Sam Darnold TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Last Updated: October 24, 2024 9:53 AM EDT • 3 min 36 sec read.
The Los Angeles Rams host Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings, as the quarterback looks to lead his team to a 6-1 record.
Despite bettors overwhelmingly supporting the Vikings, the latest Thursday Night Football odds have shifted toward the Rams. Should this line movement have bettors concerned about the best Sam Darnold TNF player prop bets?
This season, Darnold has thrown for 1,370 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Though he’s tied for fifth in the league in touchdown passes, he’s thrown at least one interception in each of his last three games.
How will Darnold fare against the Rams’ middling pass defense?
As part of our NFL Week 8 predictions, we also provided our top Vikings vs. Rams prediction, Vikings vs. Rams TNF prop bets, and anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football.
Sam Darnold prop predictions for Thursday Night Football
- Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
- Sam Darnold Under 249.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Sam Darnold Over 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Sam Darnold player props
NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Sam Darnold Pick Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
Against a defense allowing 1.7 passing touchdowns per game, this should be a four-star play.
However, Darnold has struggled to find the end zone in recent weeks, throwing just one touchdown pass in his last two games combined. Though he had a great start to the year, his recent performances are concerning, since he threw more than one touchdown pass in just one game over the last two seasons.
I still give the nod to the Over, though.
Darnold threw 11 touchdown passes in four games to start the year, and each of those performances came against solid defenses. The total for this game is set at 48.5, so our best sports betting sites are expecting a pretty high-scoring contest. For this price, the Over is the right play.
The price ranges from -120 to -125 at our best sports betting apps. With little disparity between the prices, you could add Darnold’s Over to a parlay at your chosen sportsbook. But if you’re playing it solo, bet365 is the place to wager.
Best odds: -120 via bet365 | Implied probability: 54.55%
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Sam Darnold Under 249.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Darnold has gone Over this total in three of his six games this season. In the other three contests, he threw for 208 yards or fewer, and he’s thrown for fewer than 200 yards twice.
Though the Rams’ pass defense is middle of the pack, there’s one major reason to take this Under: the Rams can’t stop the run.
The Rams have the third-worst run defense in the NFL, allowing an average of 151.7 rushing yards per game. The Vikings will lean on Aaron Jones, as they put one of their strengths against the Rams’ major weakness.
This total is set from 243.5 to 249.5 at the sites with the best sportsbook promos. Caesars is offering -109 for under 246.5, which is the best price. But bet365 is offering -110 for three extra yards, making it the best sportsbook to wager at.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.83%
Sam Darnold Over 0.5 interceptions (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Even with fewer passing attempts because of the success of the Vikings’ run game, Darnold is still going to throw at least one interception. Though he’s yet to throw multiple interceptions in a game this season, he has thrown one in five of his six performances.
The Rams have intercepted opponents in only three of their six games this season. However, they just picked off Garnder Minshew three times last week, and they picked off Jordan Love once in Week 5. For the season, they have five interceptions in six games.
There isn’t much disparity between the best sportsbooks. Three have the Over with a price of -115, while FanDuel and DraftKings have -120 and -125, respectively.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Vikings vs. Rams odds
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Vikings vs. Rams
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif.
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Vikings -3 (-105 via BetMGM)
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Philip Wood