Ravens vs. Buccaneers MNF Prop Bets, Odds: Monday Night Football
Last Updated: October 20, 2024 2:33 PM EDT • 4 min 14 sec read.
Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football.
The latest Monday Night Football odds have the Ravens favored in what is sure to be a high-scoring matchup.
How will the Buccaneers and Ravens having the 29th and 31st-ranked pass defenses, respectively, impact the best Ravens vs. Buccaneers MNF prop bets?
The Ravens have scored at least 28 points in their last four games, living up to the hype as a Super Bowl odds favorite. Meanwhile, the Bucs have scored at least 30 in three consecutive, and we think they'll keep thriving in our Ravens vs. Buccaneers prediction.
Jackson and Mayfield rank seventh and eighth in the league, respectively, in total passing yards this season. That's why our Week 7 NFL predictions expect a lot of Overs on Monday night.
Ravens vs. Buccaneers player props: Monday Night Football
Odds as of Sunday and subject to change.
- Baker Mayfield Over 253.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Over 19.5 completions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Derrick Henry first touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Baker Mayfield Over 253.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mayfield has thrown for over 280 yards in half of his games this season. In the other half, he’s thrown for fewer than 200 yards. Because of this inconsistency, Mayfield’s number is set about 10 yards lower than I expected for Monday night.
The Ravens are allowing 275.7 passing yards per game this season. Additionally, they’re likely to be leading in this game, despite playing on the road. When you consider they also have the best run defense in football, it’s not hard to see that the Bucs will be one-dimensional in this game.
Four of the five major sportsbooks have this total set at 254.5. Of those four sportsbooks, three of them are asking more than -113 for the Over. bet365 is asking -110 for the Over. While that price is better than the -113 FanDuel is asking for over 253.5, I’ll take the extra yard for safety since the price difference isn’t much.
For more on this pick, turn to my Baker Mayfield MNF prop bets.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
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Lamar Jackson Over 19.5 completions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Four of the five major sportsbooks have Jackson favored to throw the ball more than 28.5 times, and yet, those same sportsbooks are expecting Jackson to complete fewer than 20 passes.
If Jackson completes 19 of 29 passes, that would give him a completion percentage of 65.5%. He’s completing 67% of his passes this season. Why would that drop against a struggling secondary?
Jackson has completed at least 20 passes in four of his six games. The only two times he’s failed to hit that number, the Ravens have jumped out to massive leads. With how good the Bucs’ passing attack is, the Ravens won’t back off if they get out to an early lead on Monday.
Three of the five major sportsbooks are offering this prop for a price of +100, so playing at any of those sportsbooks is a good option.
We backed a similar prop - though at a lower total - with our Lamar Jackson MNF player prop bets.
Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50%
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Derrick Henry first touchdown scorer (+450) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Henry has scored a touchdown in every game this season, and he’s already accounted for nine through six games. He’s also scored the first touchdown in four of his six games this year.
The Bucs are averaging 8.8 points in the first quarter this season, but that’s mostly because they scored 17 in the first last week against the New Orleans Saints.
The Ravens are averaging a much more consistent 6.8 points per first quarter, and the defense is allowing just 2.7 points per game in the first quarter. This all adds up to the Ravens scoring first. So, why go against Henry?
Prices range from +300 to +450. The +300 odds imply a 25% chance of this prop hitting. Considering how successful Henry has been, that seems like the right price, so getting +450 provides great value.
Rod Villagomez is backing this prop too as part of his first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football.
Best odds: +450 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.18%
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Ravens vs. Buccaneers odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Ravens vs. Buccaneers
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.)
- How to watch: ESPN, ABC, ESPN+
- Weather: 79 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph NW
- Favorite: Ravens -3.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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Philip Wood