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Steelers vs. Eagles Prediction, Picks & Best Bets Today: NFL Week 15

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 15, 2024 1:53 PM EST • 4 min 22 sec read.

Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth celebrates his touchdown as we make our best Steelers vs. Eagles prediction.
Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth celebrates his touchdown with wide receivers Ben Skowronek and Calvin Austin III. Photo by Charles LeClaire / Imagn Images.

Two division leaders meet in Week 15 as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Pittsburgh Steelers as home favorites, and there's plenty on the line for both squads. 

Pittsburgh enters off its fourth-straight home victory. That's the longest win streak its had at home since 2020, but heading on the short road trip to Phili will provide a totally different atmosphere.

The Eagles clinched their playoff berth with a victory over the Carolina Panthers last week; a victory today would set a new mark for the longest winning streak in franchise history.

As part of our NFL Week 15 predictions, my Steelers vs. Eagles prediction recognizes the roll Philadelphia is on but believes this is too many points to lay against a team as solid as Pittsburgh.

Philadelphia is a five or 5.5-point home favorite in a game with an O/U of 42-42.5 points. Kickoff from Lincoln Financial Field is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX).

Steelers vs. Eagles predictions

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: Steelers +5.5 () vs. Eagles ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best pick: Russell Wilson Under 29.5 passing attempts (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Steelers vs. Eagles ATS prediction: Week 15

Steelers to cover the spread: +5.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Is Philadelphia in for a repeat of last year?

The Eagles looked like bona fide Super Bowl contenders after starting 10-1 last year, but then imploded by losing six of their final seven games, including the playoffs.

While such a losing streak hasn't come this season, Philadelphia has the feel of a team that's not the most connected chemistry-wise.

A.J. Brown’s first target from Jalen Hurts last week came with 1:26 remaining in the first half. That's an issue for a player who has the fourth-most yards per reception this season, and one who leads his team in targets, receptions, and yards despite missing three games.

Can’t trust Hurts against an elite defense

During the Eagles’ nine-game winning streak, Hurts has 23 total touchdowns and just two turnovers. But in many ways, Philadelphia is using Hurts’ legs for success and hiding his passing ability (or inability).

The Eagles average 180.6 passing yards per game, the second-fewest in the league. They are the only team in the top five of fewest passing yards that has more than four wins.

Hurts was seemingly bothered by Carolina’s coverages last week, as his 3.47 seconds per throw average was his slowest this season. ;

Philadelphia faces a huge step up in competition this week. To this point, the Eagles have faced only two defenses in the top half of the league in success rate (Browns and Ravens), and two in the top half in Defensive EPA (Packers and Saints). 

The Eagles have two games this season with fewer than 100 passing yards for the first time since 2005, but the Steelers should force Hurts to beat them through the air more than other teams have to this point.

Eagles aren’t the only team that can run the ball

Much has been made of Saquon Barkley already setting the Eagles' franchise single-season rushing record, and him being on pace to break Eric Dickerson’s NFL single-season record.

Barkley is a huge reason why the Eagles have run for 140-plus yards in eight consecutive games for the first time since 1943-44. 

However, Pittsburgh has also run for 110 or more yards in eight straight games for the first time since 2004. 

If the Eagles don't figure out their early game struggles (they have been shut out in the first quarter in 10 of 13 games), Pittsburgh can compound those problems with a strong rushing attack.

Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU and ATS as the underdog this season, which has me backing it on the point spread with four stars of confidence. FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting sites at which one can get the 5.5 points at the standard -110 juice, as BetMGM charges -120 in juice for +5.5.

Steelers vs. Eagles best pick

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Russell Wilson Under 29.5 passing attempts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -128 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 56.14%

Russell Wilson was pressured on 39% of dropbacks in the first half of last week’s win against Cleveland, per ESPN Research. In that span, he completed just one of six passes, but improved to 3-of-5 passing for 61 yards when pressured in the second half.

Though that improvement is encouraging, it also suggests the Steelers would be wise to have more of a balanced attack and keep Wilson out of harm’s way against a stout Eagles front.

Wilson has attempted 30 or more passes only twice this season, against two porous secondaries in the Bengals and Ravens. 

Meanwhile, Philadelphia is the only team in the league that runs more than it passes (50.4% run rate), and its ability to shorten the game and limit possessions (it's fourth in the league in run rate over expectation) should also limit Wilson’s ceiling on pass attempts.

FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting apps at which one can back Wilson’s Under of 29.5 pass attempts, as all other competing sportsbooks have an O/U of 28.5. Through FanDuel’s -128 odds, a $10 winning wager would pay out $17.81.  

Steelers vs. Eagles odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Steelers vs. Eagles live odds

Steelers vs. Eagles opening odds:

  • Steelers: +4.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
  • Eagles: -4.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

Steelers vs. Eagles injuries

Steelers vs. Eagles game info

  • When: Sunday, Dec. 15
  • Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET 
  • Where: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia)
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: 44 degrees, 12% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph ENE
  • Favorite: Eagles -5.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”