncing back with a big win over the Giants.
Baltimore's defense showed some fight in New York to continue a strong showing of late, while Lamar Jackson helped reignite this offense after a rough stretch before the bye. If those units can find synergy down the stretch, we could be watching the best team in the NFL at a discounted title price.
For now, a $10 wager at Caesars would return an $85 profit if the Ravens win their first Super Bowl in a decade.
Best odds: +850 via Caesars | Implied probability: 10.53%
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2025 Super Bowl odds contenders
Packers (+1400)
I bet on the Packers as long shots earlier this year, and even I'm tempted by these odds on one of the most dangerous teams in the NFC field.
Jordan Love has proven himself as perhaps the best deep-ball merchant in the league with an array of capable receivers at his disposal, while Jeff Hafley's opportunistic defense is the type of unit that can swing games in the postseason.
We saw both of things on display on Sunday night, when Love showed off his brilliant arm and Green Bay's defense wreaked havoc on Geno Smith and Sam Howell in a 30-13 road win.
We've seen this group go toe-to-toe with some of the best teams in the NFL, and a $10 bet at bet365 would return a $1400 profit if the Packers win it all.
Best odds: +1400 via Caesars | Implied probability: 6.67%
Vikings (+1300)
I highlighted the Vikings as my "team to watch" a few weeks ago, and they keep stacking wins as they quietly stalk the Lions in the NFC North standings.
It feels like the market is still sleeping on this group, which is one of the best teams in the NFL with an offense full of star power behind two of the league's best play-callers in head coach Kevin O'Connell and defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
Minnesota posted another impressive win against its old foes from Chicago, although the Bears didn't offer much resistance. Regardless, this Vikings team is the real deal, and their +1300 would turn a $10 bet into a $130 profit if they win it all.
The Vikings have two remaining home games against the Seahawks and Lions and a road encounter at Green Bay. The Lions definitely have the easier schedule, with remaining games against the Bears and 49ers at home and the Vikings away.
However, the Lions have been hit by the injury bug at the most inopportune time, so it's by no means a lock. The NFC North title could come down to the highly anticipated Week 18 showdown against Detroit. Mark that Jan. 5 tilt on your calendar.
Best odds: +1300 via Caesars | Implied probability: 7.14%
My Super Bowl odds contender to watch
Rams (+4500)
Remember when the Rams appeared left for dead after injuries and bad breaks relegated them to a 1-4 start?
They've ripped off seven wins in nine games since their bye week and now hold the inside track to win the NFC West after outlasting the San Francisco 49ers in a 12-6 rock fight on Thursday Night Football.
I love betting on long shots with a proven coach and quarterback, and it's hard to find a better duo than Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford, who have already hoisted the Lombardi Trophy once before. If they do it again, a $10 wager would return a $450 profit at DraftKings.
Best odds: +4500 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 2.17%
My best 2025 Super Bowl odds long shot
Falcons (+17500)
At the risk of becoming a parody of myself - and perhaps I'm too late on that front - I still believe in the Falcons' chances to turn things around. And I'm not sure there's a more compelling value on the board than these long odds at Caesars.
The Falcons put an end to thier four-game losing streak against the laughable and anemic Las Vegas Raiders, increasing Atlanta's NFL playoffs odds.
The 15-9 snooze fest put the Falcons in the position to chase down the Buccaneers for the NFC South crown, and I still believe in a roster littered with former top-10 picks and All-Pros in a single-elimination tournament. Call me crazy, but with a $10 bet returning a $1,750 profit, I'll take my chances.
Best odds: +17500 via Caesars | Implied probability: 0.57%
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Super Bowl 2025 info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Detroit Lions (+275 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: John Batiste
Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Lions | +280 | 26.32% | $28 |
Chiefs | +440 | 18.52% | $44 |
Bills | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
Eagles | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
Ravens | +975 | 9.30% | $98 |
Packers | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
Steelers | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
Vikings | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
Chargers | +3100 | 3.13% | $310 |
Broncos | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
We're still awaiting the latest odds from Circa Sportsbook after a wild Week 15 that saw the previous favorite Lions go down in a thrilling afternoon affair.
Expect the Bills to take over as the new favorites, while the Eagles' odds should shorten a bit, too, as the Lions slip down the oddsboard in Las Vegas.
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Super Bowl point spread
We're still awaiting the point spread for Super Bowl 2025. Though if history is an indication, it'll likely open at shorter than a field goal.
Dating back to 2011, 10 of the last 14 matchups have featured a point spread of 3 points or shorter. That includes the last two seasons, when the Kansas City Chiefs won as short underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) and San Francisco 49ers (-2.5).
The last time the Super Bowl point spread exceeded a touchdown was 2008, when the undefeated New England Patriots were 12-point favorites to beat the New York Giants. That famously didn't end well for the Patriots, who suffered a 17-14 defeat.
Overall, favorites have posted a 29-24-2 record against the spread (54.7%) while winning 37 of 57 matchups straight up (64.9%). That doesn't include the 2015 Super Bowl, when the Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in a pick 'em.
Super Bowl moneyline odds
Updated Super Bowl moneyline odds via DraftKings.
AFC | NFC |
---|---|
-115 | -115 |
While we still don't know the teams involved, you can already bet on the Super Bowl 2025 moneyline odds based on which conference will win it.
The AFC has won two straight thanks to the Chiefs' dominant run, which extended a 7-3 stretch for the conference over the last 10 years. Three of the five favorites to win this year's Super Bowl hail from the AFC.
The NFC had won four of five Super Bowls before that span. The NFC champion has also entered the Big Game as the outright favorite in three straight years, so don't be surprised if the pendulum swings in that direction before long.
The AFC and NFC have each won 29 games straight up while posting an identical 28-28-2 record against the spread across the 58-year history of the Super Bowl.
Super Bowl O/U total
Once again, we'll likely need to wait until closer to the matchup being determined to bet on the Super Bowl total, which has been trending higher and higher in recent years.
Five of the last eight Super Bowls have featured a betting total of at least 50 points, which had only happened nine times in the previous 50 years. Last year's total of 46.5 was the lowest since 2016, though the Over cashed by 0.5 points after the Chiefs scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime.
That marked the second straight time the Over hit during the Super Bowl, which ended a successful four-year run for Under bettors. The Over has cashed 29 times compared to 28 wins for the Under throughout Super Bowl history.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Super Bowl odds history
Year | Team | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|
2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
2022 | Rams | +1200 |
2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
2019 | Patriots | +600 |
2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
2017 | Patriots | +600 |
2016 | Broncos | +900 |
2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
Team | Appearances | Wins |
---|---|---|
Patriots | 11 | 6 |
Steelers | 8 | 6 |
49ers | 8 | 5 |
Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
Broncos | 8 | 3 |
Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
Giants | 5 | 4 |
Packers | 5 | 4 |
Commanders | 5 | 3 |
Raiders | 5 | 3 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl?
The Buffalo Bills are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +425 odds, which implies a 19.05% chance they'll win their first Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
What will be the Super Bowl matchup?
The Super Bowl matchup isn't yet decided and won't be until after the AFC and NFC championship games. The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) lead the AFC and the Detroit Lions (12-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (12-2) lead the NFC entering Week 16. The Vikings also have a 12-2 record but have a more challenging schedule and lost to the Lions earlier in the season.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is the 2025 Super Bowl?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who will perform the Super Bowl 2025 halftime show?
Grammy Award-winning artist Kendrick Lamar will perform at the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously performed in the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show.
Who will sing the Super Bowl national anthem?
R&B artist John Batiste will sing the 2025 Super Bowl national anthem.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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