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First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thanksgiving Week 13

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: November 27, 2024 4:09 PM EST • 2 min 28 sec read.

Miami Dolphins tight end Jonnu Smith celebrates a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders, and he headlines our first touchdown scorer predictions for the Thanksgiving games in Week 13.
Miami Dolphins tight end Jonnu Smith celebrates a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders. Photo by Jim Rassol via Imagn Images.

The Thanksgiving Day football tradition continues this year with a three-game slate to kick off Week 13 in the NFL.

This week's first touchdown scorer predictions for Thanksgiving are looking at a trio of players, one of which we also picked for our anytime touchdown scorer predictions.

We start the day with the Detroit Lions playing host to the Chicago Bears at 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS). We dove deep into that game with our Bears vs. Lions prediction and Bears vs. Lions parlay, both of which expect a blowout for the home team, contrary to our first touchdown pick.

Following that, at 4:30 p.m. ET, the New York Giants square off against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium (FOX). We're backing the road underdogs with our Giants vs. Cowboys prediction. Additionally, our favorite touchdown pick from our Giants vs. Cowboys player prop bets mirrors our selection here.

Finally, the Green Bay Packers welcome the Miami Dolphins to Lambeau Field for the 8:20 p.m. ET night cap (NBC). Our Dolphins vs. Packers prediction takes a different tight end to score in that game than the one we're focusing on here.

Be sure to check out all of our NFL Thanksgiving picks, which help to form our NFL Week 13 predictions.

First touchdown scorer predictions: Thanksgiving

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Giants vs. Cowboys first touchdown scorer prediction: Tyrone Tracy Jr., RB ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.33%

Tracy has three rushing touchdowns this season, which tie him with Devin Singletary for the most on the team. In fact, the rookie running back has as many rushing touchdowns as the entire Dallas backfield.

All three games in which Tracy has scored, his touchdown has been the first, and in two cases the only one of the game for his team. 

The Cowboys are allowing the most rushing touchdowns per game (1.7) this season. That number explodes to 2.8 at home.   

Dolphins vs. Packers first touchdown scorer prediction: Jonnu Smith, TE ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +1600 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 5.88%

It's not just the touchdown props that we're backing Smith to cash on, as we're riding with his Over receiving yards as part of our Dolphins vs. Packers player prop bets.

Smith has the second-most receiving touchdowns for the Dolphins this season. He’s crossed the goal line in three games this year and in all three, he was the first player to reach the end zone in the contest.

The Packers have surrendered a touchdown to the tight end position in two of their last four matchups. including one to George Kittle last week. 

Smith is the third-most targeted Miami pass-catcher inside the 20-yard line. Entering this week, Smith has scored the first touchdown in back-to-back games. Should the Dolphins get close to the end zone on their opening drive, I anticipate him getting plenty of work in the red zone. 

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.