NFL Odds, Lines Week 11: Will Cowboys Money Follow Early Vikings Support?

The Los Angeles Chargers have received the majority of betting support for their divisional matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. This is a look at the NFL odds and lines for Week 11.

Bettors are backing the Bolts, and the spread in the Los Angeles-Kansas City game has been one of the largest movers this week. Will there be buyback on the favorite over the weekend, or will the line shorten further?

Here are the NFL spread and Over/Under lines for Week 11, and where we think the lines will move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).

All noted look-ahead spread and totals are via DraftKings as of Wednesday, Nov. 9.

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top picks for Week 11!

NFL Week 11 Odds and Lines

Bears vs. Falcons

Spread: Falcons -3

After covering the spread in six straight games to open the season, the Atlanta Falcons failed to beat the number in each of their past four contests. The Chicago Bears were trading at +3.5 via DraftKings and PointsBet early Thursday, but the Falcons are now a consensus -3 favorite. I anticipate this spread hovering at the key number of 3 leading into kickoff.  

Over/Under: 49

This is the highest total of the season for both the Bears and Falcons. Chicago quarterback Justin Fields’ breakout stretch also has this total trading among the highest of the week, and it’s also climbed slightly from the look-ahead number of 48.5. The total has gone Over in each of the Bears’ past four games, but the Under hit in five of the past seven contests for the Falcons.

Panthers vs. Ravens

Spread: Ravens -13

This spread has moved considerably toward the Baltimore Ravens and is a consensus -13 across the board. There probably won’t be public support for the Panthers with Baltimore playing at home and coming off its bye week. 

Over/Under: 41.5

It isn’t surprising to see this total drop this week with these two teams playing to a combined 7-12 Over/Under record. Baltimore has faced the fourth-most difficult schedule of opposing offenses by DVOA, whereas Carolina has the fifth-easiest slate of opposing defenses. There probably won’t be support for the Over unless this total dips into the key range of 40-41.

Browns vs. Bills

Spread: Bills -7.5

This is the most discussed game of the week because of the weather forecast in Orchard Park, N.Y. This spread continues to move closer to the Buffalo -6.5 look-ahead line, as the Cleveland Browns have received the majority of the betting action.

Over/Under: 42.5

The Under has taken 93% of the betting handle via DraftKings as of Wednesday. Again, the weather forecast has played the primary role in driving this total down. However, if it dips even further and into the key range of 40-41, I could see buyback on the Over because of the potential for early bettors to land a cushy margin to middle this total.

Commanders vs. Texans

Spread: Commanders -3

The Washington Commanders have jumped to a -3.5 favorite at times this week, but it hasn’t lasted. I’d anticipate this spread returns to the -3.5 number by Sunday because the Houston Texans have lost four consecutive games and sport a 1-7-1 record for the season.

Over/Under: 40.5

This is an accurate total because it remains at the look-ahead number, and neither side has taken enough action to move it. As a result, I don’t expect a notable move in either direction leading into kickoff.

Eagles vs. Colts

Spread: Eagles -7

The Indianapolis Colts upsetting the Las Vegas Raiders on the road, and the Philadelphia Eagles losing as double-digit favorites on Monday Night Football in Week 10 continue to have an impact on this spread. The Eagles were a 10-point favorite in the look-ahead line, but there were multiple sportsbooks listing Philly below the key number of 7 on Thursday. I’d be surprised if the opportunity to bet the Eagles' spread at -6.5 is still available Sunday.

Over/Under: 44

This total has dropped slightly this week, and there is also a slight disparity in the number across our top-rated sportsbooks. With it hovering at the top of the 43-44 key range, I don’t anticipate significant movement.

Jets vs. Patriots

Spread: Patriots -3

There are a few sportsbooks hanging a juiced New York Jets +3.5, so it’ll be interesting to see if other operators follow suit, or if this spread returns to a consensus New England Patriots -3. Early support came in on the Jets to drive this spread down from the look-ahead line of New England -5.5, so I think this spread will stay close to the key number of 3.

