Jayden Daniels NFL Player Prop Odds & Picks for Sunday Night Football: Week 17 vs. Falcons
Last Updated: December 29, 2024 11:40 AM EST • 3 min 53 sec read.
Jayden Daniels can lead his Washington Commanders to a playoff berth with a win over the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football in Week 17.
After a great performance against one of the best defenses in football last week, it’s hard not to feel like the latest Jayden Daniels player prop odds and picks based on the best Sunday Night Football odds are underestimating the rookie QB. Daniels threw five touchdown passes, leading his team to a 36-33 win over the Philadelphia Eagles.
This week, Daniels and his Commanders are favored by 3.5 points for Sunday’s game in Landover, Md.
As part of our NFL Week 17 predictions, Mike Spector made his Falcons vs. Commanders prediction. It's time to get more specific and ask if Daniels can extend his streak of games with multiple touchdowns to five when the action begins at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock).
Jayden Daniels SNF player prop picks
NFL odds as of Sunday. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
- Jayden Daniels touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐
- Jayden Daniels prop pick: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jayden Daniels prop pick: Over 269.5 passing and rushing yards () ⭐⭐⭐
Jayden Daniels touchdown prediction vs. Falcons
Jayden Daniels anytime touchdown scorer ⭐⭐
Daniels has scored six rushing touchdowns this season, tied for the fourth-most of any QB in football. He’s also found the end zone twice in his last four games.
The Falcons are tough to score against on the ground, as they allow just 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game. But Daniels scored against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers earlier this season, another team allowing less than one rushing touchdown per game. He has potential against anyone.
This is still just a two-star play. While DraftKings offers the best price across our best sportsbooks, it still leaves something to be desired. I’d prefer this at +200 or better, especially against a run defense as good as the Falcons’.
Best odds: +150 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40.00%
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Jayden Daniels player prop odds
Jayden Daniels prop predictions
NFL picks made Sunday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 passing touchdowns ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Three of our sites with the best sportsbook promos offering this prop give Daniels a greater than 50% chance to throw two touchdown passes. With that in mind, getting a price of +108 from FanDuel makes this the game's most valuable play.
While Daniels has only thrown multiple touchdowns in seven games this season, he’s accomplished that feat in four consecutive contests. This week, his matchup is one of the best in the league, as the Falcons are allowing 1.9 touchdown passes per game.
The Falcons are great at keeping teams out of the end zone on the ground. So, considering their defense and Daniels's recent performance, when the Commanders score, it will be through the air.
Best odds: +108 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 48.08%
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Jayden Daniels Over 269.5 passing and rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐
The Falcons rank 19th in the league, allowing 223.4 passing yards per game. Over the last three weeks, they’re allowing 230.3.
With Daniels’ passing yards total set at just 220.5, it may seem obvious to take that Over. However, I worry that the inconsistent Falcons defense has one of its solid games, such as when it gave up just 147 yards to Justin Herbert.
Daniels has thrown for fewer than 220 yards in four of his last seven games. However, the Falcons are a difficult team to run against, which means the ball will be in Daniels’ hands for most of the game. The playmaker will have plenty of opportunities to do damage with his legs if the passing attack isn’t working. After all, Daniels has rushed for at least 66 yards in three of his last four games.
I don’t know exactly how Daniels will get his yards tonight, I just know he’ll get them. That’s why taking this combo prop is safer than his passing or rushing totals.
Best odds: -118 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.13%
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