Justin Herbert MNF Player Prop Bets: Picks & Odds vs. Ravens

Justin Herbert will look to lead the Los Angeles Chargers to their fifth consecutive win on Monday night when they take on the Baltimore Ravens.

The latest Monday Night Football odds have the Chargers listed as 2.5-point underdogs despite Monday night’s 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN) game being played at SoFi Stadium.

Should this spread raise concerns about Overs when making the best Justin Herbert MNF player prop bets, or will the quarterback dominate the worst pass defense in the league? We certainly expect a big game from his counterpart, as we outlined in our Lamar Jackson picks.

We also broke down this game with our Ravens vs. Chargers prediction, and between those bets and the ones we discussed in our Derrick Henry picks, you can see we expect a high-flying shootout in Inglewood.

This is the final game we're looking at as part of our NFL Week 12 predictions.

Justin Herbert prop predictions for Monday Night Football

NFL odds as of Monday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Justin Herbert Under 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Justin Herbert Over 255.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Justin Herbert longest pass completion Over 37.5 yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Justin Herbert player props

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Justin Herbert Under 0.5 interceptions (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This would be a five-star play if it didn’t feel like a trap from our best sports betting sites. Herbert has thrown just one interception all season, and that singular errant throw came in Week 2. Yet, multiple sportsbooks are offering +100 or better for him not to throw an interception tonight.

The assumption is that Herbert will throw more than usual. He’s averaging just 27.7 pass attempts per game, but the Ravens are allowing a league-high 39.5 attempts per contest. If Herbert’s team falls behind, then he’ll throw more than 30 passes.

But Herbert has already thrown more than 30 passes four times this season. He hasn’t thrown a pick in any of those games. The Ravens also aren’t very good at forcing interceptions. They’re averaging just 0.6 interceptions per game, and against one of the league’s best ball protectors, I don’t give them much hope no matter how many times he drops back to pass.

Best odds: +110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 47.62%

Justin Herbert Over 255.5 passing yards (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

When I made the best Ravens vs. Chargers MNF prop bets earlier this week, Herbert’s passing total was my best play of the game. On game day, it still is.

The Ravens are allowing a whopping 284.5 passing yards per game. That’s the worst mark in the league by 6.2 yards, and it’s nearly 30 yards more than the number the third-worst team in the NFL is allowing. 

The Chargers have the sixth-highest rushing play percentage in the league, running the ball on 48.83% of their offensive plays. Despite this, Herbert has thrown for at least 279 yards in four of his last five games, and the Ravens are allowing the second-fewest yards on the ground per game. You beat the Ravens by throwing, and with how Herbert is playing, this number isn’t high enough.

Best odds: -105 via bet365 | Implied probability: 51.22%

Justin Herbert longest pass completion Over 37.5 yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Ravens aren’t just giving up a lot of passing yards because teams are throwing a lot against them. They’re also allowing big chunk plays week after week, and they rank 26th in the league, allowing 11.0 yards per reception this season. 

Herbert has thrown at least one pass for 27 yards in every game this season. While that number isn’t anywhere near what Herbert needs to hit this total, it shows that even with limited opportunities, he gets at least one big play in every game. And in six of his last seven contests, he’s completed at least one pass of 37 yards.

Four of our best sports betting apps have this total set at 38.5. They’re all offering better prices than FanDuel is for Over 37.5 yards. Normally, I’d take the better price for one extra yard, but since this isn’t a stat that you can accumulate throughout the game, every yard matters.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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