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Seahawks vs. Bears Prediction, TNF Picks & Odds Tonight: Thursday Night Football

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 26, 2024 5:08 PM EST • 4 min 26 sec read.

Detroit Lions linebacker Jack Campbell pulls down Chicago Bears wide receiver Keenan Allen as we offer our Seahawks vs. Bears prediction.
Detroit Lions linebacker Jack Campbell pulls down Chicago Bears wide receiver Keenan Allen. Photo by Audrey Richardson / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Seattle Seahawks find themselves in a must-win situation for their Thursday Night Football tilt against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. 

The Seahawks are one of the NFL's best on the road, winning five of six. Their chances of making the postseason are south of 20%, ranging between 13% and 18%, depending on where you look.

They're facing a Bears team that has seen the wheels completely fall off. They've lost nine in a row, eight since the infamous last-gasp Washington Commanders' Hail Mary. 

The Thursday Night Football odds have Seattle as the 4.5-point road favorites in a game with an O/U of 41.5 points, and our Seahawks vs. Bears prediction expects Seattle to cover and keep its playoff hopes alive. 

The below picks are part of our TNF coverage, including the Seahawks vs. Bears TNF parlay. 

Seahawks vs. Bears updated betting info

Most of our best sportsbooks have the Seahawks as the 4.5-point favorites, but BetMGM has them at -4. That moved from an opening line of -3. A staggering 90% of the bets and 93% of the money is on the Seahawks, and the total opened at 42 but has gone to 42.5 hours before kickoff.

That total differs from some of the other sportsbooks, who have the total pegged at 41.5 The Bears have gone from +125 to +180 on the moneyline. 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is among the most-bet props for the contest, whom we cover in our Seahawks vs. Bears TNF prop bets.

Best Seahawks vs. Bears picks

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: Seahawks -3.5 () vs. Bears ⭐⭐
  • Player prop: Keenan Allen Over 59.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Seahawks vs. Bears against the spread prediction: Thursday Night Football

Seahawks to cover the spread: -3.5 (-110) ⭐⭐

Bears defense is a big liability

Many of Chicago’s problems during its nine-game losing streak can be tied to its leaky defense.

The Bears have allowed 100 or more rushing yards in every game during the losing streak, marking the first time they have allowed 100-plus rushing yards in nine straight games since 2009.

Because of its inability to stop the run, Chicago has allowed 30 or more points in three consecutive games.

Seahawks have been much better on the road

Seattle is one of three NFC teams 5-1 or better on the road this season. It may be a blessing for the Seahawks to play on the road after losing six of its last seven home games.

The Seahawks went toe-to-toe with a Vikings team that could wind up with the NFC’s No. 1 seed this year despite Geno Smith throwing two more interceptions.

Without those mistakes or the 11 penalties for 77 yards, the Seahawks had every chance to win after holding an explosive Vikings offense under 300 total yards.

Slow starts have doomed the Bears

Chicago has not had the lead at halftime in five consecutive games. Furthermore, it has trailed by at least 13 points at the half in four of those games and has been shut out over the first 30 minutes three times.

Another slow start should doom Chicago, especially since it is 0-7 SU against teams with a winning record this season and 2-18 SU in such games since the start of 2022.

Seahawks backers have plenty of best sports betting sites to choose from that offer the -3.5 at standard -110 juice. 

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Seahawks vs. Bears player prop

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Keenan Allen Over 59.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Keenan Allen quickly became Caleb Williams’s most preferred weapon, as he exploded for 13 targets in the last two games. Allen also had 13-plus targets in three of the previous five games and cleared 70 receiving yards four times in that span.

From Weeks 11-15, Seattle played a two-high safety coverage at the fifth-highest rate in the league (58.9%). I expect Allen, who works out of the slot primarily, to continue to be a target hog while the Seahawks focus on taking away the deep passing game.

This is a four-star play, as perhaps we should not be worried that Allen cannot break off a big play against Seattle’s coverage. Allen’s 10.8 aDOT (average depth of target) is higher than those of Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

I would also not put anyone off backing Allen’s anytime touchdown odds (+210 at DraftKings is the best number out there), as he needs two more touchdown receptions to set a single-season career-high of nine. He had six red zone targets from Weeks 11-15.

Earlier in the week, bet365 offered a more enticing O/U of 56.5 yards but has since raised its total to reflect the rest of the market. That does not put us off making this play, and a winning $10 wager would still net a payout of $19.09.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Thursday Night Football picks

Seahawks vs. Bears odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Seahawks vs. Bears injuries

Thursday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Seahawks vs. Bears
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Soldier Field (Chicago)
  • How to watch: Prime Video
  • Weather: 41 degrees, 80% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph SE
  • Favorite: Seahawks -3.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”