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Raiders vs. Chiefs Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for Black Friday Week 13

Gabe Henderson

Last Updated: November 25, 2024 10:30 AM EST • 3 min 17 sec read.

Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid talks with quarterback Patrick Mahomes during a timeout against the Carolina Panthers, and we offer our top Raiders vs. Chiefs early picks.
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid talks with quarterback Patrick Mahomes during a timeout against the Carolina Panthers. Photo by Jim Dedmon via Imagn Images.

The Kansas City Chiefs look to keep the good times rolling after another miraculous win when they take on the Las Vegas Raiders on Black Friday in Week 13.

Our NFL Week 13 odds show bettors believe this AFC West matchup will play out in very lopsided fashion, and we're diving into the game on Monday with our Raiders vs. Chiefs early picks.

Kickoff is slated for 3 p.m. ET (Prime Video) from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in this special Black Friday affair.

The Chiefs have won eight of the last 10 matchups against their division foes. However, Las Vegas was able to play spoiler in this meeting last holiday season.

Can the Raiders make it two out of the last three against the Chiefs, or does Kansas City have more magic up its sleeve? Our Mike Spector answers that in his Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction.

My early Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction for Black Friday: Over/Under 42.5

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Over 42.5

Best odds: | Implied probability: 51.22%

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Kansas City and Las Vegas meet for a second time this season, with our best sports betting sites setting the early total at 42.5 points.

These division rivals combined to score 47 last month, but that was with Gardner Minshew under center for the hosts. The veteran quarterback is now out for the remainder of the year after suffering a broken collarbone in Week 12.

However, trends don’t care about who is under center on either side. The Raiders are one of the NFL’s best Over teams at 8-3 on the year, and the Chiefs lean that way, too, albeit only slightly (6-5). Nine of the last 10 meetings between the two historic franchises have featured more than 43 points scored. The only recent matchup that failed to reach this total was the Christmas 2023 contest during which Aidan O’Connell’s side stun Patrick Mahomes’ men.

The uncertainty at Las Vegas’ quarterback position is already translating in early betting results. FanDuel’s -105 price on the Over suggests the public could bet the line down throughout the week. Therefore, it might benefit interested Over bettors to monitor the line as kickoff draws closer to get the best price.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on NFL or this week's best sportsbook promos.

Raiders vs. Chiefs live odds

See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week X game.

Moneyline

  • Chiefs best odds: | Implied probability: 88.24%
  • Raiders best odds: +640 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.51%

It’s no wonder Kansas City is heavily favored as the dominant team in this series. The Chiefs are juiced as high as -950 at some of our best sports betting apps to win straight-up. DraftKings has a significantly better price than competitors (-750), but don’t expect that number to remain as more action comes in on the standalone showdown.

Spread

  • Chiefs best odds: -13 (-110) via
  • Raiders best odds: +13.5 (-110) via FanDuel

The opening line is surprising, considering Kansas City has only one 13-point win this year. However, early returns at BetMGM show a 51-49 split on spread bets in favor of the hosts. These results could indicate that our best sportsbooks got it right and there won’t be much line movement leading up to kickoff.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 42.5 (-105) via FanDuel
  • Under best odds: 42.5 (-110) via BetMGM

As we alluded to in our pick, the favorable price toward the Over at FanDuel suggests a potential lower closing total. Other than FanDuel, every other site with our best sportsbooks lists a total of 42.5 points with standard juice (-110), no matter which side you play it.

How to watch Raiders vs. Chiefs

  • When: Friday, Nov. 23
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Mo.
  • How to watch: Prime Video
  • Weather: 40 degrees, 9% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph WSW
  • Favorite: Chiefs -13 (-110 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Gabe Henderson
Gabe Henderson is a sports betting writer from Houston, Texas. He graduated from Louisiana State University in 2022 with a bachelor's degree in Mass Communication. Gabe developed an interest in sports betting while in college due to its legalization in Louisiana. He turned his passion into a career shortly after, joining The Advocate/NOLA.com as a Sports Betting Content Coordinator, where he spent two years. Gabe wore many hats before graduating as he led FanSided's coverage of Chelsea FC as a Site Expert with "The Pride of London." He was also the Editor-in-Chief of the LSU Gumbo Yearbook for two years. Gabe became a part of the 520ccc.com team in late 2024. He brings with him an extensive knowledge of many sports, including — but not limited to — NFL, NCAA, MLB, NBA, soccer, and UFC. Sports betting has not yet been legalized in Gabe's home state of Texas, so he frequently takes trips to Louisiana when he has the itch to place futures. Outside of work, Gabe considers himself an old head as he used an AOL email account until 2022 and still collects vinyl records.