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Seahawks vs. Chiefs Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 16: Can Seattle Beat the Double-Digit Favorites?

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 24, 2022 4:44 AM EST • 2 min 13 sec read.

The Seattle Seahawks will look to pull off the upset when they face the Kansas City Chiefs. Read on for our top Seahawks vs. Chiefs NFL pick based on current odds. 

After a 6-3 season start, the Seahawks lost four of their last five games, and are now in danger of falling out of the playoffs altogether. This week, they take on the Chiefs, who won seven of their last eight matchups.

While the Chiefs look like the best team in football at times, the last three weeks left a lot to be desired. KC lost to the Cincinnati Bengals, gave up 28 points to the Denver Broncos, and needed overtime to beat the one-win Houston Texans. So, who has the Week 16 advantage?

Here is our best Seahawks vs. Chiefs NFL Week 16 pick (odds via pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

  Check out our NFL Best Bets and all of our top NFL Picks for Week 16.  

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 24, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: Fox
  • Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • Weather: 14 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation,  12-mph winds

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Odds

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Odds Analysis

The Chiefs opened as 9.5-point favorites, and while the line hasn't changed much, it moved to the key number of 10 and settled there (except at FanDuel, where you'll find a 10.5, at least for now. The Chiefs are still getting nearly three-quarters of the cash and tickets on .

The total opened at 48 and has been bet up to 50.5 as of Saturday morning. The Over is still getting 85% of the cash, so this number could hit 51 before kickoff Saturday.

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Pick

Over 50 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While it'll be very cold at Arrowhead Saturday, there's no inclement weather expected during the game. Because of that, it's strange this number isn't higher.

The Seahawks allow 25.4 points per game. They've let 11 of 14 opponents score at least 21 points this season, and gave up at least 20 in six consecutive contests. Those aren't good trends for a team against KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense.

Despite their lackluster defense, the Seahawks' O-line has been solid this year. They average 25.4 PPG, and scored 20 or more in six of their last eight.

The Chief’s D has been terrible recently. In the last two weeks, they faced two of the NFL's worst offenses, and allowed each to score at least 24 points. In their previous five matchups, they let four opponents hit 24. All of those were on the road, but even playing at home, the Chiefs’ defense should give up enough to Seattle to allow this to comfortably go Over.

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Odds

PointsBet (-107)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Over 50.5Over 50.5Over 50.5Over 50.5Over 50.5
-110-115-110-110-107

Every sportsbook is in lockstep here, but FanDuel is forcing users to pay an inflated price of -115 on the Over. PointsBet has the best price of any major sportsbook, offering the Over at -107. Even if the total rises across the board, PointsBet will likely remain your top option.

Seahawks vs. Chiefs pick made 12/22/2022 at 9:15 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.