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Ravens vs. Texans Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: Christmas Day

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 25, 2024 6:00 AM EST • 3 min 52 sec read.

Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews runs the ball against the Cleveland Browns as we look at our Ravens vs. Texans player prop picks.
Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews runs the ball against the Cleveland Browns. Photo by Scott Galvin/Imagn Images.

The Baltimore Ravens will look to continue their push for an AFC North title against the Houston Texans. The Ravens come into the matchup ranking fifth in the Super Bowl odds.

When looking at the best Ravens vs. Texans player prop picks for their 4:30 p.m. ET (Netflix) Christmas Day meeting in Houston, the most important question to answer is whether Lamar Jackson can be slowed down. He's logged 3,787 passing yards, 37 touchdown passes, and just four interceptions this season.

Despite being the home team, the Texans are 5.5-point underdogs in the NFL Week 17 odds. Their offense will need to keep up with the Ravens after Tank Dell was lost for the season last week. Can CJ Stroud keep pace with Jackson?

Ravens vs. Texans NFL player prop picks: Christmas Day

Odds as of Tuesday and subject to change.

  • Mark Andrews touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Lamar Jackson Over 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐
  • CJ Stroud Over 241.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Ravens vs. Texans touchdown prediction

Mark Andrews anytime touchdown scorer (+165) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +165 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 37.74%

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Andrews has caught a touchdown pass in four consecutive games, and he leads the Ravens with nine touchdown receptions this season. He's reeled in a touchdown in eight of his last 10 outings, and Andrews is now taking on a defense that's allowed six touchdowns to tight ends this season.

Not only do the Texans struggle against tight ends, they're weak overall when it comes to passing touchdowns. They’re allowing 1.9 per game, which is tied for the worst mark leaguewide with the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons.

The price for this prop at our NFL prop betting sites ranges from +155 to +165. So while there isn’t much value in taking one sportsbook over another, the price should likely be close to +100 considering the matchup and how dominant Andrews has been lately.

NFL Christmas Day expert picks

Best Ravens vs. Texans prop picks

Lamar Jackson Over 0.5 interceptions (+126) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +126 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 44.25%

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Jackson threw just his fourth interception of the season last week. The NFL MVP odds candidate hasn’t thrown a pick in consecutive games this year. And when he has previously thrown an interception, Jackson has then gone at least three games before chucking another one.

But Houston's defense has been incredible at forcing turnovers.

The Texans are averaging 1.3 interceptions per game this season, the second-best mark leaguewide. They’re even better at home while averaging a whopping 1.7 interceptions per game. 

The price also makes this bet too enticing to pass up. Four of our five best NFL parlay betting sites are setting the Over at +100, implying a 50% chance it hits. FanDuel’s price of +126 therefore provides phenomenal value for one of your NFL Week 17 predictions.

Elsewhere, our Mike Spector thinks Jackson will excel as a runner in his Ravens vs. Texans prediction.

CJ Stroud Over 241.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%

The Ravens’ pass defense continues to show improvement as the season progresses. The unit has allowed just 163.7 passing yards per game over Baltimore's last three outings, and Russell Wilson managed just 217 yards last week.

Despite that recent success, I still like Stroud to hit his passing yards Over. He’s topped this number in four of his last five games.

Additionally, the Ravens boast the NFL's best run defense, and Joe Mixon will struggle in this matchup. With the Texans likely becoming one-dimensional and playing from behind, Stroud will do enough to clear this number, even if it’s not by much.

BetMGM and bet365 are both setting this number at 252.5. That provides a rare middle opportunity while making one of your NFL Christmas Day predictions, as you could consider taking the Under at one of those sportsbooks and the Over at FanDuel since there's a 10-yard gap.

After all, Stroud has thrown for between 242 and 251 in three of his last four contests.

Ravens vs. Texans odds

Ravens vs. Texans game info

  • When: Wednesday, Dec. 25
  • Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
  • How to watch: Netflix
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Ravens -5.5 (-108 via DraftKings)

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.