First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Monday Night Football Week 4
Last Updated: September 30, 2024 11:26 AM EDT • 2 min 45 sec read.
The NFL is giving us two Monday Night Football games to watch for the second week in a row. Once again, that means two chances to cash in on a first touchdown prop.
This week, our first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football will cover two contests with a selection from each. First, the struggling Miami Dolphins host the slumping Tennessee Titans.
Less than an hour later, the unbeaten Seattle Seahawks will face the 2-1 Detroit Lions, who are among the Super Bowl odds favorites, in Motown. Neither game offers a clear-cut candidate to find the end zone first.
Therefore, I am leaning on a pair of top performers from each team whose odds are longer than they should be, offering us the most value.
Our first TD picks complement the rest of our Monday Night Football coverage, including the Titans vs. Dolphins prediction, Seahawks vs. Lions prediction, Titans vs. Dolphins player props, and Seahawks vs. Lions player props.
First touchdown scorer predictions Monday Night Football: Week 4
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Titans first touchdown scorer prediction: Calvin Ridley, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: | Implied probability: 7.14%
Five players have crossed the goal line for Tennessee this season, but Calvin Ridley is the only one who has done it more than once.
The former Falcons wideout diced up the New York Jets for two touchdowns in Week 2, logging both a six-point reception and a rushing tally. Ridley was the first player to find the end zone in that contest.
Ridley leads all Tennessee pass catchers in targets (16) and receiving yards (136). He’s also a big-play threat, averaging 17 yards per reception this year. His longest catch was a 40-yard touchdown against a Jets defense that allows 0.3 passing touchdowns per game.
It shouldn’t be difficult for the Titans to find the end zone first on Monday night, given the Miami Dolphins have yet to score first through three games and have only three touchdowns all season.
A $10 investment on this prop will turn a $130 profit.
Seahawks first touchdown scorer prediction: Zach Charbonnet, RB ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +2100 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.55%
Zach Charbonnet is responsible for half of Seattle’s eight touchdowns this season.
The bullish running back has three rushing and a receiving touchdown over his first three games. Charbonnet scored twice last week against the Miami Dolphins, the first of which was the opening score.
Seattle has posted the first touchdown in two of their three matchups.
The Seahawks have run the ball on 67% of their red zone snaps, and Charbonnet accounts for five of the Seahawks’ eight carries inside the 20-yard line.
This plays in our favor given the Lions are surrendering 1.3 red zone touchdowns per game. You are in line for a tidy $210 profit on a $10 wager should he find his way into the end zone.
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Rodrigo Villagomez