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Raiders vs. Chiefs Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Black Friday

Philip Wood

Last Updated: November 28, 2024 11:00 AM EST • 3 min 59 sec read.

Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers reacts after a play during the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium as we make our Raiders vs. Chiefs player prop bet odds and touchdown picks.
Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers reacts after a play during the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Photo by Reggie Hildred/Imagn Images.

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Las Vegas Raiders in an AFC West showdown on Black Friday. The Chiefs come into the clash sitting second in the Super Bowl odds, with their quarterback Patrick Mahomes fifth in the NFL MVP odds.

I make the best Raiders vs. Chiefs player prop bet picks for the 3 p.m. ET (Prime Video) rematch at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Isiah Pacheco will play for the first time since Week 2, which is great news for a Chiefs offense struggling to blow teams out.

However, this game will be all about the tight ends. Brock Bowers and Travis Kelce are two of the league’s best, and they get great matchups this week. That's especially true for Bowers, who should receive plenty of targets since his team is a 13-point underdog.

Our Mike Spector thinks Kansas City can cover that significant spread as part of his Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions.

Raiders vs. Chiefs NFL player prop bets: Black Friday

Odds as of Wednesday and subject to change.

  • Noah Gray touchdown pick: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Travis Kelce Over 51.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Brock Bowers Over 60.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Raiders vs. Chiefs touchdown pick

Noah Gray anytime touchdown scorer (+270) ⭐⭐⭐

Gray has scored multiple times in back-to-back games after being held without a touchdown for the first nine games of the season. He’s now tied with Xavier Worthy for the most touchdown receptions on the team.

Yet oddsmakers at our NFL prop betting sites are still offering a great price for him in an ideal matchup this week. 

The Raiders have allowed tight ends to score seven touchdowns this season. That’s tied for the second-most leaguewide. They’re also giving up 1.8 passing touchdowns per game. The Chiefs are nearly two-touchdown favorites, so they're likely to score a lot.

It’s certainly worth taking a chance on Gray at +270 for one of your NFL Week 13 predictions.

Best odds: +270 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 27.03%

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Best Raiders vs. Chiefs prop bets

Travis Kelce Over 51.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kelce hauled in 10 catches for 90 yards and a touchdown the first time the Chiefs faced the Raiders this season. Including that outing, Kelce has gone over 60 yards in four of his last five games and in six of his previous eight.

Pacheco coming back could mean changes to the Chiefs’ system. But Kelce has been fantastic lately, and he’s about to take on a defense allowing 258.7 passing yards per game over its last three contests. Additionally, the Raiders have permited tight ends to go for 677 yards this season, the sixth-most in the league.

Four of our five best NFL parlay betting sites are setting this total at 54.5 yards. However, FanDuel has it sitting at just 51.5. Though bet365 is offering a price of -110 for the Over, getting three extra yards is worth it for a very minor price difference.

Our Gabe Henderson believes Kelce will contribute to a high-scoring game in his Raiders vs. Chiefs early picks.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

Brock Bowers Over 60.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

A few elements are preventing this from being a five-star play.

First, Aidan O’Connell is starting for Gardner Minshew after the latter broke his collarbone. That means Bowers will be working with a quarterback he’s less comfortable with on Friday. Secondly, Bowers only registered five catches for 58 yards the first time the Raiders played the Chiefs.

Now for the good. Bowers has logged 744 receiving yards this season, and he’s gone over 60.5 yards in five games. He finished with nine catches for 71 yards when O’Connell played all of the Raiders’ Week 6 game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Even better, the Chiefs have allowed a league-worst 797 yards to tight ends this season. 

While FanDuel is offering the best price for this prop, getting the marginally better -114 for Over 61.5 yards isn’t worth it when BetMGM is posting -115 for Over 60.5. The odds are essentially identical, so take the extra yard.

Brenden Schaeffer is also backing Bowers as part of his Raiders vs. Chiefs parlay picks.

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Raiders vs. Chiefs game info

  • When: Friday, Nov. 29
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • How to watch: Prime Video
  • Weather: 38 degrees, 4% chance of precipitation, win 6 mph NW
  • Favorite: Chiefs -13 (-108 via DraftKings)

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.