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Justin Jefferson Player Props, Odds Week 2: Can Eagles Stop Vikings Star on TNF?

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: September 14, 2023 6:17 PM EDT • 3 min 51 sec read.

We're evaluating our favorite Justin Jefferson player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds as the Philadelphia Eagles and Minnesota Vikings get set to begin the NFL's Week 2 on Thursday Night Football.

It was another stellar individual performance for Justin Jefferson last week despite his team losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In spite of the defeat, the Vikings stud wideout caught nine passes for 150 yards. 

This week, he and Minnesota will take on an Eagles defense that allowed Mac Jones to rack up more than 300 passing yards. Jefferson is poised to feast on a shaky Philadelphia secondary in prime time.  

Here are our best Justin Jefferson NFL prop predictions, which accompany our Vikings vs. Eagles player props and Vikings vs. Eagles prediction (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Justin Jefferson NFL prop predictions for Week 2

  • Justin Jefferson (-10.5) over A.J. Brown receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Justin Jefferson Over 9.5 yards on 1st reception () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Justin Jefferson most receiving yards of game () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Justin Jefferson player props

Justin Jefferson (-10.5) over A.J. Brown receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Last season, Jefferson averaged just over 106 receiving yards per game. He managed 10 games with at least 100 yards receiving in his 17 appearances in the 2022 season. On the other hand, A.J. Brown averaged just 88 yards per game last year with only five games over the century mark.

In his career, Jefferson has outperformed Brown’s yardage output in 26 games. Of those, 25 of them have cleared this spread. This includes last week in which Jefferson posted 150 receiving yards. Brown came up well short of this with a 79-yard performance in his Week 1 contest. 

These two have clashed just once before. Brown bested Jefferson 69-48 in total receiving yards during Week 2 in 2022.

Jon Metler has a pick on Kirk Cousins' passing yards in his NFL player props for Week 2, and see what Brown can expect with Phil Wood's Jalen Hurts player props for TNF.

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Justin Jefferson Over 9.5 yards on 1st reception () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In his 150-yard explosion last week, Jefferson averaged 16.7 yards per reception. Four of his nine grabs were well over the 10-yard threshold for this prop. His first catch went for only eight in this game. However, Cousins was under pressure and did not give his receiver the best opportunity for yards after the catch. Jefferson’s next catch, though, resulted in a 30-yard gain.

Over his career, the young receiver has averaged 14.9 yards per reception. His average depth of target has also never been lower than 10.5 yards. In 2022, an impressive 630 of his 1,809 receiving yards came after the catch, proving he can turn a short throw into a big gain. 

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Justin Jefferson most receiving yards of game () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In eight games last season, Jefferson amassed the most receiving yards in the contest as the clock hit zero. He started off the Vikings' 2023 campaign by leading all wideouts in yards from their quarterback. All told, he accounted for 44 percent of Kirk Cousins’ Week 1 passing total. The Minnesota star outpaced Mike Evans of Tampa Bay by 84 yards in that game. 

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His competition this week, Brown and DeVonta Smith, combined for only 126 yards last week against New England. On his own side of the ball, the Vikings wideout with the second highest receiving output was rookie Joran Addison with 61 yards. Of those, 39 of them came on one catch for a touchdown.       

Justin Jefferson player prop picks made 9/13/2023 at 12 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.