Joe Burrow MNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds vs. Cowboys

Joe Burrow will look to lead the Cincinnati Bengals to their fifth win of the season as they take on the Dallas Cowboys.

The latest Monday Night Football odds list the Bengals as 5.5-point favorites for Monday’s 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN) game at AT&;T Stadium. Are the best Joe Burrow MNF player prop bets Unders now that he’s in a game where his team is expected to perform well?

Burrow enters this game with 3,337 yards, 30 touchdowns, and five interceptions. However, the Cowboys allow just 212.1 passing yards per game, which is the 10th-best mark in the NFL. Here are Burrow’s best props for the primetime game.

Joe Burrow prop predictions for Monday Night Football

NFL odds as of Monday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Joe Burrow Under 276.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Joe Burrow Under 24.5 completions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Joe Burrow Under 0.5 interceptions (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Joe Burrow player props

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Joe Burrow Under 276.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Burrow has thrown for more than 300 yards in three consecutive games. However, before that stretch, he threw for 251 yards or fewer in four straight. Additionally, despite how good he’s been recently, he’s cleared 276.5 passing yards just five times this season.

The Cowboys are allowing the eighth-most yards per game this season, but they’ve been solid at holding opposing quarterbacks in check. It’s the run defense that has been a serious problem, ranking 31st in the league. As such, I expect the Bengals to take some pressure off Burrow for the first time in a month, as they rely on Chase Brown to pick up most of their yards.

FanDuel has this total set at 270.5 and the sportsbook is asking -113 for the Under. BetMGM, DraftKings, and bet365 all have the total set at 276.5, but it's the latter that is offering the best price.

I also detailed why Burrow's top receiver will be on the other end for plenty of his yardage in my Ja'Marr Chase MNF player prop bets. Brenden Schaeffer expects plenty from Burrow too in his Bengals vs. Cowboys parlay picks.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Joe Burrow Under 24.5 completions (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Burrow has completed at least 26 passes in five consecutive games. But again, this is a game where I expect Cincinnati’s rushing attack to be front and center, while Burrow does only what he needs with his team leading.

The Cowboys are allowing just 19.3 completions per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Even if Burrow does throw more than I expect, he’ll get chunk yards, as the Cowboys are giving up 11.0 yards per completion, which is sixth-worst in the NFL.

Burrow has five games with fewer than 24.5 completions this season. Recency bias will lead to many bettors taking this Over, but this isn’t as good of a matchup as it seems on paper. The best NFL betting sites have this total set at 24.5, but only FanDuel is offering -110 for the Under.

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%

Joe Burrow Under 0.5 interceptions (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Burrow has thrown only five interceptions this season, so to get this prop at -114 seems almost too good to be true. Yes, Burrow has thrown three picks in his last five games, but he’s also attempted at least 37 passes in each of those contests. I expect him to throw much less against Dallas, which means fewer opportunities to mess up.

The Cowboys are averaging 0.8 interceptions per game, which ranks in the top half of the league. Over the last three weeks, they’re averaging 1.3 interceptions per contest. While this may worry some bettors, Burrow has attempted a staggering 446 passes this season. With just five interceptions, that means he’s throwing one pick for every 89.2 attempts.

The price for this prop is favorable at the best sports betting sites, but the best price is at FanDuel. That said, no sportsbook is offering a price worse than -120.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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