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NFC West Odds & Prediction Ahead of TNF Showdown: Can Rams Keep Rising?

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: December 12, 2024 7:00 AM EST • 4 min 13 sec read.

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua runs the ball against the Miami Dolphins as we look at our NFC West odds and prediction.
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua runs the ball against the Miami Dolphins. Photo by Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images.

The NFC West is perhaps more bumper cars than battle dome this season, and more chaotic bouncy castle than ruthless gauntlet.

But it's a narrow fight nonetheless as we come down the home stretch of the season, and that's reflected in the NFC West odds at our best NFL betting sites.

Now the Los Angeles Rams get a chance to improve their already promising NFL playoff odds during a key divisional clash with the San Francisco 49ers tonight on Thursday Night Football. The Niners will also of course be hungry to salvage their season amid numerous crippling injuries.

Our Mike Spector is leaning toward the home team in his Rams vs. 49ers prediction, while Phil Wood thinks Rams running back Kyren Williams will keep sizzling in his Rams vs. 49ers TNF prop bets. The winner will get a significant boost to their playoff aspirations in the tight NFC West.

Let's dive further into the NFC West odds at our NFL prop betting sites.

NFC West odds 2024-25

NFC West odds analysis

Only two games separate the entire division from top to bottom, with the Seattle Seahawks entering Week 15 leading the group at 8-5, and the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers at the bottom though still alive at 6-7.

But in the middle and only just back of the Seahawks are the Rams at 7-6, a team that's won three of its last four games and is fresh off a significant shootout triumph over the Buffalo Bills.

The Seahawks are getting an edge by the odds as expected through our best sports betting sites, though the Rams aren't far behind while receiving an implied probability of 37.74% to win the division (Seattle sits at 53.49%).

There's a dramatic dropoff between the Rams and 49ers ahead of their pivotal tilt on Thursday night. The Niners' had won three of the last five NFC West crowns heading into this season, and yet now their implied probability to repeat for a third straight time is just 5.26%.

NFC West opening odds

The 49ers have cratered compared to before the season when they were the overwhelming -200  favorites to win the division (66.67% probability), with the Rams a distance second at +325 (23.53%).

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua celebrates as we look at the NFC West odds.
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua celebrates the victory against the Buffalo Bills at SoFi Stadium. Photo by Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images

That basement-dwelling odds for the Niners are clearly tied to their record, but also to how the defending NFC champs have arrived at a point in their season when they need to scratch and claw. 

Christian McCaffrey's year is done, and Nick Bosa is likely to miss his fourth straight game on Thursday. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have missed time too, as has Brock Purdy. Add up all the injuries and underperforming, and you get a team that needed to thump the lowly Chicago Bears last week to snap a three-game losing streak.

Meanwhile, the Rams have been surging while climbing back into contention. Puka Nacua has been powering that uprising since returning from an injury in Week 8. The Rams are 5-2 over that stretch, which also includes key wins over the Seahawks and Super Bowl odds-contending Minnesota Vikings.

Nacua is averaging 96.1 yards per game with three touchdowns during that span, with a 12-catch outburst for 162 yards last week the highlight.

NFC West standings entering Week 15

TeamRecordRemaining schedule
Seahawks8-5vs. GB, vs. MIN, @ CHI, @ LAR
Rams7-6@ SF, @ NYJ, vs. ARI, vs. SEA
Cardinals6-7vs. NE, @ CAR, @ LAR, vs. SF
49ers6-7vs. LAR, @ MIA, vs. DET, @ ARI

NFC West prediction 2024-25

Rams to win the division (+165)

The Rams could be peaking at the right time, while the Cardinals just suffered a crushing loss to the Seahawks, and Seattle recently struggled to put away the hapless New York Jets.

The Seahawks boast two wins over Arizona now though, which puts the Cards in an even deeper hole in addition to the two games back. But Seattle did lose to the Rams, and that could make the Week 18 rematch a season-defining one.

But all parties involved need to reach that point first. That's why when a group of teams is so similar and tightly bunched, the strength of schedule as the finish line nears is often the divider.

Beyond the push from Nacua and running back Kyren Williams (who's scored four touchdowns over his last three games), the Rams get an additional edge due to their more appealing schedule.

Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams runs the ball as we look at the NFC West odds.
Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams runs the ball against the Buffalo Bills during the first half. Photo by Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images

Los Angeles takes on those woeful Jets after Thursday's date with the Niners. Two tough divisional battles with the Seahawks and Cardinals then lie ahead. But the Rams get the advantage of being at home to finish out following that game in New York.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks face an upcoming treacherous path over the next two weeks while playing the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings before traveling to frosty Chicago. And San Francisco gets a similar potential buzzsaw after this week while needing to handle the Miami Dolphins on the road and then the Super Bowl odds favorite Detroit Lions.

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 54.55%

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.