Over/Under: 38

This total remains the lowest on the Week 11 docket. With the Patriots and Jets respectively ranking third and sixth in defensive DVOA per Football Outsiders, it’s clear the number would need to dip into the key range of 36-37 for there to be action on the Over. I don’t think oddsmakers will make that move.

Rams vs. Saints

Spread: Saints -3

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (concussion) returned to practice Wednesday, and he’s Sunday. This spread has been hovering around the key number of 3 all week, and sportsbooks have the New Orleans Saints -3 listed with a heightened vig. 

Over/Under: 39

The look-ahead number was 42.5, and this total continues to trend down. It’s currently between the key ranges of 36-37 and 40-41, and I expect it’ll stay between them. The Saints have scored just 23 points over their past two games, and Los Angeles will be without wide receiver Cooper Kupp (ankle) for the foreseeable future.

Lions vs. Giants

Spread: Giants -3

I noted Monday that this was a spread I was interested in following this week because the New York Giants boast a 7-2 record against the spread this season. Well, it hasn’t moved. I don’t envision oddsmakers providing bettors with the opportunity to grab New York -2.5 this weekend, but the Lions might land the hook with a +3.5 spread. 

Over/Under: 45

This total has been bet down this week and now matches the look-ahead line of 45. Considering the Giants sport a 1-7-1 Over/Under record this season, it’s not surprising. I don’t expect significant movement ahead, either.

Raiders vs. Broncos

Spread: Broncos -2.5

Oddsmakers are obviously wary of making the Denver Broncos a field-goal favorite. The Las Vegas Raiders haven’t won on the road all season, yet despite taking the majority of betting action, Denver is only listed at -3 via Caesars and DraftKings. 

Over/Under: 41.5

DraftKings is on an island with a 41 total, but otherwise it’s a consensus 41.5. Similar to the spread, the majority of bettors are siding with the Under, but the total hasn't moved off the opening number.

Bengals vs. Steelers

Spread: Bengals -4

This was a spread I expected to move in the opposite direction. Any Pittsburgh Steelers +5 options are long gone, and the Cincinnati Bengals are also listed as short as -3.5 at multiple sportsbooks. I still think there will be support for the Bengals spread over the weekend, but I doubt the line will climb all the way back to where it was earlier this week.

Over/Under: 41

Aside from an outlier 40.5 total available via FanDuel, this number hasn’t moved since Monday. The Steelers have scored the second-fewest points per game in the league this season, so I wouldn’t suspect there to be notable movement coming with this total in the 40-41 key range.

Cowboys vs. Vikings

Spread: Cowboys -1.5

While the early action came in on the Minnesota Vikings, there was enough support for the Dallas Cowboys for this spread to hold at -1 and -1.5 throughout the week. I’m genuinely interested to see what the weekend brings, but given the lack of movement to this point, I’m not expecting a significant change to this spread.

Over/Under: 47.5

This total is still at the opening number. Barring injury news, I don’t anticipate there to be a sizable change.

Chiefs vs. Chargers

Spread: Chiefs -6

The Los Angeles Chargers have received the betting support this week, and this spread has moved all the way back to L.A. +5.5 at multiple sportsbooks. The Kansas City Chiefs opened the week as 7-point favorites. I suspect oddsmakers will keep the spread in the 5-6.5 range.

Over/Under: 51

I’m curious how long oddsmakers will hold off raising this total above the key number of 51. FanDuel already has it listed at 51.5, and the betting action has been on the Over all week. I expect the public to weigh in with additional Over action this weekend, too.

49ers vs. Cardinals

Spread: 49ers -8

With Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (hamstring) iffy for this Monday Night Football matchup, the San Francisco 49ers continue to receive the betting support. DraftKings has boosted the spread to 49ers -8.5, and I wouldn’t be surprised if other oddsmakers followed suit.

Over/Under: 43.5

This total opened at 43.5 and that remains the consensus number. Given it’s in the key range of 43-44, I wouldn’t expect significant movement until Murray’s status is announced, either.

Where to Bet on the NFL

Best NFL Betting Sites: 

• FanDuel Sportsbook
• Caesars Sportsbook
• DraftKings Sportsbook
• PointsBet
• BetMGM