NFL Week 17 Player Prop Picks: Best Odds & Props This Week

The quirky Christmas week NFL schedule leaves us with 13 games to be played throughout the weekend. But that's still plenty of data to use while making our top NFL Week 17 player prop picks as teams continue to jostle in the Super Bowl odds.

• Tee Higgins has been held below 70 receiving yards in three of his last four games
• J.K. Dobbins is returning from a four-game absence, but he scored eight touchdowns over his first 11 games this season
• Aaron Rodgers has thrown just one interception over his last eight contests

NFL player prop picks for Week 17

NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• J.K. Dobbins prop pick: Anytime touchdown scorer () at Patriots ⭐⭐⭐
• Tee Higgins prop pick: Under receiving 71.5 yards () vs. Broncos ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Bucky Irving prop pick: Over 97.5 rushing + receiving yards () vs. Panthers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Aaron Rodgers prop pick: Over 22.5 passing completions () at Bills ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Best NFL player props this week

J.K. Dobbins anytime touchdown scorer ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +105 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 48.78%

I'm excited to back J.K. Dobbins’ anytime touchdown odds at this generous +105 price even though he hasn't played since Week 12. He should be getting the lead back duties with Gus Edwards ruled out for the Los Angeles Chargers.

The New England Patriots allowed 6.1 yards per carry and a rushing touchdown to the Buffalo Bills last week, and they've given up four rushing scores over the last three weeks.

Dobbins scored at least one rushing touchdown in three of the five games prior to his injury, and multiple touchdowns twice during that span.

The +105 odds at DraftKings trump the -101 odds found at Caesars, and a $10 wager if Dobbins finds the end zone would net $10.50 in profit.

Tee Higgins Under 71.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

Tee Higgins’ quarterback Joe Burrow has logged seven consecutive games with 250-plus passing yards and three-plus passing touchdowns, the most in NFL history. But this play on Higgins comes with the belief that one of the NFL's best cornerbacks will limit his upside this week.

The receivers Patrick Surtain has covered this season have been targeted a league-low 9.4% of the time per route run. 

And Higgins should continue to lose targets to Ja’Marr Chase, who's the third player with 100-plus receptions, 1,500-plus receiving yards, and 15-plus touchdown catches through 15 games. He was once a contender in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds before Saquon Barkley pulled away. 

Higgins has stayed Under this total in three of the last four games, and he's a good bet to do so again. Under backers are getting a great number at BetMGM for one of your NFL Week 17 predictions, as FanDuel is posting the lowest total at 69.5.

Bucky Irving Over 97.5 rushing and receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

Bucky Irving has been averaging 17 carries, 3.5 targets, and 135.5 yards from scrimmage per game since Tampa Bay’s Week 11 bye, all while scoring three touchdowns. 

One of those contests was against his Week 17 opponent the Carolina Panthers, and he torched their defense for 185 yards and a touchdown.

The Buccaneers clearly wanted to exploit a mismatch when clashing with the league’s 32nd-ranked defense in rush DVOA. Irving’s 25 carries in that game were nine more than his second-highest total, which he was given last week.

With Tampa Bay desperately needing a victory to stay in the NFC South hunt, I expect the team to keep force-feeding the running back who has taken clear control of the Bucs' backfield. 

The best number and price are found at bet365, as all our other NFL parlay betting sites are offering a line as low as 97.5 with the Over juiced to -120 or higher.

Aaron Rodgers Over 22.5 passing completions ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

Aaron Rodgers completed 23 of 35 passes during a Week 6 home loss to the Bills. And that was amid a stretch when he posted a 57.4 QBR or lower in eight of nine weeks.

Rodgers has been playing his best football of the season recently, with two of his four-highest QBR totals of the year coming in the Jets' last three games. 

The Jets should continue to attack an injury-ravaged Bills secondary, and Rodgers is a great bet to complete 23-plus passes for the third time in four weeks. 

Adding to the intrigue of this play is that Rodgers is one touchdown pass away from becoming the fifth quarterback in history with 500 passing touchdowns. The Jets' coaching staff figures to do everything in its power to get him that record.

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