Machibet777 BetSunday Night Football Prop Picks, Predictions Week 11: Chiefs vs. Chargers Round 2

The AFC West rival Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers meet up again in Week 11. Can the Chargers avenge their early season loss? Find our favorite betting angles with these Sunday Night Football prop picks.

It’s a rematch between the Chargers and Chiefs as they meet in Southern California Sunday night. The Chiefs won the first matchup in a game that featured almost 600 passing yards between rival quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert.

The Chargers sit in second place to K.C. in the AFC West, two games back of the lead. L.A. lost two of their last three contests, while the Chiefs strung together three straight wins.

Here are our top Sunday Night Football Chiefs vs. Chargers prop picks (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and Barstool Sportsbook).

Sunday Night Football Prop Odds Analysis

Shopping for prop picks can be intimidating given the fluctuation in markets from book to book. Sites like DraftKings usually offer several weekly specials that focus on multiple players of game outcomes. Others like BetMGM offer one-game pre-determined parlays with odds that range from +300 to +500.

This article points you towards fun, game-oriented picks as well as non-traditional player props mainly specific to the listed book. 

Sunday Night Football Prop Picks

Sunday Night Football Prop Predictions

Herbert & Mahomes Over 4.5 passing touchdowns (-105)

It’s been another dominant season start for Kansas City QB Mahomes. The former MVP already racked up 25 passing touchdowns and leads the league in that category. He's averaged 2.78 six-point completions per game through his first nine contests. Mahomes threw for at least two TDs in six of eight career games against the Chargers.

Los Angeles QB Herbert amassed just 14 passing touchdowns this season. He’s hit a rocky patch lately, accounting for just four total scoring plays with his arm in the last three games. However, that all seems to change when he faces Kansas City. The Chargers’ signal-caller has 13 TD passes in five career contests versus the Chiefs.

These quarterbacks combined for five total touchdowns in their Week 2 meeting. They've failed to reach this total only once in five total matchups.

Chiefs to score first & win (+125)

Kansas City scored first in four of their nine total games this season. They've won all four of those contests. The Chiefs score an average of 5.7 points in the first quarter so far. Defensively, they surrender just 3.3 points in the first 15 minutes of the game.

L.A allowed the opposing team to score first and hang on to win twice this year. The Chargers are slow starters, averaging a mere 2.6 points in the opening frame to start the season. On the flip side, teams put up 6.3 points in the first quarter against the Bolts.

James Over 8.5 total tackles + assists (+110)

Chargers safety Derwin James Jr. ranks an NFL ninth with 85 total tackles this season, the only safety inside the top-10 in that category. Over the first nine games this year, he averaged 9.4 combined tackles. The Chargers’ tackle machine logged six outings in his 2022 campaign that exceeded this total. In his Week 2 faceoff with the Chiefs, James Jr. accounted for nine total takedowns.

Kansas City completes the league's third most passes per game (27.2), so there's plenty of opportunity for James Jr. to reach this mark again. This prop is also at BetMGM, but DraftKings gives an extra five points on the Over.

Where to Bet on Sunday Night Football Prop Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

Sunday Night Football prop picks made 11/18/2022 at 11:21 p.m. ET

Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez

Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.