Eagles Betting Preview 2023: Futures Picks & Predictions for Philadelphia

The Philadelphia Eagles came oh-so-close to winning the Super Bowl a season ago. With most of their key players returning, can Philly overcome last year's heartbreak and climb the mountain in 2023? We share our thoughts in our Eagles betting preview.

Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni needed to know where his team stood following last campaign' crushing Super Bowl defeat — and he liked what he saw.

Philadelphia entered training camp an irritated bunch, not satisfied in the least with a 14-win season and a pair of lopsided playoff victories en route to a berth in the Big Game. And while it's one thing for a team to say it's motivated to get back to the top, the Eagles are one of the few teams in the NFC with a roster talented and deep enough to pull it off.

That said, Philly isn't a lock to return to the Super Bowl after replacing both its offensive and defensive coordinators, as well as losing Pro Bowl defensive end Javon Hargrave and a pair of starting linebackers. They'll also be contending with a Dallas Cowboys team hell-bent on seizing the NFC East title.

Check out our 2023 Philadelphia Eagles betting preview based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites (pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale). 

Eagles betting preview 2023

Eagles to win Over 11.5 games (+110 via ) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

(Odds updated Friday, Aug. 25 at 12:30 p.m. ET)

It wouldn't surprise anyone to see the Eagles favored in all but two of their games this season — and even a road date in Dallas and a return date with the Super Bowl-champion Chiefs at Kansas City are less scary for Philly than they would be for most teams.

The Eagles have a bevy of riches for new OC Brian Johnson and DC Sean Desai to work with, boasting top-tier talent at most positions. Offensively, the bulk of last year's potent attack remains in place — anchored by superstar quarterback Jalen Hurts — who will look to improve upon last year's absurd numbers (3,701 passing yards, 22 passing TDs; 760 rush yards, 13 rushing TDs).

And don't be scared off by those three key player departures: This team still features plenty of muscle on the defensive side of the football, led by stalwarts Jason Kelce, Lane Johnson, Jordan Davis, Darius Slay, and Fletcher Cox. Barring multiple key injuries, Philadelphia should once again rank among the league leaders in sacks.

Add in the fact that the Eagles rank in the upper half in terms of preseason strength of schedule despite winning the NFC last season, and it's easy to envision a path to 12+ wins. Caesars is the best of the bunch on the O11.5, with FanDuel close behind.

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Cowboys to finish first/Eagles to finish second in NFC East (+270 via ) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Remember that section with all of those complimentary things I had to say about the Eagles? Of course you do! It was literally the last thing you read before this.

Well, if you've also perused my Cowboys betting preview, you'll know how high I am on the boys from Big D — so high, in fact, that I actually prefer the value on the Cowboys to win the division in 2023. Dallas' roster is every bit as deep and star studded as Philadelphia's, and with both teams so close together in talent, I'll take the one offering longer odds to win the NFC East.

Choosing both the Eagles and Cowboys to finish with 12+ victories might seem crazy, but let's consider how much of a dumpster fire the NFC East is. Both of these teams should cruise past the Giants and Commanders. They've also drawn the NFC West — not exactly the powerhouse it used to be — and an AFC East division which boasts three good teams but no powerhouse.

Slotting the Cowboys and Eagles 1-2 in the standings pays a pretty decent price at bet365: Given the overwhelming odds that these two will run away with the division, you could do worse than taking a shot on Dallas finishing on top.

Jalen Hurts Over 10.5 rushing touchdowns (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Eagles sure do love letting Hurts call his own number — and the entire world saw that on full display at the Super Bowl, where Hurts ran in for three scores in a performance that assuredly would have resulted in MVP honors had Philadelphia pulled out the win.

It was the capper to an incredible showing from the third-year QB, who ran for 16 TDs in 18 regular-season and playoff games. He also finished with the fifth-most red-zone carries in the NFL during the regular season (44), and the second most from inside the five (20).

There's nothing in the Eagles' offseason maneuvering to suggest that Sirianni will deviate from the plan to get Hurts as many goal-to-go scampers as possible. And while he won't be this active a runner forever, you can expect him to continue beating teams with his legs in year four..

beet365 is the book to beat on this prop, though their "Hurts to score 10+ rushing touchdowns" prop is installed at -200, which makes you wonder why that 11th TD is worth so much additional value. No matter, just lean into my recommendation and ignore the other market.

D'Andre Swift Over 4.5 rushing touchdowns (+112 via ) ⭐⭐⭐

This prop shouldn't be a sweat — but it probably will be.

Swift is a supremely talented running back, but he can't seem to stay on the field. The former Detroit Lions second rounder has started just 16 games over his first three NFL seasons, averaging a meager 121.3 carries per season over that span.

And yet, Swift has racked up an impressive 18 rushing scores in that span — including five in just 99 carries with the Lions in 2022. In fact, Swift has had five or more rushing touchdowns in each of his first three NFL seasons, largely on the strength of an elite 4.6 yards-per-carry average.

Taking the Over on any Swift prop (except for maybe "games missed") is a dicey proposition, which is why I can't show any more confidence than this. However, Swift has proven capable of being a volume scorer with limited touches in the past, and as an important cog in one of the most explosive offenses in football, he's a safe bet here even with relatively good health.

FanDuel carries the best odds on the O4.5, well ahead of DraftKings (-105) and Caesars (which has dropped the number to 3.5 O -140).

DeVonta Smith Over 925.5 receiving yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

This choice (and the accompanying five-star rating) is less about confidence in Smith's ability to beat the total and much, much more about just how great this number is in relative terms.

Let's start by focusing on Smith, who had nearly 1,200 receiving yards in a breakout sophomore campaign. The bulk of those came over the second half of the season, when the combination of an injury to tight end Dallas Goedert and the Eagles airing it out more led to Smith racking up the sixth-most receiving yards in the NFL from weeks nine through 18: teammate A.J. Brown was third.

It's hard to envision Philly being as dominant in the first half of 2023 as it was in the opening eight games of 2022 — so expect closer games, and more passing, as a result. With Brown still Philadelphia's premier deep threat, Smith should continue to see plenty of volume.

Given that the majority of notable projection sites have Smith finishing with between 1,050 and 1,100 receiving yards, FanDuel is hanging an incredibly low total. bet365 is sitting at 950.5, DraftKings is at 975.5, and Caesars has Smith's over/under at 1,000.5. Get this number now!

(All picks and confidence levels as of Aug. 11.)

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