NFL Picks Against the Spread for Every Week 15 Game
Last Updated: December 10, 2024 8:38 AM EST • 3 min 23 sec read.
The Pittsburgh Steelers moved into a tie with the Denver Broncos for the best against-the-spread (ATS) record. Both teams are 10-3 ATS entering Week 15, while the Super Bowl odds favorite Detroit Lions dropped to 9-3-1 ATS after falling one point short of covering against the Green Bay Packers.
- Underdogs were 8-5 ATS last week. It would have been 9-4 had Amani Oruwariye not committed an inexplicable gaffe late in the Cincinnati-Dallas contest
- Away underdogs were 6-4 ATS last week
- Away favorites are 43-33-4 ATS, while away underdogs are 65-61-2
Looking to improve on our 93-66-1 ATS record since Week 4, here are the NFL picks against the spread for every week 15 game. The below picks are part of our Week 15 predictions.
NFL ATS picks Week 15: Every game
NFL odds via FanDuel and subject to change; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
| Matchup | Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. 49ers (-2.5) | Rams (+2.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Commanders (-7.5) vs. Saints | Commanders (-7.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bengals(-4.5) vs. Titans | Bengals (-4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Dolphins vs. Texans (-2.5) | Texans (-2.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Chiefs (-4.5) vs. Browns | Chiefs (-4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Cowboys (+1.5) vs. Panthers | Cowboys (+1.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jets (-3.5) vs. Jaguars | Jaguars (+3.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Ravens(-14.5) vs. Giants | Ravens (-14.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Colts vs. Broncos (-4.5) | Broncos (-4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Patriots vs. Cardinals (-6.5) | Patriots (+6.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Buccaneers vs. Chargers (-2.5) | Chargers (-2.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Steelers vs. Eagles (-5.5) | Steelers (+5.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bills vs. Lions (-1.5) | Lions (-1.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Packers (-3) vs. Seahawks | Packers (-3) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bears vs. Vikings (-7) | Vikings (-7) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Falcons (-4.5) vs. Raiders | Falcons (-4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
My favorite ATS picks this week
NFL picks as of Tuesday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Commanders (-7.5) vs. Saints
Derek Carr is out indefinitely with a fractured left hand, painting a pretty bleak New Orleans Saints picture for the run-in. The Saints lost all three games with Spencer Rattler under center while Carr was recovering from an injury earlier in the season.
The rookie quarterback struggled mightily, and New Orleans lost each game by an average of 21.67 points.
Meanwhile, the Washington Commanders are coming off their bye week, rested and raring to make a final push to the playoffs. The Commanders are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games and 6-2 vs. the Saints in the previous eight.
Jayden Daniels, the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds favorite, will be highly motivated to take one step closer to winning the coveted prize. A winning bet will profit $9.52.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 51.22%
Terms and conditions apply.
Bengals (-4.5) vs. Titans
The Cincinnati Bengals were doused in good fortune on MNF, with the Dallas Cowboys' Oruwariye handing them the victory. If that doesn't lift spirits behind the scenes for the Bengals, I'm not sure what will.
Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase ran roughshod over the Cowboys' secondary, with the latter re-entering the Offensive Player of the Year odds conversation by amassing 177 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Their mouths will be watering all week in anticipation of facing a Tennessee Titans team that has nothing to play for, consistently commits costly mistakes on offense, and has the 28th-ranked pressure grade and 18th-ranked coverage via PFF.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Steelers (+5.5) vs. Eagles
The Steelers have the joint-best ATS record and, at least at this early juncture, are 5.5-point underdogs for their road game against the Philadelphia Eagles, who are 5-5 ATS after failing to cover at home against the Carolina Panthers. I do not doubt that the Eagles will be immeasurably better than they were against Carolina.
However, 5.5 points is a ton, especially considering the Steelers are yet to lose by more than five points this season. Their biggest defeat, a five-point setback in Cleveland, came in conditions Rudolph would have trouble navigating.
The Steelers are 6-1 with Russell Wilson under center, and it looks as though a concrete wall would have trouble stopping runaway Defensive Player of the Year odds favorite T.J. Watt.
I'm taking the points and the away underdogs in this one.
Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%
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