Michael Penix Jr. NFL Player Prop Odds & Picks for Sunday Night Football: Week 17 vs. Commanders

Michael Penix Jr. will look to win his second start as a pro when his Atlanta Falcons take on the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football in Week 17.

Determining the best Michael Penix Jr. player prop odds and picks based on the latest Sunday Night Football odds is a bit daunting since he’s only started one game. While he played well last week against the New York Giants, will he have similar success in Sunday night’s tilt in Landover, Md.? We'll find out when the action gets underway at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock).

The Falcons are 3.5-point underdogs, as Penix is tasked with taking on the defense that allows the fourth-fewest passing yards in football. Can Penix build off last week’s performance and help the Falcons get one step closer to a playoff berth?

Mike Spector got into the outcome of the game with his Falcons vs. Commanders prediction, but it's time to dig deeper as we continue our NFL Week 17 predictions.

Michael Penix Jr. SNF player prop picks

NFL odds as of Sunday. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Michael Penix Jr. prop pick: Under 199.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Michael Penix Jr. prop pick: Under 18.5 passing completions (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Michael Penix Jr. prop pick: Under 0.5 interceptions thrown (-109 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

Michael Penix Jr. touchdown prediction vs. Commanders

Michael Penix Jr. Under 199.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

As of Sunday morning, only Caesars was offering this prop for Penix. That said, PrizePicks had Penix’s total listed at 204.5 yards, so we could see our other best sports betting apps come in over 200 yards when they finally list this prop.

Penix threw for 202 yards against the Giants last week. While the performance was solid, it was also against the worst team in football. This week, he takes on a defense that is allowing just 185.5 passing yards per game and 171.0 per contest over the last three weeks.

If the Commanders jump out to a lead, perhaps Penix could hit this number as he tries to lead his team to a comeback win. But the Commanders have won their last three games and kept all quarterbacks in check. Look for them to do the same this week.

Best odds: -118 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.13%

Michael Penix Jr. player prop odds

Michael Penix Jr. prop predictions

NFL picks made Sunday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Michael Penix Jr. Under 18.5 passing completions ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Penix completed 18 of his 27 passes against the Giants last week, and he barely threw in the fourth quarter with his team leading by a large margin. With his team likely to be trailing in this contest, perhaps I should expect him to finish with a more impressive stat line than last week.

However, this Commanders’ pass defense is legitimate. They’re allowing 17.9 completions per game, the best mark in the NFL. Over the last three weeks, they’re allowing just 16.0 per game, and in all home games this season, they’re allowing just 15.8 per contest.

Caesars is the only one of our sites with the best sportsbook promos offering this prop, and the price for the Under is rather expensive. I recommend waiting until closer to kickoff to see if you can get this number at 19.5 for a much better price.

Best odds: -120 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.55%

Michael Penix Jr. Under 0.5 interceptions thrown ⭐⭐⭐

For as good as the Commanders’ pass defense has been this season, they have not had much success when it comes to interceptions. They’re averaging just 0.4 per game, which is the fifth-worst mark in the league.

Penix threw an interception last week, but everyone who watched that game knows that the interception had nothing to do with Penix and everything to do with tight end Kyle Pitts essentially handing the ball to the Giants. There is a chance that Penix will force some throws if his team falls behind, but in his first start, he showed no signs of doing that.

Once again, Caesars is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering this prop at the time of writing. You may be able to get this at closer to +100 before kickoff, but -109 is a very fair price, so there isn’t much reason to wait.

Best odds: -109 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.15%

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