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Josh Allen MNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: October 14, 2024 12:32 PM EDT • 3 min 39 sec read.

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen drops back to pass against the Houston Texans in the second half at NRG Stadium as we offer our Josh Allen player props.
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen drops back to pass against the Houston Texans in the second half at NRG Stadium. Photo by Thomas Shea via Imagn Images

Josh Allen has had varying success against the New York Jets in the last two years, so how will he fare against the Buffalo Bills' divisional rivals at MetLife Stadium for Monday Night Football? 

The Monday Night Football odds have the Bills, who remain among the Super Bowl odds front-runners, as the marginal favorites. 

  • Allen is 2-2 against the Jets since the start of the 2022 season
  • Last season, Allen averaged 255.5 passing yards, 24.5 completions, and 36.5 attempts while throwing four picks against the Jets
  • Allen averaged 46 rushing yards in the last four games against New York

Our Allen player props are part of our MNF coverage, including our Bills vs. Jets prediction and Bills vs. Jets player props.  

Josh Allen prop predictions for Monday Night Football

  • Josh Allen touchdown pick: Score anytime TD () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Josh Allen Under 29.5 pass attempts () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Josh Allen Over 33.5 rushing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL odds as of Monday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Josh Allen touchdown pick vs. Jets

Josh Allen anytime TD (+145) ⭐⭐⭐

Allen ran for two touchdowns in the season opener against the Arizona Cardinals but hasn't hit paydirt since. He had 15 rushing touchdowns last season and is only on pace for seven in the current campaign. Not only is Allen overdue, but he's facing the 31st-ranked run defense, according to PFF. 

The Jets have allowed four rushing touchdowns in the red zone, tied for the 15th-most. These +145 odds via BetMGM on Allen to punch it in would profit $14.50 on a winning $10 bet. 

Best odds: +145 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 40.82%

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Josh Allen player props

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Josh Allen Under 29.5 pass attempts (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Bills are 9-1 since the start of the 2022 season when Allen attempts 28 or fewer passes. While not always feasible, the Bills' blueprint for success is clear. He threw 23 and 19 passes in the Week 1 and 2 wins against the Cardinals and Miami Dolphins before averaging 29.3 attempts in the last three weeks, resulting in two losses. 

In addition, the Jets' defense has been much more susceptible on the ground than in the air. The Jets have the second-stingiest pass defense, allowing 168.3 passing yards and 28 attempts per game. 

Finally, the Bills shouldn't be chasing the game against what has been a pretty anemic Jets offense. That should allow them to dictate play throughout on the ground. FanDuel offers the best price for this prop, and a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09. 

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Josh Allen Over 33.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Allen has hit the Over in three of five games, two resulting in a win. He is facing a Jets defense that allows 4.1 yards per run and 124 rushing yards per game, the eighth-most.

As the Jets' pass defense is one of the best, there's a higher likelihood Allen won't be able to find open targets downfield. That may force him to extend plays and scamper. He averaged 61 rushing yards in the last two games at MetLife, and I expect him to hit the Over for the fourth time this season. 

bet365 offers the best price on this prop with a $10 winning bet profiting $9.09. 

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Bills vs. Jets odds

Monday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Bills vs. Jets
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 59 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, 18 mph
  • Favorite: Bills -1 (-110 via BetMGM)

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.