Skip to main content

Packers vs. Dolphins Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 16: Which Streak Will Continue on Christmas Day?

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: December 25, 2022 4:03 AM EST • 2 min 33 sec read.

As the NBA dominates Christmas Day, the NFL's Sunday slate is reduced to three games with the Green Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins getting things underway. Check out our top Packers-Dolphins NFL picks.

Only one streak can continue when the Dolphins and Packers square off in Miami on Christmas Day. The Packers now have a 6-8 overall record after winning back-to-back games, while the Dolphins dropped three in a row to fall to 8-6.

Miami is currently the No. 7 seed in the AFC Playoffs, but holding on for dear life in a competitive conference. The Packers are somehow still in the mix in a weak NFC, but need to make these games count during the regular season's home stretch.

Here is our best Packers vs. Dolphins Week 16 NFL pick (odds via ; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Packers vs. Dolphins SGP Picks and Aaron Rodgers vs. Tua Tagovailoa Prop Picks, and all of our top NFL picks for Sunday's action.

Packers vs. Dolphins Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Dec. 25, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
  • Weather: 57 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 12-mph NNW winds

Packers vs. Dolphins Odds

Packers vs. Dolphins Odds Analysis

This is one of the few games over the weekend not impacted by weather, so movement has been minimal, especially from a spread perspective. The Dolphins opened as 3.5-point favorites and the spread stuck at 3.5 or 4 for most of the week. At the time of writing, 55% of spread bets opted to lay points.

The betting market moved the total, which opened at 46.5 and has climbed to 49.5 or 50 across the board. Both teams have a 7-7 clip on totals this year, but the Over attracted 78% of the bets at .

  Check out our NFL Best Bets and all of our top NFL Picks for Week 16.  

Packers vs. Dolphins Pick

Packers +3.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sure, Green Bay’s 2-0 clip in December should come with an asterisk. The Packers only defeated the Chicago Bears (28-19) and L.A. Rams (24-12) this month, with a bye sandwiched in between.

But the Dolphins have also been a bit exposed recently, as their offense was held to 17 points or fewer in two of the last three outings. Phins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t had a Pro Football Focus grade higher than 63.5 over that stretch, posting a mark lower than 50 in two of those games.

The Pack, meanwhile, rank third in offensive DVOA since Week 10. Rookie wide receiver Christian Watson emerged as a reliable option for QB Aaron Rodgers. It's never a good idea to count out the back-to-back NFL MVP, especially with Green Bay trending in the right direction at the opportune time.

As long as this spread sits north of a field goal, take the underdog. The Packers might very well record their first three-game win streak since Weeks 2-4 for a special Christmas Day gift.

Packers vs. Dolphins Best Odds

FanDuel (-105) 

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
+3.5 (-110)+3.5 (-110)+3.5 (-110)+3.5 (-110)+3.5 (-110)

Those wanting to back the underdog could have grabbed a 4-point spread Thursday night, but the line dropped to a consensus 3.5 by Friday morning. As a result, getting the best line comes down to the juice.

In that case, it really doesn't matter where you place your bet. was offering slight value at -105, but that number is gone. has moved off its standard -107 line, as well. You're now getting the same price at all five sportsbooks.

Packers-Dolphins pick made 12/23/2022 at 10 a.m. ET.

Here are our Best NFL Betting Sites:

* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related Pages

Written By:
Shane Jackson
Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.