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First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Monday Night Football Week 16

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: December 23, 2024 1:26 PM EST • 3 min 10 sec read.

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed reacts after catching a pass against the Los Angeles Rams as we look at our first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed reacts after catching a pass against the Los Angeles Rams. Photo by Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images.

Saints rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler makes the fourth start of his career in one of the NFL's toughest environments. Can he lead his team to an upset victory in the Frozen Tundra? 

Week 16 ends with a trip to Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin for the New Orleans Saints, who face the Green Bay Packers in a game kicking off at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). The Packers enter sitting seventh in the Super Bowl odds.

My first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football focus on two pass-catchers in entirely different situations, both with a great opportunity to set their team up nicely in prime time.

Injuries in New Orleans have taken the Saints' most significant scoring threat Alvin Kamara off the field this week. That gives us a fantastic opportunity to take advantage of a long shot to strike first in this game.

First touchdown scorer predictions Monday Night Football: Week 17

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Saints first touchdown scorer prediction: Juwan Johnson, TE ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: | Implied probability: 2.33%

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Johnson has scored three touchdowns on the season, and two have come over the Saints' last four games. He and wide receiver Rashid Shaheed are tied for the second-most receiving touchdowns on the team.

The carousel at quarterback for New Orleans seems to have stopped at Rattler this week. The rookie passer targeted the tight end position on 33% of the final 16 plays last week against the Washington Commanders. I anticipate that percentage will increase with Marquez Valdes-Scantling questionable and Kamara out for this game, giving Johnson the opportunity for an early score.

FanDuel is listing fellow Saints tight end Foster Moreau at +4600 to score first. However, I’ll give the edge to Johnson here for one of your NFL Week 16 predictions. He's outscored Moreau 2-1 over the last five games.

Packers first touchdown scorer prediction: Jayden Reed, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: | Implied probability: 10.00%

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Green Bay has crossed the goal line first in four of its last five games, and Reed is responsible for half of that production. 

The second-year wideout has put together another impressive season, with his six touchdowns slotting him one behind tight end Tucker Kraft for the most on the team.

He’s been held out of the end zone over the last two weeks. However, Reed should be licking his chops while going up against a Saints defense that's given up six touchdowns to wide receivers over its last four contests.

Packers’ running back Josh Jacobs is the heavy favorite to score the first touchdown on Monday, with his most favorable odds set at +275 thorugh BetMGM. While he’s scored a lot this season (13 total TDs), Jacobs has only notched the first touchdown in three games, and just once across his last six.

A $10 bet here will give you $90 back in profit.

Elsewhere, Mike Spector is being aggressive in his Saints vs. Packers prediction while eyeing Jacobs to score multiple times.

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.