Skip to main content

Packers vs. Vikings Prediction, Picks & Best Bets Today: NFL Week 17

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 29, 2024 10:11 AM EST • 4 min 21 sec read.

Sam Darnold and the Vikings defeated the Packers in Week 4 at Lambeau Field as we make our best Packers vs. Vikings prediction for Week 17.
Sam Darnold and the Vikings defeated the Packers in Week 4 at Lambeau Field. Photo by Mark Hoffman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.

It's probably the game of the day on a bit of an underwhelming Sunday slate.

The Week 17 matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will go a long way in determining the winner of the NFC North. And head of the tilt, we make our best Packers vs. Vikings prediction for the two playoff-bound teams.

A look at the potential playoff implications for both sides:

  • If Minnesota wins, then its game against Detroit next week could be for the NFC North title and No. 1 seed in the NFC
  • Green Bay was the first team to record a shutout this season in last week’s 34-0 win over New Orleans

The Vikings have been rising the on the Super Bowl odds ladder, and will look to complete the season sweep after they beat the Packers 31-29 at Lambeau Field in Week 4.

The Vikings are short home favorites ahead of kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium at 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). 

Along with our other NFL Week 17 predictions, we also have our Packers vs. Vikings player prop picks & touchdown prediction.

Packers vs. Vikings predictions

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: Packers +1 () vs. Vikings ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best pick: Jordan Love Over 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Packers vs. Vikings ATS prediction: Week 17

Packers to cover the spread: +1 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -125 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 55.56%

Up To $1,500 Back In Bonus Bets

Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Green Bay is playing its best football

In its last 11 games, the Detroit Lions are the only team to beat the Packers. And Green Bay is coming off its largest victory (34 points) since a 41-point win over the Bears in 2014.

Green Bay has been on a historic streak over the last five games.

It is 5-0 ATS, scoring 30 or more points in each. They haven't thrown an interception in any of those five games, and they are the first team in the Super Bowl era to accomplish all three feats.

The Packers can learn from their first loss to the Vikings

Minnesota raced out to an early 28-0 lead in Green Bay in the first meeting between these teams, but plenty of Packers' miscues aided in that deficit.

Green Bay missed two field goals in the first half that could have helped sustain momentum, and the team committed four turnovers, three of which were Jordan Love interceptions.

But the Packers did well to fight back and put real game pressure on the Vikings, closing to within 28-22 in the fourth quarter, as their defense held Minnesota scoreless for six consecutive possessions.

That game was also Love’s first game back after missing the previous two with a sprained left MCL, so I expect this result to be different with a healthier Love under center.

Matt LaFleur is excellent in revenge games

There are not many coaches better in the league in “revenge games” than Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. In the second game after losing the first, LaFleur’s teams are 27-11 SU and covered the spread in 25 of the 38 rematches. The Vikings are also due some regression in one-possession games, as they have won eight of their nine games decided by one score.

When accounting for three points built into the line for home-field advantage, oddsmakers clearly think Green Bay is the better team on a neutral field.

It is hard to argue with that analysis, and I am making this wager at the only of our best sportsbooks where one can currently back Green Bay as an underdog, as the line has jumped the fence at all competing sites.

Packers vs. Vikings best pick

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Jordan Love Over 0.5 interceptions ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -128 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 56.14%

Bet $5, Win $250 in Bonus Bets

New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $250 in Bonus Bets (within 72 hours).

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

From an interception perspective, Love is a streaky quarterback, beginning the season with at least one pick in eight straight games while playing interception-free football over his last five.

Love has not been asked to do much in the last five games, attempting 28 or fewer passes. Much of that had to do with the game script, as Green Bay is 4-1 in that span, with all four wins coming by 13-plus points.

In a dome game with a high total (O/U 48.5), Love will likely have to throw it more than 28 times to keep up.

Against the blitz through the first seven games, Love ranked in the bottom three of all qualified quarterbacks in QBR. Considering Minnesota blitzes at the highest rate in the league (38%), it should be able to force Love into at least one interception.

The Over on interceptions is juiced as high as -145 (carrying a 59.18% implied probability) at BetMGM, so I am headed to FanDuel for the best price. A $10 winning wager through FanDuel’s -128 odds would pay $17.81.

Packers vs. Vikings odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Packers vs. Vikings live odds

Packers vs. Vikings opening odds:

  • Packers: +1.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
  • Vikings: -1.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

Packers vs. Vikings injuries

Packers vs. Vikings game info

  • When: Sunday, Dec. 29
  • Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Vikings -1 (-105 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Related pages

Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”