NFL Moneyline Picks to Win Every Wild Card Weekend Game
Last Updated: January 10, 2025 3:03 PM EST • 4 min 50 sec read.
This year's Wild Card Weekend is sure to offer bettors and NFL fans with plenty of excitement, and one of the easiest ways to get involved is to simply bet on which team will win each game.
Our NFL moneyline picks for Wild Card Weekend do exactly that, as we're providing bettors with our favorite side for each game for the first round of the playoffs.
Now, you'll notice a couple of our picks are at heavy minus money. I wouldn't advise betting the other side to counter that but would rather target those games in the various other ways we've outlined with our NFL Wild Card Weekend predictions.
NFL moneyline picks Wild Card Weekend: Every game
NFL odds via FanDuel and subject to change; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Matchup | Pick | Confidence |
---|---|---|
Chargers (-154) vs. Texans (+130) | Chargers | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Steelers (+430) vs. Ravens (-590) | Ravens | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Broncos (+370) vs. Bills (-480) | Bills | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Packers (+198) vs. Eagles (-230) | Packers | ⭐⭐ |
Commanders (+145) vs. Buccaneers (-175) | Commanders | ⭐⭐ |
Vikings (-152) vs. Rams (+128) | Rams | ⭐⭐⭐ |
My favorite moneyline picks this week
NFL picks as of Friday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Chargers ML vs. Texans
Best odds: | Implied probability: 60.63%
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This comes down to the fact that I don't think this version of the Houston Texans is very good. The offensive line has failed to protect C.J. Stroud all season, which led to his sophomore slump, and two of the three top receiving options are injured.
With just Nico Collins remaining of what was a formidable trio to start the season, I don't see the Texans scoring many points in the weekend's first game.
Our best sports betting sites obviously agree, as Houston serves as a 3-point underdog on the spread and as long as +140 on the moneyline.
The Chargers were the better team during the regular season by most metrics, they enter this game with the momentum of three straight wins, and they just simply have more talent.
I'm riding with our NFL playoff bracket predictions and backing the road favorites.
Steelers vs. Ravens ML
Best odds: | Implied probability: 82.91%
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I'll keep this one short and sweet.
The Baltimore Ravens should absolutely win this game in convincing fashion, and I would definitely not advise getting cute and betting on the Steelers. At worst, it's a donation to one of the best sports betting apps. At best, you win but everyone calls you an idiot for making the bet in the first place.
Instead, I'd suggest following our Steelers vs. Ravens prediction and backing Baltimore to cover the spread as a 9.5-point favorite.
Broncos vs. Bills ML
Best odds: -425 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 80.95%
Similarly, I think the Buffalo Bills will handle their business quite easily.
However, as X user , Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton is 30-12 against bald head coaches since 2017. Bills head coach Sean McDermott is, indeed, lacking quite a bit in the hair department.
So if you're looking for a big underdog to back this weekend, the Broncos certainly represent a better bet than the Steelers.
Packers ML vs. Eagles
Best odds: | Implied probability: 32.26%
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We now move intro our trio of underdog picks, all of which we featured in our NFL upset picks for Wild Card Weekend.
Let's start with the Green Bay Packers vs. the Philadelphia Eagles. Now, I'm not sure the Packers are actually better than the Eagles, but I'd back them on the moneyline because I think this price is too long. That's to say, I don't think they're this much worse than the Eagles.
However, as you can see above, this is one of two picks I'm the least confident in, so I'd limit my wager to half a unit. Even a $5 winning bet would return a profit of $10.50.
Commanders ML vs. Buccaneers
Best odds: +145 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40.82%
This one is all about momentum. The Washington Commanders are coming off an epic Week 18 victory against the Dallas Cowboys to clinch this position in the playoffs, facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers instead of the aforementioned Eagles. Sure, the Bucs won, too, but it was against the lowly New Orleans Saints and was closer than it should have been.
As you'll see in my Wild Card Weekend touchdown scorer predictions on Saturday, one of my favorite bets this weekend is on a certain player in this game to find the end zone (how's that for a teaser?).
I agree with our best sportsbooks that have this game set at the highest total of the weekend, and I'm backing the red-hot Commanders in a shootout.
Vikings vs. Rams ML
Best odds: +130 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 43.48%
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Finally, my favorite underdog of the bunch, and the only moneyline bet I made myself for Wild Card Weekend.
The Los Angeles Rams have looked like a different team since getting healthy on offense, and they're one of only two teams to beat the Minnesota Vikings this season.
If the Vikings lose, their season would be over despite losing to just the Detroit Lions and the Rams throughout the entire campaign.
Now, for Vikings fans, I'm sure that sounds awful. But to me, someone who now has a vendetta against Sam Darnold after he cost me a ton of money in Week 18, it sounds poetic.
For those looking for the nail in the Vikings' coffin, please note a certain trend:
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Andrew Brennan